My birthday is on March 3, I haven't trained seriously since the pandemic began, and my yearly sub 5 streak (3/3/20xx - 3/2/20xx) is on the line. Prior to this year's upcoming birthday, I've run sub 5 at every age since I first did it at age 16. I'm turning 35 this year, so it's close to a 20 year streak.
A typical week looked like this:
Sunday - 6 mile long-ish run
Monday - 2 mile warmup, 4x200 in ~31-32"
Tuesday - 4 miles easy
Wed - 5 miles easy
Thurs - off
Fri - 1.75 mile warmup, 4 100m strides
Sat - half mile warmup, ~1.5 miles of intervals/speedwork to break up the monotony (untimed, plenty of rest in between reps), 2 mile cooldown
Total: 23.5 MPW
Yesterday, I threw on the spikes and ran an all-out 400 to see whether I even had any speed at all. I got a self-timed 62.1.
Is that, combined with my low mileage, enough to give me a remote chance of going under 5 by the end of the month? Should I even bother with a taper at this recent low level of training? My 1500 PR was barely under 4:30 when I was doing 40-45 MPW, so I'm not confident at all.
Any advice?