What will the world records be in 2030?

Lol

The only one of these that might happen in that time is the 1500. The 5k/10k maybe in 20-30 years. Everything else, lmao. A hundred years maybe.

I think 1:39 800m will be the next WR or will be achieved before the other events. Someone will go for it.

Perhaps Kipchoge sub 2 @ Boston thanks to his hill work.

All the times you listed, with the exception of the 100, seem possible.

Quite unlikely but not impossible.

There is no chance the 100m will go from 9.58 to sub 9.

This reminds me of the recurring Conan O’Brien bit “In the year 2000” that they did back in ~1999, with absurd forecasts of the future in the year 2000.

That said, let’s not lop the 7:19 and 8.9 together like they’re equally crazy.

and the 400. Absolutely impossible.

39 400? That ain’t happening any time soon. The WR has come down 0.26 seconds in the last 34 years.

Women:

At the very least, the 100, 200, 400, 800, 1000, 3000, long jump, shot put, discus, hammer throw, and heptathlon will be the same as today.

Most likely to be broken, in order: (1) triple jump, (2) steeplechase, (3) pole vault, (4) 5000, (5) 10000, (6) high jump, (7) javelin

I said the 400 you missed my last post

Depends on the drug testing. Any new WR is incredibly likely to be PED enhanced of a user besting an already PED enhanced WR mark.

I’m not sure we’ll EVER see an 8.9, 18.0, or a 39.x.
There is a limit. We don’t know where it is except >0. All of those- the 100, 200, 400- would be near the limit in my opinion.

Mens 1500m - 3:26.00

With so called fast tracks, so called fast shoes and with the money top T&F athletes currently earn, there has been no change in any world record: 100m to 1500m either gender since 2016. [I am not counting races with barriers.]

Based on evidence, not feelings, what evidence do any have you that this is not as good as it gets, 100m to 1500m?

Reminder: Thoroughbred race horses improved their performances for about (180 to 190) years then peaked about fifty years ago.

Second reminder: The entire world races 100m to 1500m. Born & raised above 5000ft. elevation does not appear to necessarily help that much for sea level competition for events, 100m to 1500m.

Perhaps a more interesting way to frame this would be by what year will the times you listed be achieved?

For starters, I'll say 2042 for the 12:29 5k (that's 4:01/mile pace BTW...)

I would guess this Katelyn Tuohy that I hear so much about will get a couple of these, maybe the 12:29.

She will be doing great if she gets an American Record or 2 The American Records are very good 66:52 for the Half Marathon is probably her best chance, but it will likely be a lot faster when she runs them seriously, Will she be better than Monson?

Mile - 3:43.13

...because no one will get away with as much doping as HEG. Plus he was the perfect human specimen.

The LJ record is the most enduring in all of sports.Broken only once since 1968(55yrs), Powell's record has now passed Beamon's in longevity.With the dearth of great jumpers currently and none on the horizon,the record may still be on the books fifty years hence.

-----100/200 meters

It's hard to believe anyone Lowering Bolt's record much less by over half a second. Even though Noah Lyles has gone 19.31 — 19.19 is still way out of his current fitness

-----400 meters----

Also Niekerk beat MJ's 43.18 by just 0.15 seconds. Yet, Niekerk's record is still standing for 7 years. And the only person second to Niekerk? MJ — since the 90s. And to break a WR by over 3 seconds in a 400m? Has never happened in history.

----800 meters----

Rudisha's record is POSSIBLE but not probable. Just as a reminder no one has gone under 1:42 since Nijel Amos in 2019. Only Donavan Brazier had a shot at being WR contender but his string of injuries seems to signal that won't occur.

----1500 meters---

Again like the 800, possible but not probable. Hicham El Guerrouj is single-handedly the greatest 1500 runner this world has known. Nobody alive today has the capacity to run a 3:26 much less a 3:25. Jakob Ingebrigtsen , Josh Kerr, Timothy Cheruiyot, Jake Wightman, Mo Katir, NONE. So if someone will break El G's record. That human isn't alive today

----3000 meters---

With Mo Katir and Lamecha Girma's Indoor World Records. Them Two are currently the only candidates able to attack this record. So this is the more likely record to fall down.

---5000/10,000 meters---

Cheptegei needed a massive aid to hit 12:35/26:11 I highly doubt any other runner could go 5/11 seconds faster than what he did no matter how fit they are.

---Multiple Sub 2 Marathons---

ehhhh, maybe? But, It seems there's a race right now to just have One Sub-2 Hour Marathoner. And those candidates are very small and unlikely to do it anytime soon. But, might be in 7 years time.