Converting Reliable VO2 Numbers to Race Performance Predictions/Equivalents?
I need some you other oldsters to help me here, please.
I am putting it all out there with full disclosure and no hype. I am posting here, as the open forum can get toxic quickly.
Caveat, what follows is lengthy post...
Last week, I completed my second VO2 Max test at a major local university using the state of
the art equipment. (I am part of a no fee study group).
My first test 90 days ago was a VO2 Max 57.4. Last week I was 59.2 with the same protocol; I
went :57 seconds longer, had slightly lower lactate measurements, and lower average heart rate.
Personal information:
-BMI 19.3, BF 13.7% using reliable DEXA measurements. 65.5 y/o, training 40-45 miles per week (down from 50s last year, but with fewer junk miles).
-18-21% of total mileage quality: evenly spread over seven day cycles.
-Hard easy rotation- using a combination of hard up tempo (actually using a local ParkRun that basically passes as a 21st century a cross country course with dirt paths and three decent hills), light intervals 200m-1200m, and 150m strides. (a few other hills and some fartlek mixed in).
-Light core with 6:00 planks with good form.
-Healthy diet, well fueled and hydrated, and rested.
-I THINK I know how to taper and race, but was never and am not ”fast”. Close to 50 years of running and racing experience. Age graded numbers are all significantly better than in my prime in either in my early 20s or as a early masters runner at age 40.
All good so far...
Using the Jack Daniels calculator and tables as well as other charts say with a 59.2 VO2
number I should be able to run a 17:15 5K and a 5:14 mile. Hahahahahah... There is no way in heck, I can hit those numbers again - those are times I ran about 25 years ago. and would be 'world class' (95%+) equivalents today. Now even under good conditions, I have to have almost ideal conditions to hit 20:30 and a sub 6:00 mile. In a 2022 world I think I am doing 'okay' – In last night's (Sunday) 84 degrees 5K race, even though I went out just a touch fast on a twisty turning course, I managed second male out of 35 male masters over age 40, but the time as with the Parkruns the time just wasn't there IMO. (no taper just five very easy early early Saturday morning).
Masters T&F Nationals in Kentucky is in four weeks away. I am entered in the 5000m on Thursday and the 1500m on Saturday.
I really don't care a ton about making the podium, although a sub 20:00 and 5:30 could do it is
the planets aligned. I would really like to hit some good times. I DO realize champanionship meets/races are about place finishes and not all about times, but this may be my best hope for fast times this year.
I have a road mile in a week (Fourth of July) and a couple more ParkRuns scheduled between now and the end of July.
MY question (see I do have one!); What can I do to maximize my performances in Kentucky
and come close to a sub 20:00 5K and 5:30 1500m (converts to a sub 6:00 mile)?
Thanks in advance.