Frack off. Frack this. It is not yet determined how much a president can interfere with an election under the presidential immunity doctrine. It may not be as much as Trump and the MAG@s hope.
What we DO know is that the 12th Amendment says that the Vice President alone determines which electoral ballots to count. The fact is that the Constitution assigns this power to the Vice President as the ultimate arbiter.
"There just hasn't been much positive state polling data entering the system for Harris lately."- Nate Silver
He's still a clown when he selects polls to aggregate that ALWAYS confirm his lib bias. Make no mistake, he's totally in the tank for Cackles. That being said, this is bad news for the dems.
Please note, that Cackles is now campaigning in what were thought to be SAFE blue states. She's campaigning in NH & VA. Her internal polls must be AWFUL.
It's only going to get worse for her AFTER the debate.
Trump will lose Florida. Woman and young votes will squash him. One of my best friends live is FL and has voted R since she was mid 20s (over 30 years). She is sitting this election out, as is her Republican husband.
Trump will win Florida. He'll also win Virginia...
1) The 13 Keys are the absolute best predictor of the Presidential election, and no matter Lichtman's politics, he goes with his model and nothing else. He picked Trump to win in 2016...based on his model.
2) Ah yes, the teleprompter thing. BOTH sides say that about the opposing candidate all the time going back to Reagan (at least that's when I first remember it). That's a nothing argument. I'll come back here and do an I Told You So just like I did when Biden won in 202 and when there wasn't a 2022 Red Wave. We'll see who the fool is...it's you.
3) Harris definitely doesn't talk like a 3 year old. WTF? Do you even listen to your Orange God speak? She is smarter than Trump by a million miles, and she will be prepared for the debate and whatever he says.
4) Ha! This point you made shows your delusion. Brother, methinks you project too much (see what I did there?). The word salads come from Trump's mouth.
5) I put NO faith in Nate Silver, so you are INCORRECT! He's just a poll compiler, and I'm not sure how you don't get it by now, but I put NO faith in polls. The truth lies in the 13 keys, and they have Harris winning.
6) There is no open border, BUT the GOP proved it doesn't care as it allowed Trump to tell them not to go along with the bipartisan border agreement that Biden championed. Hypocrites. The economy has been great under Biden and continues to be. Inflation is now BELOW historic norms. Record stock market under Biden. Record low unemployment under Biden. More Americans working than at any time in American history. Highest salaries in American history. No reasonable person can say this is a sh!tty economy. Regarding the high interest rates, that has nothing to do with Biden...THE FED sets those, and a change in President will do nothing there. The REASON for the high interest rates? The economy was TOO HOT. Not really a good argument for you there, brother.
7) You are insane to think Trump gets 296 Electoral Votes. No freakin' way. Harris gets at least the same states Biden got last time, and she might get more. The one with the political career that will be over is Trump, and that will be a glorious time for The United States.
I'll come back and told you I TOLD YOU SO.
1. The 13 Keys are a joke. The 14th Key invented by Yours Truly, crushed his stupid model to kingdom come
2.&3. Cackles is a DEI/special needs adult who has no accomplishments nor has the ability to speak coherently. She is UNQUALIFIED to run our country.
4. She is the Queen of Word Salads. Our enemies don't fear her, they laugh at her stupidity & weakness.
5. Cackles' job disapproval is a far better predictor of the presidential election than any poll or the 13 Keys garbage. Her job approval is below 46%- she's toast.
6. The border is WIDE OPEN all credit to Sleepy Joe's EO's in 2021 & Cackles' Border non- enforcement. This is a complete clusterfu*ck.
7. My prediction of 296 for Trump is a little low. He will exceed 300, perhaps hitting the 312 area. I look at several electoral map modelers. On Point Politics is my go to.
Cackles' last chance to save her campaign is on debate night. I expect a repeat of a Tulsi Gabbard-like debate performance. I would not be surprised if Cackles declines any more debates after that. She's better off in the basement. Watch her poll numbers crater to Sleepy Joe level numbers by the middle of the month.
Cackles may end up being first female & lame duck POTUS- by virtue of Sleepy Joe stepping down after her loss on election night and having her serve out the remainder of the term.
Trump will win, BIGLY. The Harris campaign is in YUGE trouble. Know this.
1. The 13 Keys are a joke. The 14th Key invented by Yours Truly, crushed his stupid model to kingdom come
2.&3. Cackles is a DEI/special needs adult who has no accomplishments nor has the ability to speak coherently. She is UNQUALIFIED to run our country.
4. She is the Queen of Word Salads. Our enemies don't fear her, they laugh at her stupidity & weakness.
5. Cackles' job disapproval is a far better predictor of the presidential election than any poll or the 13 Keys garbage. Her job approval is below 46%- she's toast.
6. The border is WIDE OPEN all credit to Sleepy Joe's EO's in 2021 & Cackles' Border non- enforcement. This is a complete clusterfu*ck.
7. My prediction of 296 for Trump is a little low. He will exceed 300, perhaps hitting the 312 area. I look at several electoral map modelers. On Point Politics is my go to.
Cackles' last chance to save her campaign is on debate night. I expect a repeat of Tulsi Gabbard's debate performance. I would not be surprised if Cackles declines any more debates after that. She's better off in the basement. Watch her poll numbers crater to Sleepy Joe level numbers by the middle of the month.
Cackles may end up being first female & lame duck POTUS- by virtue of Sleepy Joe stepping down after her loss on election night and having her serve out the remainder of the term.
Trump will win, BIGLY. The Harris campaign is in YUGE trouble. Know this.
The debate is set for Tues Sep 10th. 9PM EDT on ABC.
I will wait a couple days AFTER to see the post debate destruction of the Harris campaign. Friday the 13th will be a good day to post the electoral maps. Ha!
"There just hasn't been much positive state polling data entering the system for Harris lately."- Nate Silver
He's still a clown when he selects polls to aggregate that ALWAYS confirm his lib bias. Make no mistake, he's totally in the tank for Cackles. That being said, this is bad news for the dems.
Please note, that Cackles is now campaigning in what were thought to be SAFE blue states. She's campaigning in NH & VA. Her internal polls must be AWFUL.
It's only going to get worse for her AFTER the debate.
Ha! Hilarious. Nate Silver is a fraud...well, unless he says something you like.
Nate Silver is a polls compiler. He's not Allan Lichtman. 13 Keys are unbiased. They say Harris wins...and she will.
You are delusional about Harris' debate skills and intelligence...but it doesn't matter. She wins no matter how this debate goes. We all already know that Trump is a criminal and an autocrat who wants to even further limit the rights of women. We all already know that Kamala is the opposite of that. No one is on the fence here waiting for the debate to help them make a decision.
It's Criminal vs. non-criminal. Pretty clear choice.
Kamala won't win. She has no enthusiasm at all. No women want to vote for her (why does she need a man for her interview?) and nobody respects her sleeping her way to the top.
Light beer is for sissies. Lone Star or Pabst Blue Ribbon for me. Stopped watching NASCAR when Dale Sr. died.
That is correct. Light beer is for sissies. Whenever I see some beta drinking light beer at happy hour, I'll go hassle them a bit.
Erik Rau and Derek Jancart both took dumps in the Capitol building, but the prosecution wasn't able to prove it was theirs. So they both only got 45 days. Taking a dump on the floor during a riot would have been a 3X enhancer, so they got lucky.
He looks dumber than Pezzola. These guys were foot soldiers and not given much real responsibility. Because they are dumb. So brighter guys like Zach Rehl were calling the shots for the dumb guys like Rau and Pezzola et al.
Zach Rehl was sharp. He knew what he was doing. He cried at his sentencing hearing like a ponk, but the judge didn't buy it. Rehl is in Petersburg Medium FCI with a projected release date of November 2033.
I don't have the time to look into this, but I'm curious how all these "men" found time to join these "resistance" movements and travel around the country to commit crimes for their makeup wearing master. What did they do for a living? Do they have any responsibilities?
Unlike Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight, MY MODEL uses adjusted polling averages by Party ID to eliminate polling bias, incorporating state trends and demographic modeling, which allows us to get more an accurate picture of the 2024 Election- On Point Politics
His model predicted Sleepy Joe getting 306 EV in 2020. He nailed it!
If I were a Hyena-nette, I would pay very close attention to this guy.
He has Trump winning the Electoral College this time around. Be afraid dems, be very afraid.
😆 this guy... every time your current predictive measure goes against Trump you gain religion, call it wrong and move to a new that accommodates your views. By November you'll only be quoting the pillow guy.
If I recall correctly, AITR/Winston was blaming America and Britain for WWII a few weeks ago.
What the fvck happened to these MAG@ people? How can an adult mind flip so backwards and demented in such a short period without even realizing it? Never seen or heard of anything like it.