recent races that are as fast as the pacing target of 12:41
Yomif Kejelcha, Jacob Kiplimo (2023 Oslo DL)- 12:41.73 (2:34.8, 2:36.1, 2:36.3, 2:30.3, 2:24.2):
time @ 1k: 2:34.8, 2k: 5:10.9, 3k: 7:47.2, 4k: 10:17.5, 5k: 12:41.73
Joshua Cheptegei (2023 Lausanne DL)- 12:41.61 (2:35.7, 2:34.8, 2:36.6, 2:31.9, 2:27.1):
time @ 1k: 2:35.7, 2k: 5:10.5, 3k: 7:42.5, 4k: 10:14.2, 5k: 12:41.61
Berihu Aregawi (2023 Lausanne DL)- 12:40.45 (2:35.0, 2:34.8, 2:31.7, 2:32.2, 2:26.7):
time @ 1k: 2:35.0, 2k: 5:09.8, 3k: 7:41.5, 4k: 10:13.7 5k: 12:40.45
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sub-12:40 club:
Daniel Komen (1997)- 12:39.74 (2:32.7, 2:32.7, 2:31.9, 2:31.21, 2:31.2):
time @ 1k: 2:32.7, 2k: 5:05.4, 3k: 7:37.3, 4k: 10:08.51, 5k: 12:39.74
Haile Gebrselassie (1998)- 12:39.36 (2:34.8, 2:31.6, 2:32.9, 2:32.8, 2:27.3):
time @ 1k: 2:34.8, 2k: 5:06.4, 3k: 7:39.3, 4k: 10:12.1, 5k: 12:39.39
Kenenisa Bekele (2004)- 12:37.35 (2:33.24, 2:32.23, 2:31.87, 2:30.59, 2:29.42):
time @ 1k: 2:33.24, 2k: 5:05.47, 3k: 7:37.34, 4k: 10:07.93, 5k: 12:37.35
Joshua Cheptegei (2021)- 12:35.36 (2:32.3, 2:31.8, 2:31.1, 2:30.3, 2:29.9):
time @ 1k: 2:32.2, 2k: 5:04.1, 3k: 7:35.2, 4k: 10:05.5, 5k: 12:35.36
If the pacing target is 12:41 (maybe to beat the meeting record), then an even pace comes through in 7:36.6(2:32.2 per km). Still this, would likely be the second fastest start to a 5000m ever, and would allow the world record to still be threatened with a fast close.
Do you think that the race will actually go out in ~ 7:37? I could see 12:40 still being broken with a start as slow as 7:43. Still, 7:40 requires a 2k finish sub 5 which is just as dreadfully difficult.
How many break 12:40?
I don’t know that I see anyone besides Kejelcha running this.
12:50?
I think that there could be a few. Would love to see Adrian Wildschut and Grijalva in that type of form.
