ventolin^3 wrote:
those estimates are for a "perfect race"
someone posted that his splits were 4'08/4'01 ???
if that is anywhere near true, then i'm sure he wouda been ~ 8'06/8'07 at even pace
take home message is that rupp is capable of
<12'50
( maybe even now )
No one replied to this so maybe you've answered the question for yourself but he ran 4:08.80 for the first 1618 meters and 4:00.92 for the last 1600, so what, something like 4:07.4/4:02.3 if you split on the mile marker?
I will bet any amount of money you want that Bronze will be slower than 26:30.00 Put up or shut up.
ventolin^3 wrote:
you have to read between the lines
kenyans pushed trials back to May so that their 3 can be in top shape again by august
they know they are traditionally vulnerable in last lap, so they have no choice but to run a team race with each of the 3 rotating after coupla laps leading & aiming for huge pbs to run the legs off the field
( this will be a tt, but the pacers you'll get are kiprop & komon as 2 !!! )
it won't work, but 1 of the 3 may get a bronze & i think 26'30 may not get a bronze !
I would agree. In fact, I doubt the gold will be that fast. However, if we are saying that at least five guys will be in 26:30 shape, then I would agree. And Rupp will be one of those. Question is, can he stay with a tactical race, where the pace is constantly accelerating, then backing off, and still have enough in the tank to close that last 800 extremely fast?
excoastranger wrote:
IAAF scoring tables are another way to look at it.
Lagat's 8:10.07 = 1253/1254 points.
Rupp's recent 3:57.10 = 1167/1168 points.
Rupp's 7:42.4 indoor 3,000m = 1186 points.
Rupp's 13:11.44 indoor 5,000 = 1220 points.
That 1220 points/13:11.44 is roughly equal to 3:53.16, 7:37.11 and 8:15.64.
Of course, Rupp continues to improve.
Now we have
Rupp's 8:09.72 indoor 2 mile = 1255 (~13:02 5000)
Lagat's 13:07.15 indoor 5,000 = 1236 ( ~8:13 2 mile)
Don't forget that he finished that indoor 2 mile run in 7:35.4 for the last 3000m
34.4 for the first 415 or so meters and last 3000m in 7:35.4
Now THAT was funny, and you may just be right!
What do you say Ventolin
$200 says bronze is slower than 26:30.00. Time to put your money where your mouth is.
Rupp was very impressive - Teg was the only American ever under 8:10 (outdoor) and for Galen to do what he did on the indoor track was awesome!!! What a great talent.