Fat hurts wrote:
Flagpole wrote:
Since the pandemic, my family has Zoom calls weekly, and the virus is a big topic with them since so many of them are scientists. When viruses mutate, they almost ALWAYS become less lethal...that is by design. You are wrong about that. You can find a ton of stuff about that online.
Then point out the scientific evidence that the new strain of the virus is less lethal. I'm genuinely interest.
Well, first of all, I DID amend my original statement and said, "Yes, I should have said "presumed to be less lethal."
Secondly, I have mentioned this before, but my wife is friends with Tony Fauci (his friends call him "Tony"). She used to work for him at the NIH, and they do talk on occasion. My interaction with him is mostly limited to just saying hello. Part of my wife's view on this variant has come from things Fauci has said to her. It is possible he has changed his mind, or possible he says different things publicly than he does privately.
You can search for viruses becoming less deadly as they mutate...there is lots of evidence for that, but it is a debatable point.
Here is one article that talks about it -
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/could-sars-cov-2-evolving-become-transmissible-less-lethal/Here is a quote from that article - “The general rule in virology is that better transmission is associated with milder illness,” says Ian Jones, a professor of virology at the University of Reading. “So even if transmission is higher the virus may be less dangerous.”
Again, I am surrounded by research scientists, my wife has a graduate degree in immunology from Stanford, worked for Fauci at the NIH, and so I hear these discussions and opinions about viruses, etc. frequently. My best friend, unconnected to the Lovely Mrs. Flagpole, is an immunologist. Doesn't give me their knowledge of course, but I am a fly on the wall to many of these discussions and opinions. So much so, that I have accepted as a given that viruses TYPICALLY become less lethal over time as they mutate. I did that unconsciously and should recognize that most people aren't surrounded by scientists and doctors (Ph.D. and MD) like I am. Doesn't mean every mutation does that, because viruses can and do mutate frequently.
There is always a RISK when a virus mutates to become less lethal, however. Just as an example, if a virus has a VERY high kill rate, especially if it does it quickly, then the spread of that virus may not be great. If though that virus mutates so that it doesn't kill at such a high rate, it DOES allow for many more people to get it, so over all that could lead to more deaths just due to sheer numbers of people who get it, even if the individual's chance of dying from it is now less.