Okay he may not move up distance for over six years, but could he do this one day?
Okay he may not move up distance for over six years, but could he do this one day?
Yes if he puts his mind to it.
I believe we'll see 2:02/2:03 by 2025. Sub 2hrs will be much greater news than sub 4min, but I'll be long gone by then. I say 2100 for sub 2hrs.
For sub 2, the Half needs to be 57ish, and the 10 needs to be 25ish.
sorry, but something is just not right.
ethiopia now has female runners kicking 57 sec last 400m in the 10,000m and we think that 2 hour marathon for Bekele would be no sweat.
I am not accusing them of doping, but something is strange.
Well lets try a basic extrapolation from Tergat's times.....
His 10k record is 10 seconds faster than Tergat's....
So being generous lets say that translates to 45-60 seconds faster for a marathon..... That still only means 2.03.55
Get the point? He will not runs a sub 2 hour marathon!
fishy wrote:
sorry, but something is just not right.
ethiopia now has female runners kicking 57 sec last 400m in the 10,000m and we think that 2 hour marathon for Bekele would be no sweat.
I am not accusing them of doping, but something is strange.
The difference is that the 1500m runners are the ones who can't make the 5k or 10k team.
sub 2hour will never happen-unless ran mostly downhill!
yea, I would like to see what some of those top marathoners could do on those courses that drop like 1000 feet over the entire course.
No, he could not run a sub-2:00 marathon. That would require an improvement over the world record of more than eleven seconds per mile. It would be equivalent to improving the 10,000 record by well over a minute.
He just ran 25 laps at about 63 seconds per lap.
By my (just scratched) calculations he would have to run 105.5 laps at 68 seconds each to come in in 1:59:30
5k world record pace = 61 sec per lap
10k world record pace = 63 sec per lap
1/2 marathon world record pace = 66.5 sec per lap
marathon world record = 71 sec per lap
You are talking almost 12 seconds per mile faster than anyone has ever done.
It doesn't seem likely that anyone will run under 2 hours anytime soon. The record has dropped about 10 seconds a year for the last 7 years. At that rate we are 30 years away. But the progression will slow down and it will probably take much longer than that, if at all.
If you put someone on a downhill course with a helicopter hovering behind him to push him along, maybe it can be done. But not on a legitimate course in our lifetime.
fishy wrote:
sorry, but something is just not right.
ethiopia now has female runners kicking 57 sec last 400m in the 10,000m and we think that 2 hour marathon for Bekele would be no sweat.
I am not accusing them of doping, but something is strange.
What's an acceptable time for the last lap of a 10k?
Thanks.
fishy wrote:
sorry, but something is just not right.
ethiopia now has female runners kicking 57 sec last 400m in the 10,000m and we think that 2 hour marathon for Bekele would be no sweat.
I am not accusing them of doping, but something is strange.
The fishy thing here is how good Dibaba is!
Bekele and Dibaba are not just good. They are no longer human.
Would they allow a marathon world record on ran on a track?
no they wouldnt...i dont believe they allow loop courses for WRs
I think people in 100 years will look at things like this and laugh, in the "oh, those ignorant morons" way that we do at the people who said 4:12 would forever be the mile record.
2:00 will be broken in a Marathon, it's just a matter of...time. I don't think it'll be Bekele, and I don't think it'll be Bekele's kid. BUt somewhere down the road, it'll happen.
fishy wrote:
sorry, but something is just not right.
ethiopia now has female runners kicking 57 sec last 400m in the 10,000m and we think that 2 hour marathon for Bekele would be no sweat.
I am not accusing them of doping, but something is strange.
What's fishy is your subtle insinuation of drug use.
For the love of avoiding repetitive garbage, get off it. Bekele has consistently demonstrated himself a top talent with unbelievable training regimens, toughness, and confidence during races. 8 W-XC gold medals, an Olympic title, and two World Titles. Four WR's as well.
That's training, talent, and mental toughness.
Bekele break 2 hours? No way...
I'd guess high 2:03s if and when he decides to move up.
according to Jack Daniels' V-Dot formula
Bekele is: v-dot 85
3:23.5 1500, 3:39.6 mile, 7:14.1 3k, 7:48.9 2mile
12:37.4 5k
26:19 10k
40:17 15k, 57:50 half marathon
21:10 marathon
Proof that Daniels formulas are inaccurate.