Armstronglivs wrote:
So if he ran 3:23 or 3:40 in the latest spikes you "have no way" to tell whether this is clean or dirty?! What about 3:20 or 3:37 then? Or even faster? As you say, "there is no correlation" between time and doping - even though athletes use the latter to achieve the former. Your capacity for not seeing what is in front of your face is breathtaking. Or you may simply be an idiot.
Again, this thought experiment of yours is only possible when you allow yourself to assume the conclusion in order to conclude the assumption. Try this thought experiment: remove the assumption and try to be persuasive. It will persuade no one because those who make the same assumptions do not need persuasion and those who are sceptical are waiting for more conclusive facts and evidence.
Do you know what "correlation" means, or what needs to be done to establish a strong correlation? You need two representative sets of data. Without establishing a strong correlation, any time that is achieved can be clean or dirty -- it would be impossible to say. (This is still insufficient to show causation, as the correlation can be spurious).
You say, again without substance, that athletes use dope to get faster, but despite somewhere between 10%-80% (your best estimates) athletes doping, and your suggestion that doping is more and more sophisticated today, history shows us that not so many athletes were getting within 4 seconds of El G to achieve the times of the men from the 1980s -- until the recent era of new shoes. If you were not African, that number drops to two for the 1500m (Nick Willis and Fermin Cacho), and only one for the mile (Alan Webb). Is doping worldwide? Did Nick Willis and Alan Webb dope, or were they clean? If they were clean, how did they beat all the remaining 80% of non-African dopers?