After her dominant SEC cross country victory, LetsRun.com's John Kellogg speculated Valby could run in the 14:40s for 5k. That got the LetsRun.com crew discu...
14:4x ain’t what it used to be. It is a nice time but to be incapable of pacing the top women for even half of a record attempt at 10000m shows that it is not going to make one a medal contender. However she is young so who knows what her progression might be. Also John Kellogg may or may not be correct here. I would be more comfortable saying she is likely in at least 15:00 shape.
I think we are about to see several sub 15 performances in ncaa track this year. It still isn’t clear that Valby can run enough mileage to make it long term at the pro level though.
of course, and she and Mercy both ran a 2:50 1K for their 3rd K....and the rest of the field all accelerated for that K too.....Why do I think they skipped the veer to the right after 1 K on W course that is not part of M course? Conveniently during a commercial break on the video though.
Turns out, according to a RW article, McGolgan changed up her training to reduce overtraining.
“I think it’s more training smarter vs over-training. I tend to want to push and do more and more, and in the past, I would always get injured or sick and spend months on the sideline, and then I would make the GB team, but it would be off the back of having about six months off minimum. We’ve made a change to my weekly format, so I have a lot more balance throughout the week, so I probably train harder than ever, but I’ve certainly got more recovery added to the week and that seems to be paying off.
….
“I come from a relatively low mileage background and that’s because of previous injuries I’ve had. In 2011, I actually broke my left foot and underwent surgery on that, and because of that, I’ve had to reduce my mileage. That’s why we have a lot of cross-training in the programme. In the last couple of years, I’ve averaged out anywhere between 40 and 50 miles, which is quite low for an elite – a lot of elites would be running upwards of near 100 miles a week.
“Over the last two years, we’ve made a real conscious effort to try and build up my mileage because I feel like I’m a stronger athlete as I’ve got older. I’ve been able to sustain this training much better from the gym work I’ve done and the rehab work. So currently we’re averaging around 60-65 miles and the aim is to keep building towards hopefully 70-75 next year and then upwards to 80.”
think I would wait for the NCAA XC Championships before making any predictions...kinda silly to use one race to start declaring the next US Distance Star.
That will answer a lot of questions...just my opinion.
Valby ran to win. She is in 14:40 shape and Chelangat 15:00.
of course, and she and Mercy both ran a 2:50 1K for their 3rd K....and the rest of the field all accelerated for that K too.....Why do I think they skipped the veer to the right after 1 K on W course that is not part of M course? Conveniently during a commercial break on the video though.
So you think the company that broadcast the race went to commercial break at the exact time that there would've been evidence of a short course or something to that effect? There's literally 3 people in the entire world that care about this and they are all obsessively posting on all these threads. Maybe the course is short, maybe it isn't, but I promise, there's no conspiracy or cover-up.
I doubt the distance she ran at the SEC meet but still believe she has huge potential.
It’s great that we have US citizens Elly Henes, Tuohy, Valby, and anyone else that comes along as future stars. There is room for more than one star and I’m not sure why fans of one need to degrade the other.