Dems have 21 combinations of undecided state results that win for them while GOP has 39 (with 5 combos resulting in a tie).
Given how polls have understated Trump support somewhat significantly in the past (2016 and 2020), right now things look good for Trump.
The more Kamala does interviews, the better it is for Trump
You might want to look at your link again.
It shows Trump with 235 and Harris with 226.
On that map, if Harris wins PA, MI and WI, she gets 270. Even if she loses NV, AZ and GA.
But here's the thing. That map has NC going to Trump. That's very much up in the air right now. If Harris can take NC, she can lose either MI or WI. As long as she takes PA.
Based on this map, Trump needs to hold NC, win NV, AZ, and GA, AND still take one of PA, MI or WI.
Trumpers are banking on the polls being wrong like they were in 2016 and 2020, and not like they were in 2012.
Trump is the best thing that ever happened to this country. He loves his base more than any politician ever has. He is going to win this thing big. Kamala is flailing and badly. And I still love his tax penalty on the blue states with the lower ability to write off Democrat state and local taxes as well as property taxes. States like Texas the locals saved big and in states like NY, CT, CA and NJ were smoked. Best targeted attack on enemies ever by a President. I have grievances and so does Trump. His vengeance will be anachronistic.
The Trumpers have no dignity and swallow the constant obvious lying that insults their intelligence. As a result, apparently, they resent people (including [actual] journalists) who don’t do that.
Trump rally: “YAY, YOU’RE CONSTANTLY TELLING OBVIOUS LIES TO OUR FACES!!! YOU HAVE ZERO RESPECT FOR US !!!”
REALLY strange what some people find enjoyable. Or even tolerable.
On polling, one thing we haven't talked about much is the generic ballot...since harris took the con, it surged pretty strongly for Dems. That should help carry her across the finish line.
On polling, one thing we haven't talked about much is the generic ballot...since harris took the con, it surged pretty strongly for Dems. That should help carry her across the finish line.
Clearly - obvious to anyone of above average intelligence
Do you require further explanation?
Yes.
I'd like to know how anyone can watch the Oprah interview and Kamala's answers and claim she is clearly intelligent.
Hence my asking you what your definition of clearly is
Ok, you do require further explanation. I said it would be obvious to a person of above average position.
A person of above average intelligence would base knowledge of intelligence, not on one small sample of behavior, particularly a sample that is vulnerable to a subjectively biased assessment. But would look at the totality of the person which would include objective (career, education, passed bar exam, accomplishments) and some more subjective criterion.
You chose your state/city. The Federal Government has nothing to do with that.
The top Federal tax rate is 37% not 40%. Your hyperbole is stupid.
Federal income taxes are a minimal part of what poor and middle class people pay in taxes overall
Bingo. "In 2021, the bottom half of taxpayers earned 10.4 percent of total AGI and paid 2.3 percent of all federal individual income taxes. The top 1 percent earned 26.3 percent of total AGI and paid 45.8 percent of all federal income taxes."
The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) made many significant, but temporary, changes to the individual income tax code to lower tax rates, widen brackets, increase the standard deduction and child tax credit, and more.
Moreover, the top Federal bracket will revert to 39.6% (so, basically 40%) on January 1, 2026, a given if Kamala is elected. Also, corporate and capital gains rates will be increasing as well. To say nothing of state, municipal, sales, AHA, social security, etc. Will we see commensurate cuts in spending, particularly on pork and wars? GTFO.
