Yes, also interesting if they've adjusted their polling methods to better capture the "Trump effect" or not. My hope is they've overcorrected and have too much M*GA representation in the polling.
I did read one pollster's change...when someone picks up and screams about how trump will end the deep state, put the uppity races in their place and get lizard people out of the government and then hangs up in fury without formally answering the posed polling question, in the past that was ruled a 'no answer.' But now that pollster calls it a 'trump vote.'
so that could make the polls more accurate this time. For that pollster anyway.
Yeah also this isn't 2020... those who still support Trump are probably not afraid to say it anymore. There are also a lot more pollsters now which should lead to better accuracy overal. And many aren't just using telephone lines anymore - they have shifted online and some are using a blend.
Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery, especially when it comes to Halloween masks. The sale of presidential candidates' Halloween masks has directly corresponded to the electoral outcome ever...
Johnnie Brock's Dungeon has sold political masks for decades. In 2016 -- Trump masks outsold Hillary Clinton masks. Before that, Obama outsold McCain and Romney. The sales have accurately predicted the outcome since 1984.
I did read one pollster's change...when someone picks up and screams about how trump will end the deep state, put the uppity races in their place and get lizard people out of the government and then hangs up in fury without formally answering the posed polling question, in the past that was ruled a 'no answer.' But now that pollster calls it a 'trump vote.'
so that could make the polls more accurate this time. For that pollster anyway.
Yeah also this isn't 2020... those who still support Trump are probably not afraid to say it anymore. There are also a lot more pollsters now which should lead to better accuracy overal. And many aren't just using telephone lines anymore - they have shifted online and some are using a blend.
agreed..not as embarassing to say 'yes I will vote for spanky' after he's been president.
and also Rs have learned to flood the zone with biased polls as a campaign tactic, to make trump look more popular than he actually is, in the 538-style polling averages. Didn't have all that in the past.
On Point Politics' model in 2020 hit Sleepy Joe's electoral count perfectly. It was 306 on the nose. He's forecasting 312 for Trump in 2024.
He has a PROVEN track record. It's too bad that it doesn't fit your lib narrative and you'll reject it. He's more accurate than Nate Silver, RCP or 538.
In the upcoming week, AtlasIntel will be releasing their swing state polls.
Kamala is losing this election.
You libs need to start focusing on the top 5 polls such as AtlasIntel, Rasmussen, Trafalgar, InsiderAdvantage and Harris Insights.
He didn’t have a model in 2020. He hand-tuned a model in 2024 that got 2020 correct and then hand-tuned it some more to make nonsense predictions about 2024.
What is your prediction on Kamala's Electoral count? Put it on the record.
Are we not using boat parades, yard signs and bumper stickers sightings this go around?
I'm sensing that the Trump people aren't quite as fixated on rally attendance as a barometer of electoral success this time around. I wonder if Trump speaking to empty seats and the crazy crowds that Kamala is drawing have anything to do with that.
Saw a nice Trump boat parade yesterday. Of course, I'm in a blue state that Trump won't win, so nobody really cares as long as they mind their manners (which doesn't always happen).
Only leftists having degrees is another lie you mindless cultists believe.
Yeah, we know you almost got your online associate graduate degree in being an idiot from Bumf*ck State College for Morons.
“Went to grad school” is something people who didn’t get a PhD say. It’s something people who failed out of grad school say.
Or it's something someone who got a Master's degree would say.
Amusing that you're crapping on other people's educations and you had no idea that grad school wasn't just for doctorates.
Since you don't know this basic information about how college works we now know with 100% certainty that you never spent a second in school beyond an undergraduate degree.
Based on your stupidity we can safely assume if you have a degree at all it is in a completely worthless subject area.
Yeah, we know you almost got your online associate graduate degree in being an idiot from Bumf*ck State College for Morons.
“Went to grad school” is something people who didn’t get a PhD say. It’s something people who failed out of grad school say.
Or it's something someone who got a Master's degree would say.
Amusing that you're crapping on other people's educations and you had no idea that grad school wasn't just for doctorates.
Since you don't know this basic information about how college works we now know with 100% certainty that you never spent a second in school beyond an undergraduate degree.
Based on your stupidity we can safely assume if you have a degree at all it is in a completely worthless subject area.
Why even talk to the Japanese dumb bum? he cowere when the going gets rough. I used my D game and put him to sleep. he’s got a long fiery ride ahead of him.
Yeah, we know you almost got your online associate graduate degree in being an idiot from Bumf*ck State College for Morons.
“Went to grad school” is something people who didn’t get a PhD say. It’s something people who failed out of grad school say.
Or it's something someone who got a Master's degree would say.
Amusing that you're crapping on other people's educations and you had no idea that grad school wasn't just for doctorates.
Since you don't know this basic information about how college works we now know with 100% certainty that you never spent a second in school beyond an undergraduate degree.
Based on your stupidity we can safely assume if you have a degree at all it is in a completely worthless subject area.
I happen to know a backup burger flipper in Mississippi who wants to meet him, but the coward went silent when it was crunch time.