In terms of distance events, as I think about the 1500, I think that ultimately even though half the field needs 3:33.50, I think it's most likelly to be a case of prisoner's dilemma where no one pushes the 2nd 800. They end up wimping out. I think Nuguse may get under there but I'm going to predict third isn't under.
I'd love to be wrong.
Regardless, I do think it will be fast and keep going back and forth as to who will win. For the prediction contest, I picked Nuguse but I keep telling myself that Hocker looks amazing and this will end up being the equivalent of Kerr vs Jakob so I should go with Hocker.
But then I just looked up the Pre Classic results. There Yared was 2.73 seconds faster than Hocker so that should be enough to win despite having to lead, right?
What have we said on the pod? 2.5 seconds.
For thirdd in a fast race, I think it's Kessler, maybe Teare. Don't discount Wynne - he's been very ipressive to me. Waskom also. No one else has a shot if it is fast.