Context matters wrote:
Let’s compare resumes:
Did Verzbicas or Ches win a medal in a world junior championship while in high school, like Ritz did? Has Sahlman done so?
Did Verzbicas or Ches smash a significant barrier that no other high school runner had broken in 35 years, or break a venerable record that had stood for 36 years, like Webb did? Has Sahlman done so?
Did Verzbicas or Ches place in the top 5 (like Webb) or top 11 (like Ritz) in their country’s senior level national championship the summer after they completed high school? Will Sahlman?
Has any high school runner in the last 20 years revitalized American distance running in the way that Webb, Ritz, and Hall did?
I think these are important points - the all time greats of high school are compared to the past (how much they break records by), present (how much they win by), and the future (how long their records last). That is the tough thing about trying to put the NP feats into context.
For instance, Lindgren absolutely crushed the 2 mile high school record, dominated his competition (and was pretty close to the world class level), and had his record stand up well for generations.
Ryun had a similar level of success, putting records out of reach for decades, as well as mixing it up with the very best in the world while in high school.
Webb's mile has held up quite well, too - with Kessler's 1500 (if you accept conversions) surpassing it 20 years later.
The issue with the current generation is that we don't have the perspective of the future to evaluate it. Will Kessler's 3:34 look as impressive in 10 years? Will the NP marks look like outliers, or just a data point in a trend? If they set records, they will get some credit for trailblazing - but if all their records are broken in 5 years, it will be a somewhat different story.