In the NE open race a kid just ran 16:04. I doubt that will be a top 5 fastest time, but it will be close. By googling his name, it also looks like hes Canadian.
1. Are you even allowed to qual from the open race?
2. Are Canadians allowed to compete in a US national meet? Lmao
1) No. They have to be in the championship race to make NXN.
2) Not at NXN or Footlocker because to compete in championship regional (national qualifying) races I think they have to compete in a region based on what state their school is in. Non-US areas are not assigned to any regions. If I remember correctly there were some Canadian individuals in RunningLane
If you look at Tully Runners Boys Highest Speed Ratings (updated through 11/27), CBA is the only team with 7 runners included. Herriman and Niwot both have 6, Belen 5, American Fork 4, and Southlake Carroll, Downers Grove North and Couer D'Alene all with 3. I know there is worry about bias, but I think this makes it clear that those first three are the ones best positioned to deal with adversity if someone has a bad day. Can't wait to see how it shakes out!
If you look at Tully Runners Boys Highest Speed Ratings (updated through 11/27), CBA is the only team with 7 runners included. Herriman and Niwot both have 6, Belen 5, American Fork 4, and Southlake Carroll, Downers Grove North and Couer D'Alene all with 3. I know there is worry about bias, but I think this makes it clear that those first three are the ones best positioned to deal with adversity if someone has a bad day. Can't wait to see how it shakes out!
Speed ratings have been slightly changed on specific courses (3 mile races in California, the speed ratings are too low depending on the course). These are California speed ratings, and may not be the same as speed ratings from other regions. (I had to speed rate races myself that weren't speed rated) Below is the highest performance speed rating for each runner in the 2023 xc season.
#1 - Great Oak Westin Brown (11) - 188 Jacob Brown (11) - 183 Jack Paradise (11) - 176 Marco Franco (10) - 171 Christian Gump (11) - 169 Carson Lynch (11) - 160 Ruben Sanchez(10) - 154 Nicolas Ovalle (11) - 154 Jack McMurrin (10) - 151 - One of the top 3 California teams to watch out for next year, this team already has their top 5 above 169+. I believe this will be the favorite team coming from California next year. They may be looking for redemption next year, after their 17th place finish at NXN.
#2 - Jesuit SJ Isaac Abbott (10) - 177 Matthew Ogilvie (9) - 171 Chase Cressman (11) - 170 Drake Hoferer (10) - 170 Navin Kadel (11) - 162 Brady Blum (11) - 156 Robert Fuentes (11) - 153 Rafael Jopson (9) - 152 Kyle Jackary (10) - 150 Lucas Alberts (9) - 149 Trevor Felix (11) - 149 - Jesuit has the legendary coach, the talent, the depth, everything! This is the one of the three best california team to watch next year. They will be insane!
#3 Buchanan Luke S (11) - 180 Jansen G (10) - 176 Max J(11) - 170 Michael P(10) - 170 Deaglan G(11) 167 Andrew Ray(9) - 161 Antonio Benitez(11) - 155 Amani R(10) - 151 Matthew C(10) - 151 Dylan Rea (9) - 151 Jose Rico (9) - 150 - One of the top 3 California teams to watch next year. I believe this team has the best 9th-10th graders. These young runners could potentially make huge jumps next year. Their talent potential is insane. Watch out for Buchanan!
#4 - ML King Maximo Zavaleta(10) - 187 Brad Quezado (10) - 177 Brayden Lunetta (11) - 173 Alex Wesołowski (11) - 168 Logan Carlson (10) - 167 Frank Stewart (10) - 156 Zachary Halama (11) - 155 John Sosa(9) - 150 - A new team that has insane talent expect the team to be averaging 175+ at the very start of the season next year. They have 8 solid runners, after that it’s a drop off.
#5 - Arnold Beckman Mason Nguyen (11) - 178 Anthony Barrera (11) - 174 Aaron Feaster (11) - 171 Christian Weber (10) - 170 Nolan Barajas (10) - 156 Ryan Barris (9) - 154 - Arnold Beckman is expected to be one of the top California teams for the next season. They have a solid 1-4, all having run above 170+ speed rating. They need a 5th runner to step up, and they will be set for the upcoming season. It is expected that young runners Nolan and Ryan could have a big improvement the next season to be that 5th runner. Expect this team to be averaging in the 175+ at the start of the season.
#6 Mira Costa Isaac Faynsod (11) - 177 Carson Ehman (10) - 171 Ian Hansen (11) - 165 Krish Desai (10) - 165 Carson Ehman (10) - 159 Max Mironowicz (10) - 159 JT Kaplan (10) - 155 Ryan Burger (10) - 154 Jack Barrera (11) - 151 - One of the best California squads for next year. The team already has 4 really good runners and tons of talented sophomores. This team can be huge next year. Very dangerous team next year.
#7 Trabuco Hills Dylan Jubak (11) - 179 Carsten Williams (11) - 178 Ziyad Adballah (11) - 176 James Kuhn (11) - 152 Lucan Clemons (9) - 152 - Trabuco had insane depth last year and was one of the most talented California teams going into the 2023 season. They had the similar talent levels as ventura did. However, unlike Ventura, Trabuco Hills managed to pull through in the end, coming 5th in the merge, despite their lackluster early season. Losing a huge stack of seniors, Trabuco hills still has one of the best 1-2-3 in California. Hopefully their 4-5 can move up, making them a better team than they were last year, a 77:50 at the California State meet.
#8 Woodbridge Aidan Antonio (9) - 177 Aiden Zavala (10) - 176 Inban Kathiravan (10) - 172 Iniyan Kathiravan (10) - 158 Thomas Yohn (9) - 156 - Woodbridge has never been good until recently. Hopefully this fine group of young freshman and sophomores can put together something special. They already have 3 runners above 170s+. This team doesn’t have much depth past their 5th.
#9 Tesoro Griffin Kushen (11) - 187 Ryan McNamara (11) - 168 Chase Manning (10) - 164 Mateo Allen-Aguirree(11) - 162 Parker Wolfe (11) - 161 Gabriel Raco (10) - 151 Ezra Bryden (11) - 150 -Tesora has 1 very good runner and insane depth. If they can get 4 more runners consistently above 170+ next year, they can be a powerhouse.
#10 Redondo Union Adam Divinity (11) - 183 Alexander Barbarie (11) - 168 Matthew Walter (11) - 162 Joshua Thomas (11) - 159 Kristopher Jarmillo (11) - 159 - The California team with 1 solid runner and 4 more decent runners around 160+. Redondo Union has lots of depths below 155. This team has more depth than Tesora does.
#11 Glendora Dylan Flores (11) - 182 Mathias Oliveros (11) - 175 Diago Garcia (11) - 169 Kevin Sandoval (11) - 168 Andrew Carlson (11) - 149 Jeremiah Shahbaz(11) - 144 Eamon Wright(11) - 143 - Glendora is in a similar position as Oaks Christian. Their 1-4 is very fast! All of them have technically gone above 168+, with a solid number 1, Dylan Flores, expected be one of the better runners in the country next year. Hopefully they can find that 5th man that can mix it up with them.
#12 Matilda Torres Benjamin Fernandez (10) - 178 Hunter Hannah (10) - 176 Noah Felix (11) - 165 Alfonso Del Toro (10) - 158 Buffalo Soito (11) - 151 Angel Ramirez (10) - 147 - Matilda Torres very young team that has a strong 1-2 punch of sophomores. Lacks depth but has a solid 6 assuming they improve. Most of the team has been running since middle school.
#13 Oaks Christian Christian Yoder (11) - 178 Cooper McNee (11) - 178 Josh Mitchell (11) - 167 Vin Krueger (11) - 166 - Oaks Christian has a very strong top 4 runners but they need to find that 5th runner.
#14 Palisades Charter Blake Sigworth (10) - 178 Zachary Cohen (10) - 174 Owen Lewicky (11) - 174 Andrew Razo (10) - 155 Ben Barnett (11) - 139 Roland Beckling (10) - 133 - One of the biggest surprises this year. Palisades was 6th in the merge, having come out of nowhere. Many people think this team will do big things next year because most of their squad is young. However, this team lost 2 crucial scorers. This is a very small team and has no depth or talent past their top 4. Hopefully ,they can find a 5th next year and be big
So the second autoqualifying team wasn’t in this list. And it was a ~500 student school
Also shows that relatively slower CBA xc times are a reflection of the tougher NE courses they run, not the speed of the runners. Maybe those speed ratings aren't so biased after all?
Also shows that relatively slower CBA xc times are a reflection of the tougher NE courses they run, not the speed of the runners. Maybe those speed ratings aren't so biased after all?
Kids in the Northeast have a clear advantage when it comes to running fast track times due to factors like access to indoor track, racing at sea level, and abundant high-profile meets. In contrast, athletes from high-altitude states, like Colorado or Utah, face physiological challenges that slow their times, and many states don’t have indoor track, limiting racing opportunities to outdoor meets in tough conditions. However, fast track times don’t always translate to cross country, where uneven terrain, hills, and endurance come into play.
Niwot lost to Herriman but if Culpepper was where he was at Desert Twilight they could win.
If we put him at third(1 second faster that Horton see Desert Twilight) the scoring would be:
Niwot: 3,12,15,20,23. 73 Points
Herriman: 8,10,11,17,33. 79 Points
However this is theoretical but if Culpepper is healthy Niwot is certainly right with CBA and Herriman.
Do we know what happened to Rocco Culpepper, though? I don't know that I see him suddenly being back at his old level considering he has had two bad races in a row. If he was himself, he'd have been top 5 at NXR and top 2-3 at 5A CO state. He went out hard both times with the leaders and dropped -- injury? Illness?