Now when Levins showed some way and probably raised expectations, who's next? Don't really know, but I'm gonna go with Brett Robinson. He said in a recent interview that he has ambitions to go faster than 207, could train harder than now, and he seems a grinder. Or maybe some Japanese runner?
Close your eyes and throw a dart at a board of 27:20s-27:40s American 10000 runners and it'll probably be one of them.
just in my humble opinion wrote:
Close your eyes and throw a dart at a board of 27:20s-27:40s American 10000 runners and it'll probably be one of them.
Mantz
Rupp. Really hoping he can get healthy and fit and run something like Berlin for a huge PR this fall. Then, of course, win the trials by 10 minutes
Jake Smith - if he overcomes his REDS issues
just in my humble opinion wrote:
Close your eyes and throw a dart at a board of 27:20s-27:40s American 10000 runners and it'll probably be one of them.
Maybe, but I’d prefer throwing a dart at a board of Japanese 2:06-2:08 marathoners. 31 Japanese men have broken 2:09 this year, and it’s only March. Already this year 2 Japanese men have broken 2:06 for the first time, while no American-born man has broken 2:06 on a record eligible course, ever.
quickishguy wrote:
Jake Smith - if he overcomes his REDS issues
INSANE talent. made for roads
Let’s see…it won’t be Wanders. It won’t be Zane. It could be Mantz but it won’t be any other American because they wait too long.
What about that Brazilian dude?
Mike Oochie wrote:
What about that Brazilian dude?
Daniel do Nascimento? Don’t think he qualifies since he’s already run 2:04:51.
Galen Rupp.
He will break 2:05 before he is done.
(I know technically he was born in Morocco, but moved away as a child)
Italian & Syracuse alum Iliass Aouani just ran 2:07:16 at 27yo, to take 3s off the National Record. Seems like a possibility, if he has presumably 7-8 more years of thons in him at least.
Thanks. I knew he was near but wasn’t sure if he squeezed under 2:05.
Sorry, no chance on Jake Smith. We won’t see him back in the 60:3x shape he was in for his HM PB. Shame, as the potential was there.
No to Marc Scott either. A Japanese guy would be my bet.
Grant Fisher
Mantz or one of the Japanese. But Japanese runners don't seem to run as fast outside of Japan for some reason. Even on a fast courses they come up about a couple of short of their times at home.
Tt46 wrote:
Sorry, no chance on Jake Smith. We won’t see him back in the 60:3x shape he was in for his HM PB. Shame, as the potential was there.
I highly disagree on this.
Jake Smith seems to be the right person to breaking 2.06 in the future. Why? Because he LEARNS from mistakes/error his been making - both from training & health aspects! I'm sure Jake will recover from RED-S and build up his fitness smart and gradually. After all, he is still young and is one in the NN-running team, with great support from outside.
Besides from Jake Smith I also think Jack Rayner has a great possibility for breaking 2.06!
Nico Young. Goes straight to marathon upon graduation and ushers in a new era of American marathon running as he and Mantz consistently run fast. Their rivalry inspires other talented men to give up pursuing track at age 23 and 24 instead of age 30.
Emile Cairess
Moo G wrote:
Mantz or one of the Japanese. But Japanese runners don't seem to run as fast outside of Japan for some reason. Even on a fast courses they come up about a couple of short of their times at home.
Mantz always had the talent and the guts to do it.
Ikeda, Yoshida, Ringer last year and a slew of naturalised African born athletes running for various nations.
And per this thread: Jake Smith is well on his way back to the required fitness to do it as well.
Marathon is at a new level of course.
First non-African born athlete running sub 2:04?