Official 2022 USA XC Discussion Thread: Kelati vs Monson XVIII - Who you got? Does ADP continue to DOMINATE?

Kelati, no contest

Livestream link ($)

https://www.usatf.tv/gprofile.php?do=videos&mgroup_event_id=9&year=2022&mgroup_id=45365&video_id=315503

Saturday January 8th 2022 weather forecast is

59 degrees

7-8 mph wind blowing from north to south at

1 pm PST in mission bay san diego, california

Women's 10 km Saturday 1:00 pm PT

Audrey Belf

Obsie Birru

Stephanie Bruce HOKA ONE ONE / HOKA NAZ Elite

Elizabeth Conlon Prado Racing Team

Amy Davis Hansons-Brooks Distance Project

Emily Durgin adidas

Alexandra Elliott U.S. Naval Academy

Athena Garretson U.S. Air Force

Kayla Grahn

Ayla Granados

Breann Guzman San Diego Track Club

Genevieve Heaps U.S. Marine Corps

Morgan Hicks University of Toledo

Emily Infeld

Katherine Irgens U.S. Navy

Grace Jenkins U.S. Marine Corps

Weini Kelati Under Armour

Amelia Keyser-Gibson

Aubrey Martin San Diego Track Club

Maria Mettler U.S. Air Force

Paige Mita

Casey Monoszlay Valor Track Club

Alicia Monson On Athletics Club

Calene Morris

Kathryn Munks Hansons-Brooks Distance Project

Megan O'Neil Hansons-Brooks Distance Project

Sarah Pagano adidas / Golden Coast Track Club

Clara Peterson

Amanda Phillips Team Red Lizard

Olivia Pratt Hansons-Brooks Distance Project

Jenn Randall Team Red Lizard

Elaine Ribeiro San Diego Track Club

Faith Richardson U.S. Marine Corps

Carolyn Riggs U.S. Navy

Maeve Roach U.S. Coast Guard

Natosha Rogers Hansons-Brooks Distance Project

Grace Rowan Bowerman Track Club

Caroline Sang U.S. Army

Molly Seidel PUMA

Emily Shertzer U.S. Air Force

Jaci Smith U.S. Air Force

Allison Spies U.S. Navy

Susanna Sullivan

Lisa Veneziano

Carrie Verdon T.E.A.M Boulder

Katherine Ward Denver Metro Racing

Janel Zick

https://www.letsrun.com/forum/flat_read.php?thread=11042548

1:50pm Open Men 10 km

Raul Arcos

Braulio Benitez

Jacob Bilvado U.S. Air Force

Michael Biwott U.S. Army

Benjamin Blankenship NIKE

Hillary Bor HOKA ONE ONE

Benjamin Bruce HOKA ONE ONE / HOKA NAZ Elite

Corey Brunelle

Reid Buchanan On

Noah Campbell University of Richmond

Robert Casassa

Sam Chelanga U.S. Army

Craig Curley Sports Warriors Track Club

Hunter Daniel Prado Racing Team

Mark Dewyea U.S. Marine Corps

Michael Duncan

Phillip Duncan LRC Nebraska

Benjamin Eidenschink

Kirubel Erassa

Galen Farris

John Flavin Jr. Hansons-Brooks Distance Project

Ben Fletcher Sports Warriors Track Club

Tony Floyd

Joseph Galvin U.S. Marine Corps

Josef Gertner

Luke Gilman U.S. Marine Corps

Steven Grolle Peninsula Distance Club

Schuyler Hall

Ken Hampshire U.S. Marine Corps

Coen Haroldsen

Aric Kedge U.S. Air Force

Nick Kelley U.S. Army

Benard Keter NIKE / U.S. Army

Kyle King U.S. Marine Corps

Shadrack Kipchirchir NIKE

Leonard Korir U.S. Army

Hosava Kretzmann Sports Warriors Track Club

Ryan LaChapelle SRA Elite

Lawi Lalang NIKE

Grant Lapovich

Garret Lee T.E.A.M Boulder

Martin Leung Track Club L.A.

Stanley Linton U.S. Navy

Thomas Madden

Abisai Magana

Dillon Maggard

Theodorakis Medrano T.E.A.M Boulder

Alfredo Mejia Jr. Sports Warriors Track Club

Jaden Milbrodt

Sean Mulherin

Kevin Murray U.S. Navy

Zachery Panning Hansons-Brooks Distance Project

Benjamin Payne U.S. Air Force

Samuel Peckham U.S. Navy

Sean Price

Anthony Raftis

Angel Ramirez McKirdy Trained

Ryan Robinson

Nicholas Romanow U.S. Navy

Alec Sandusky Hansons-Brooks Distance Project

James Shipley U.S. Air Force

Trevor Siniscalchi U.S. Air Force

Daniel Soto Hansons-Brooks Distance Project

James Stadler

Lucas Stalnaker U.S. Marine Corps

Henry Sterling

Zachary Swenson U.S. Navy

Josef Tessema

Nathan Thomas U.S. Air Force Academy

Jordan Tropf U.S. Navy

Brandon Vientos

Mackenzie Wahpepah-harris Sports Warriors Track Club

Kyle Warrick U.S. Navy

Justin Weaver U.S. Marine Corps

Chase Weaverling T.E.A.M Boulder

Caleb Webb

Matthew Williams U.S. Air Force

Andrew Yazzie Sports Warriors Track Club

Futsum Zienasellassie McKirdy Trained

https://www.usatf.org/events/2022/2022-usatf-cross-country-championships-presented-b/open-u20-status-of-entries

Podcast in 2021 wrote:

1:50pm Open Men 10 km

Braulio Benitez

I chuckled with excitement! He may not win the thing but big shout out to this guy still being in the game. He must be 38-39 by now. He was a very respectable and likeable runner for Maine West in IL back in the day.

Jon forgot any mention of Dillon Maggard. He has made national tea,s for USA in XC before, and just last month the dusted the B-list tinmen giving a B effort... yeah thats not exactly a 207 marathon in amsterdam, but the dude knows how to run cross.

Also, where is Conner Mantz? I feel like this guy could clean up in this race

Kelati

Durgin

Monson

In that order.

All the top athletes are trying to peak for the world champs, and there is little prize money here. I think we are going to see some unsponsored athletes take the top 3.

I'm going with a long shot. Molly...I think the rest and change of venue will get her adrenaline flowing.

hobbyjogger1 wrote:

I'm going with a long shot. Molly...I think the rest and change of venue will get her adrenaline flowing.

Abso-f'in-lutely not, lol. The marathon is not preparation for this race.

Kelati will crush them.

My crude prediction for the women’s race:

1. Weini Kelati

2. Alicia Monson +0:10

3. Molly Seidel +0:42

4. Emily Infeld +0:51

5. Emily Durgin +1:02

6. Natosha Rogers +1:03

7. Sarah Pagano +1:18

8. Stephanie Bruce +1:20

9. Carrie Verdon +1:28

10. Jaci Smith +1:33

That is taking Infeld’s coaches quote that they’re approaching it like a workout with a grain of salt.

The top 4 are simply at a different talent level. Rogers might mix it up with them at her best, but her most recent race results haven’t been great for her.

Monson vs. Kelati at 5,000m would be a toss-up for me, but you’ve gotta favor Kelati in this event, and it could be by a big margin.

Predicting the results of the men’s race feels like more of a crapshoot. Here’s what I’m going with:

1. Hillary Bor

2. Shadrack Kipchirchir +0:02

3. Dillon Maggard +0:09

4. Kirubel Erassa +0:15

5. Sam Chelanga +0:30

6. Futsum Zienasellassie +0:35

7. Leonard Korir +0:40

8. Reid Buchanan +0:43

9. Benard Keter +0:43

10. Zach Panning +0:45

You could make an argument that Hillary Bor is the premier athlete in the field, and I’ll take him in a sprint finish here.

Shadrack Kipchirchir was virtually MIA in 2021 (2nd at the US 15k champs in March in 43:55 was his only result), but you have to give a 27:07 10k guy the benefit of the doubt in a field like this.

Dillon Maggard at age 26 has PBs ranging from 3:37 to 27:54, and he may be encouraged by his XC win at Mt. Sac in December where he showcased good form. I’ll take him as a surprise 3rd.

Sam Chelanga at age 36 is certainly not a 27:08 man anymore, but he’s still a gritty and rather consistent competitor, and 10k XC is totally his element. I’d be very surprised if he’s outside the top 10.

Anyone know how much a USATF.tv membership is? Is it worth it during the year or will there only be a couple races

I think it’s lik $13 a month, can cancel at any time. I’ll pay that to watch

Hot and Humid Runner wrote:

All the top athletes are trying to peak for the world champs, and there is little prize money here. I think we are going to see some unsponsored athletes take the top 3.

Unfortunately, you're correct. What's sad is that if you go back, way back, you'll see top athletes who ran well or won the World Cross AND ran well or medaled in the Olympics or Worlds in track.

I get the lack of prize money- they're pros and have to earn a living but the peaking thing?

Ask Lopes, DeCastella, Debele, Ngugi ...

He turns 40 in September, and NAZ Elite's website lists him as an assistant coach/pacer. Good luck to him.

Seems like an odd coincidence that NAZ Elite's entire paid staff shown on the website (i.e., not counting the intern) is two Bens, a Jen, a Jenna, and a Jennifer.

In the years that we don't have to pick a World Cross team, these USATF XC championships are a great opportunity for the up and coming runners to showcase their talents. I know that if USATF threw a little more prize money into the pot you would get more of our top guys/gals showing up, however, they should figure out how to 'spread the wealth' to the sub-elites. Some runner's need more years to develop (Verdon) vs. a talented out-of-college star and a little prize money can go a long way.

XC is a great discipline by itself, but could also be used as a springboard to the next level.

Hoping for a little play by play, TIA.

How's the feed?

anyone have a pirated stream or wanna split the cost and give me a login credential? I'm too cheap to justify $13 / month for 2-4 hours of content that I'll watch.

five person pack right now - kelati, Monson, Infeld, rogers, durgin. Seidel in like 9th.

No sound on the stream?