Crazy performance for Oaks Christian and they also have the best team time on the day by 3 seconds despite getting 2nd in the scoring overall. They have a tiny chance at stealing an NXN spot from Beckman next week if Mason Nguyen has another bad race. But if he performs as expected, Beckman looks safe.
If these are the best results SS can put out, looking like CA won't have any at larges for NXN this year. Would take some historic performances from the non Beckman/Jesuit teams at state to change the narrative for CA this year.
Does anyone have any idea about what happened to Callum McBride and Nate-Griffin Yeh? They arguably one of the top returners along Caldwell, Sagiraju, and Rattary in NCS. Today they both didn’t race knowing these two could’ve been NCS champs for their respective divisions.
Trabuco Hills beat Santiago Corona today by more than 2 minutes. They beat JSerra by more than 4 minutes. That's very impressive. Trabuco Hills should not have a problem beating Buchanan next week.
they had two transfers - 5 guys under 4:24 in the 1600. crazy that they didn't make it
The Watkins brothers? Neither of them raced today and when they did they were hardly ever scoring for MLK.
So it wouldn’t make much of a difference if the transfers ran today. I still think that MLK not making state is the biggest surprise of the day. Their 2-6 guys were close together. Maybe they would have made it if this pack beat some more guys from other teams
From my data Ayala, Matilda Torres, Beckman also will be good next year plus MLK if they can find a 5th
ML King has a lot of work to do for next year. They didn’t make state and they are losing 2 of their top 4. Zavaleta is their only individual qualifier too.
Mira Costa is another team to watch out for next year. They only lose 2 seniors and one of them didn’t race today
I think California will have 2 boys get individual at large bids this year because of how deep they are. Assuming every California boy who individually qualified last year returns to NXN, we have Evan Noonan, Broen Holman, Eli Fitchen-young, & Aydon Stefanopoulos returning. I believe the other 3 auto-qualifiers will be between 4 runners: Griffin Kushen, Landon Pretre, Trey Caldwell, & Eyan Turk.
Part of me wants to say Maximo Zavaleta because he was the #1 California runner at Woodbridge this year but I have not seen anything since that would back it up. And that's without anyone who could conceivably be in "the bubble," like Tyler Daillak, Ben Bouie, Dylan Flores, Miles Cook, and J.R. Lesher.
Does anyone have any idea about what happened to Callum McBride and Nate-Griffin Yeh? They arguably one of the top returners along Caldwell, Sagiraju, and Rattary in NCS. Today they both didn’t race knowing these two could’ve been NCS champs for their respective divisions.
Close contact Albany alum here 😁 Callum has been running on a stress fracture this entire season (making his dominance during Farmers and Mariners all the more impressive), and he decided to call it a season after TCAL championships and talking with his soon-to-be-revealed college coaches.
I think Ben has a better chance than Miles. If Miles really wants to go to NxN then he should be shooting to beat Noonan and Ortiz- pretty much win the whole the thing. It’s not impossible tho, we didn’t think Lucas Cohen would make NxN but he almost beat Manny Perez at state.
Nate-Griffin Yeh did race, he just got 37th place in the D3 Boys race. Conditions were horrendous at NCS this year on the order of times 1:30-2:00 slower than most athletes' previous course PRs. That level of mud affects every athlete differently with some being severely hamstrung.
Shiiiii that’s tough to hear. Was lowkey rooting for the guy considering how he performed Track season. Lowkey had him on the Top 10 rankings for DIII.
I think Ben has a better chance than Miles. If Miles really wants to go to NxN then he should be shooting to beat Noonan and Ortiz- pretty much win the whole the thing. It’s not impossible tho, we didn’t think Lucas Cohen would make NxN but he almost beat Manny Perez at state.
nah from an outside perspective Lucas making NXN was impossible but from the inner team bubble I called it way back in September (in a post here too lmao), so only ppl who really know these guys can actually say much
but ppl closer to miles would probably note hes about 24s faster in CCS this year, and taking around 24s from his states time last year is just around 15:03. Give him some slack since he's run faster at clovis this year and semi-aggressively estimate he somehow drops 10s out of nowhere, and that's still 14:53. Which... probably won't make it? It seems probable enough for that he is in shape to run a little faster than his clovis time, but not by that much. It's a more common problem than you think that people peak too early, but Lucas would basically never, and knowing Lucas I knew just how far off his peak he was during his own (comparatively slower) Clovis race last year.
It's also how the races were run, Lucas has always been a frontrunner going out in 4:35-4:37 leading his clovis even though it was only like 15:04 by the end so we all knew as soon as his old track strength kicked in after season's workouts his mental strength and endurance would pull through and he'd drop 20, 30s. Miles ran with the pack at clovis through the mile and was just hanging on the whole way which is pretty different and I can't say for sure how much he was peaking for clovis. So with a well-paced clovis race with potentially more peaking, compared to Lucas he is already running closer to his potential, so I would say it is definitely less chances. but then again, I'm not as close to miles as I was Lucas so I can't really say anything.