Brooks Beasts 800/1500 Prediction Thread

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5 years ago 03/06/2021 10:17am EST

I think I've watched pretty much all of the TAS's "Becoming a Beast" videos, so here are my predictions for their times today:

800

Windle - 1:46.5 - It looks like he's in shape, but it's been a while since he's had a good race. I figure 1:46 sounds right then.

Brown - 1:49 high - He's been injured recently, and he didn't really look that great in his last two workouts. I wouldn't be surprised to see him run slower than this, but he ran 1:50 in a time trial last summer, and I still think he's in better shape now.

1500

Kerr - 3:35.00 - He should be challenging for the win here. Looks to me like he's fit, and 3:35 seems like a good opener for a 3:32 guy.

Yorks/Ribich - 3:37 mid - It looks to me like they're in pretty similar shape from their workouts, so I think they'll finish pretty close to one another. I expect them to be a couple seconds behind Kerr, as he's clearly the best in the group and they've been behind him in workouts.

Wynne - 3:38 mid - He seemed to struggle with some of the longer workouts at altitude, but he did well at the shorter stuff.

5 years ago 03/06/2021 12:36pm EST

re: Flew the coop

Seems about right. I'd give the 800 guys maybe a half second faster, and slow the 1500 guys a half sec. I doubt Kerr will blast this first one, will probably run controlled through 1100 meters.

But a sub 3:36 would be a pleasant surprise.

5 years ago 03/06/2021 12:42pm EST

re: Flew the coop

Spencer Brown will run 1:51. Kid is not consistent at all, and if he isn’t in clear PR shape he runs very poorly.

5 years ago 03/06/2021 1:36pm EST

re: my two pennies

Windle is in the field as a 2+second favorite so if he doesn't win I'll be surprised, but this is a good no-presure race for him to return to competition. He's not run well for awhile, so I'm anxious to see if hes got his head right or not because it appears he hasn't been the same guy since he debuted with the Beasts. Someone needs to tell them to go somewhere with real altitude for their training blocks. Also David R is setting up a pretty good rivalry with Nick Symmonds as the most annoying guy on social media.

Promoting Excellence in Running, Integrity of Character, Clarity of Mind, Sublime Humor.

5 years ago 03/06/2021 1:39pm EST

re: my two pennies

5 years ago 03/06/2021 9:37pm EST

re: TMADDDHASFNE

Karisa Nelson 4:15 ?

5 years ago 03/06/2021 9:39pm EST

re: Brooks Beast of a Man

Brooks Beast of a Man wrote:
Karisa Nelson 4:15 ?

And Marta Freitas didn't do well at European Indoors. It'll be interesting to see how the men do.

5 years ago 03/06/2021 9:46pm EST

re: Flew the coop

I was right about Kerr at least lol, what a talent. The rest of the Beasts didn't do as well as I thought.

5 years ago 03/06/2021 9:46pm EST

re: Flew the coop

Josh Kerr a stud.

The rest of the boys ?

5 years ago 03/06/2021 9:50pm EST

re: Brooks Beast of a Man

Kerr is just world class. Just as much a medal threat as Wightman & Grice.

5 years ago 03/06/2021 9:51pm EST

re: Flew the coop

Man the Brooks training just isn't working out so far. Too bad.

5 years ago 03/06/2021 9:52pm EST

re: Dude what

5 years ago 03/06/2021 9:58pm EST

re: Flew the coop

Nia 2:03

Karisa coming back with the pace job ?

5 years ago 03/06/2021 10:00pm EST

re: JoshKerrIsFast

JoshKerrIsFast wrote:
Centro is washed.

*Cilantro

5 years ago 03/06/2021 10:05pm EST

re: Flew the coop

5 years ago 03/06/2021 10:06pm EST

re: cramister

Drew Windle 1:48 ?

The Athlete Spencer 1:49 ?

5 years ago 03/06/2021 10:07pm EST

re: Flew the coop

Flew the coop wrote:
I think I've watched pretty much all of the TAS's "Becoming a Beast" videos, so here are my predictions for their times today:
800
Windle - 1:46.5 - It looks like he's in shape, but it's been a while since he's had a good race. I figure 1:46 sounds right then.
Brown - 1:49 high - He's been injured recently, and he didn't really look that great in his last two workouts. I wouldn't be surprised to see him run slower than this, but he ran 1:50 in a time trial last summer, and I still think he's in better shape now.
1500
Kerr - 3:35.00 - He should be challenging for the win here. Looks to me like he's fit, and 3:35 seems like a good opener for a 3:32 guy.
Yorks/Ribich - 3:37 mid - It looks to me like they're in pretty similar shape from their workouts, so I think they'll finish pretty close to one another. I expect them to be a couple seconds behind Kerr, as he's clearly the best in the group and they've been behind him in workouts.
Wynne - 3:38 mid - He seemed to struggle with some of the longer workouts at altitude, but he did well at the shorter stuff.

Lol I was right with Spencer. Windle didn't do as well as I thought either, but I guess he hasn't raced in a long time.

5 years ago 03/06/2021 10:24pm EST

re: Flew the coop

Kerr needs to get the heck out of there. That group is just not good.

5 years ago 03/07/2021 12:50am EST

re: Flew the coop

Flew the coop wrote:
I was right about Kerr at least lol, what a talent. The rest of the Beasts didn't do as well as I thought.

I think Ribich is delusional.

5 years ago 03/07/2021 5:47am EST

re: Dude what

Dude what wrote:
Kerr is just world class. Just as much a medal threat as Wightman & Grice.

I mean yeah he did finish 6th at Worlds. Strong front running.

Better 1500 conditions than 800 conditions last night. Think 1:49-high for Spencer is pretty good for a March opener in the cold. His PR is 1:49-low. Probably gets that today in warmer conditions. Would have liked to have seen him in the 1500 that went pretty fast. 3:37.5 is gonna take some work but is possible.

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