Intergalactic wrote:
I was really excited to see Robby in the final, but I am confident his best days are ahead. With a little more confidence and the tactical shifts that will bring, his kick will bring home some big hardware.
Yeah, his best days are ahead, but the confidence thing is clearly a double-edged sword. TOO MUCH confidence was the problem yesterday.
Robby's been feeling so good this season --after a number of races in which he continued to set himself up way to the rear, and didn't even bother to move up till at or after the bell, and *still* managed to find his way to the front without much trouble-- he's obviously gotten it in his head that he's now so strong he can consistently get away with that kind of racing.
He's wrong.
What he *should've* been thinking is, Yeah, I've gotten away with it up to this point, but this is the freaking Olympic Semi-final, and I haven't raced a field nearly this strong all year, and I NEED to make sure I'm closer to the front before the bell this time.
It looked to me like there was absolutely nothing preventing him from settling in, say, 5th, initially, where there was a beautiful hole for him, rather than 7th behind O'Hare, as he elects.
At 400, Kwemoi realizes it's not a great idea to sit so far behind the leaders in this race, and moves up 5 places. Robby sits there. Now he's 8th.
At 500-700, it slows and bunches up alarmingly. Centro adjust his position to stay out of trouble and keep clear. Robby sits there, while Souleiman and Gregson get nervous and move up.
Now we're at 850, the race is getting ready to explode, and Robby's got NINE guys ahead of him, spread 3 wide, and a lot of them can close pretty damn well themselves. (And now I'm starting to scream at the TV set, since I can see Robby setting himself up for big trouble.)
600 to go, and Gebre swings by Robby. He's about to be left behind the entire field, and leave himself a dozen guys to weave through.
Now, he panics a little and jumps out in front of Gebre, but immediately runs into the wall of 3 guys in front of him, and has to back off.
Now we're at the bell, and Robby's basically DFL, with a tight pack of 10 or 11 really good runners to navigate as they head into the turn. He's in deep doo-doo.
(The head-on shot shows a look of real panic on Robby's face as he realizes he's in serious trouble.)
He'd basically have to swing to freaking Lane 4 to go around anybody, so he waits.
300 to go, he finally gets a little room to move, sees a space to the inside of Thiboutot, and surges into it, but that promptly leads him right into another 3-wide wall. Nowhere to go, again, and Thiboutot re-passes him as he sits there, helpless.
Now, they come off the curve to the home stretch, and Robby swings tight to the inside --because he's got nowhere else to go-- but that puts him right up the back of Gebre --who's done a helluva lot better job of positioning himself than Robby-- and lets Gregson re-pass him too.
EIGHTH place now, 100 to go. Robby's FULL of run, as guys around him are tying up. If he's got room to get outside, he'll comfortably cruise to an easy 4th place.
If he waits another couple seconds, he'll *probably* find room to squeeze outside of Gebre, as O'Hare fades and a little space opens up.
Instead, he panics (understandably, at this point), and makes a desperate move to surge inside of Gebre, where there really isn't any room.
It's a valiant attempt, but he isn't quite skinny enough and slick enough to make it work. (Nick Willis *might* have gotten away with it.)
Robby looked SO strong in the stretch that you can't help but think he might've been a factor in the final. (No, I don't think he would've medaled, but he definitely might've been in the mix, and gained a whole lot of international respect.)
He's had a great season, but he really blew a gigantic opportunity here.
One or two tiny common-sense adjustments is all it would've taken, and he had SO MANY chances to make them.
A tough pill to swallow.
Robby needs to go get himself in some fast races in Europe now, and show everybody 1) just how fit he is, and 2) that he's capable of closing hard off a
serious pace, not just a jog-fest, and beating some studs in the process.
(I don't think he'll be able to do that if he spots them 15 meters and 10 guys to weave around at the bell.)
Let's see it, Robby. Go to Europe, and show us a 3:32 (which I think he's probably capable of right now).
Then come back next year with even more confidence, more respect, more experience, and --FINALLY-- the understanding that against top competition, you DO need to be a little more conscientious and smart about mid-race positioning.
Then the Big Boys will take you seriously next year for the first time.
I'd love to see that.