Ho Hum wrote:
So "lockdowns" as defined by things that are not actually lockdowns had a small effect, but actual lockdowns ("shelter in place") had a 5% effect, and closing non-essential businesses had a 10% effect.
Pretty funny spin on data that shows lockdowns worked really well. I guess they rightly assumed that no one would read beyond the headline.
This has been the problem since the beginning of the pandemic. Early on in the US, when "lockdowns" went into place, virtually every jurisdiction in the US had adopted lockdown rules that were very similarly drafted (state attorney generals often share drafts of legislation/regulations with each other). The rule would say that everything needed to close except for essential services. Then, the definition of "essential services" would be several pages long and include everything from coffee shops to car dealers. The next problem was the timing of the "lockdowns". Repeatedly in both the US and the EU, political pressure would mount and lockdowns would end too early and be implemented too late. So, the study is just telling us something that is pretty obvious. When you do a lousy job of implementing public health measures to stop transmission of COVID, you get pretty lousy results.