What's next for Centro?

Simple:

-Stay with Jerry or switch to Ritz

-Aim to qualify for World XC, then 5k-10k next Spring/Summer

He should retire and become a pro video gamer!

Centro keeps saying he's fit but is unable to show it in races. I believe him when he says his workouts are going well, however maybe Jerry's system just doesn't translate well to race performance for Centro.

I think Centro still has some competition left in him. He's 32, not that old (old for a middle distance guy) and proved he can be successful at 5K. I'm sure some speed residuals could perhaps help him in a championship setting.

Anyway, here's what I think happened:

1. Centro comes into season in rough shape

2. Centro and Jerry: jeez we only have x amount of weeks til the Trials, we need to get on it!

3. Centro gets on it and gets into peak shape too quickly

4. Centro physically peaks during the Trials and mentally peaks during the AR attempt

TLDR: mistimed peak. A fatal blow to his global 1500 career. Not to mention he's not 25 anymore, so he can't hold peak racing shape as long as he used to be able to.

Industry Cat wrote:

Simple:

-Stay with Jerry or switch to Ritz

-Aim to qualify for World XC, then 5k-10k next Spring/Summer

-if he's done with his season, he should take 1-2 weeks off or easy

-4-6 weeks of just easy running, building up his mileage to 80-mid 90s a week. This puts him at beginning of November

-When is US XC Champs? February? So he'll have a 12-14 week training block getting ready for 10k on the grass

-Qualify for World XC, run World XC

-1-2 weeks easy

-Prep for Spring/Summer season of 5ks/10ks

If you can’t beat them join them. Become a volunteer coach for Oregon and train with Hocker and the crew.

Cebtro's trial's performance was actually pretty remarkable, with a 38 second final 300 in a 3:35 race. However, the bad day he had at the Olympics I think killed his drive for racing.

I do think he would make a strong 5000 meter runner, likely good enough for top 3 at trials and finals at workds/Olympics. It's a question of if he wants to do that.

Who knows?

Judging from a brief interview clip I remember from this year it sounds as though he isn't sure himself.

He ran a 13 flat 5k, a world class time 2 years ago.

Even though he should be able to be competitive on the world stage at 5k in theory, the reality is runner who

'move up' rarely find success. Most global medals are won by guys in their 20s. He is soon to be 32.

He's likely doing quite well financially from his contracts. He could surely get a new contract to maintain an above decent standard of living. But is he a global medal threat anymore? I am going to flat out say no. The potential is there but I think we are talking a 5-10% chance at best he would ever medal at a global 5k championship if he continues his career.

He has a thin build and could do well at the marathon I suppose, but does he want to put his body through marathon training after 10 years in the sport?

If I was him I might be inclined to call it a career or simply continue competing, shooting for a global 5k final while knowing a medal is probably out of the cards.. If he's ok with that, sure, continue the pro. runners lifestyle.

Lets say he runs a spring 5k next year around 13:20. That would be an indication he could potentially make another US team.. But is he going to run 13 flat again or better? I doubt it.

It's not that I don't want to see him have more success. I just don't think it's very realistic.

Industry Cat wrote:

Industry Cat wrote:

Simple:

-Stay with Jerry or switch to Ritz

-Aim to qualify for World XC, then 5k-10k next Spring/Summer

-if he's done with his season, he should take 1-2 weeks off or easy

-4-6 weeks of just easy running, building up his mileage to 80-mid 90s a week. This puts him at beginning of November

-When is US XC Champs? February? So he'll have a 12-14 week training block getting ready for 10k on the grass

-Qualify for World XC, run World XC

-1-2 weeks easy

-Prep for Spring/Summer season of 5ks/10ks

Centro running XC or the 10000m is not going to happen. No runner with similar ability and at the same stage in his career as Centro has done that and neither will he.

In regard to your first 2 suggestions, Centro will do whatever he's always done at the end of a season.

Maximus1552 wrote:

... the bad day he had at the Olympics I think killed his drive for racing.

His GF Shelby getting banned after both of them ordered and ate carne asada burritos from the same taco truck on the same order is what killed his racing drive. Shelby blamed her positive test on what they both had eaten, and Centro supported her claim. Think about that happening, and then think about how it would affect you.

5000 might be too far for him.

Going back about ten years, in 1500m & one mile races, if 1200m split were passed by leader, 2:56 or slower, Matt C. often had a chance to win. If Matt C. were in the lead with 150m to go, usually Matt C. won. Matt C. knows if he has lost 200m/400m/600m/800m speed or not. Will Matt C. be willing to move up to 5000m knowing earning a medal is not likely but making 5000m final at Olympics & World Championships would be likely? I hope so. I think he can race sub-12:55 5000m.

If this is the end of the world then everybody should quit.

simpler wrote:

Maximus1552 wrote:

... the bad day he had at the Olympics I think killed his drive for racing.

His GF Shelby getting banned after both of them ordered and ate carne asada burritos from the same taco truck on the same order is what killed his racing drive. Shelby blamed her positive test on what they both had eaten, and Centro supported her claim. Think about that happening, and then think about how it would affect you.

You're mistating some facts. He wasn't there the day she bought the burrito and they were no longer dating by that time.

I thought about it and her getting busted would have no effect on my running.

I really don't see the big deal. He got eliminated in a tough Tokyo 1500 semi, after scaring the American mile AR and hitting a PB <3:50

if that's washed up everyone should be so lucky. A couple of sub-par races post olympics. So what?