Fat hurts wrote:
NBC just called Nebraska 2 for Biden! That also makes EC tie a lot less likely.
In fact, that might make EC tie impossible. It's so late, I don't feel like gaming it out.
Fat hurts wrote:
NBC just called Nebraska 2 for Biden! That also makes EC tie a lot less likely.
In fact, that might make EC tie impossible. It's so late, I don't feel like gaming it out.
Going back to PA...Biden down 700K. Going through the counties and total counts, I can see him getting back around 600K but, man, I'm not seeing him getting all the way back. Of course, this is a very, very, very rough estimate; all the missing votes could be in huge Biden precincts. And I'm not a political geographer. The Biden campaign seems to think they'll win there (though that could be for show).
Ohio has reported nothing recently; it looks like everyone went home and will start again in the morning - still Trump at 8.1% which is almost exactly 2016 total. I said earlier that an equal margin for Trump here would be good for his reelection. That, of course, ignored AZ and now what looks like possibly GA, but I wonder if it translates into a Trump hold in next-door PA.
I hope no poll is EVER mentioned here again. Every one of them is completely worthless.
Trump just came out and said he has won and that he is going to go to the Supreme Court to stop the counting of votes. He referred to them as people still voting. He said this was fraud. WTF has this country come to that half the country supports this man? You Trumpers are the worst of the worst. If he ends up winning this election, our democracy is over.
Smorbun wrote:
Trump just came out and said he has won and that he is going to go to the Supreme Court to stop the counting of votes. He referred to them as people still voting. He said this was fraud. WTF has this country come to that half the country supports this man? You Trumpers are the worst of the worst. If he ends up winning this election, our democracy is over.
It’s despicable.
Let all American voices be heard.
Smorbun wrote:
Trump just came out and said he has won and that he is going to go to the Supreme Court to stop the counting of votes. He referred to them as people still voting. He said this was fraud. WTF has this country come to that half the country supports this man? You Trumpers are the worst of the worst. If he ends up winning this election, our democracy is over.
Trump won. He could have been easily defeated. You BLM-idiots having fun so much fun looting all summer, shot yourselves in the azz. Go to bed and make an appointment with your therapist for tomorrow morning. Ask if the government will pay four more years of anti-depressants.
Quasi-Boom wrote:
Smorbun wrote:
Trump just came out and said he has won and that he is going to go to the Supreme Court to stop the counting of votes. He referred to them as people still voting. He said this was fraud. WTF has this country come to that half the country supports this man? You Trumpers are the worst of the worst. If he ends up winning this election, our democracy is over.
Trump won. He could have been easily defeated. You BLM-idiots having fun so much fun looting all summer, shot yourselves in the azz. Go to bed and make an appointment with your therapist for tomorrow morning. Ask if the government will pay four more years of anti-depressants.
He might win. He has not yet won. There are millions of votes still out, and most of them in WI and MI favor Biden because they are early votes. You have to count the votes to see who won.
WTF everyone? We can all agree that Trump has performed better than polling. 538 was garbage etc. but anyone who is saying Trump needs to take a serious look in the mirror. He might win, he might not win... we simply don’t know. It will be very close.
One thing i hope we can all agree on after the incoherent “speech” declaring victory he just gave...this country will never be the same. What a horrible night for America.
highhoppingworm wrote:
WTF everyone? We can all agree that Trump has performed better than polling. 538 was garbage etc. but anyone who is saying Trump needs to take a serious look in the mirror. He might win, he might not win... we simply don’t know. It will be very close.
One thing i hope we can all agree on after the incoherent “speech” declaring victory he just gave...this country will never be the same. What a horrible night for America.
We have a dictator. There is no other way to describe it. Incredible that half our country supports such an anti-American autocrat.
Smorbun wrote:
Quasi-Boom wrote:
Trump won. He could have been easily defeated. You BLM-idiots having fun so much fun looting all summer, shot yourselves in the azz. Go to bed and make an appointment with your therapist for tomorrow morning. Ask if the government will pay four more years of anti-depressants.
He might win. He has not yet won. There are millions of votes still out, and most of them in WI and MI favor Biden because they are early votes. You have to count the votes to see who won.
Fair enough. Check back tomorrow morning when all the votes you think need to be counted are counted. Trump won. We all know it.
Smorbun wrote:
highhoppingworm wrote:
WTF everyone? We can all agree that Trump has performed better than polling. 538 was garbage etc. but anyone who is saying Trump needs to take a serious look in the mirror. He might win, he might not win... we simply don’t know. It will be very close.
One thing i hope we can all agree on after the incoherent “speech” declaring victory he just gave...this country will never be the same. What a horrible night for America.
We have a dictator. There is no other way to describe it. Incredible that half our country supports such an anti-American autocrat.
What you typed may be true. But it's also possible you are a hysterical and naive person. You have 4 years to think about it.
We will probably have better numbers on Friday but the count of ALL votes might take another week to do. Be patient people.
I’ll also add that betting markets (a far more reliable indicator than this drivel) have things pretty much at a coin flip at this point.
Anyone speaking with any surety right now is just a bold faced liar.
regardless of who wins the WH, the country has shamed itself. Half the country wants to turn the United States of America into autocratic Hungary or Russia. The proudest democracy in the world has lost the right to say 'trumpism was an aberration let's move on.'
Now we have to own up to being a sh/thole country.
highhoppingworm wrote:
I’ll also add that betting markets (a far more reliable indicator than this drivel) have things pretty much at a coin flip at this point.
Anyone speaking with any surety right now is just a bold faced liar.
eh it's 70% likely for Joe on predictit. That's not a coin flip
agip wrote:
regardless of who wins the WH, the country has shamed itself. Half the country wants to turn the United States of America into autocratic Hungary or Russia. The proudest democracy in the world has lost the right to say 'trumpism was an aberration let's move on.'
Now we have to own up to being a sh/thole country.
on the other hand, the popular vote will be Joe +8, which would be the largest margin in a long time.
agip wrote:
agip wrote:
regardless of who wins the WH, the country has shamed itself. Half the country wants to turn the United States of America into autocratic Hungary or Russia. The proudest democracy in the world has lost the right to say 'trumpism was an aberration let's move on.'
Now we have to own up to being a sh/thole country.
on the other hand, the popular vote will be Joe +8, which would be the largest margin in a long time.
and if everything goes right, Joe will win 307-231.
So history might see Joe +8 and Joe with 307 electoral votes, and say 'well that wasn't bad! Trump lost by large margins!'
Looks like highhopping worm is winning our contest, should all go Joe's way
Electoral College
LL: Biden 413-125
Flagpole: Biden 334
Agip: Biden 334-204
Runningart2004: Biden 418
Highhoppingworm: Biden 306
Breitleit Biden 279
Rigged: Trump 313
Sally Vix: Trump 283
15-50 Trump 279-259 B+7.1%
Welp: Biden 331
Trollminator: Biden 309
Johnny99 Biden 290
Zephito 291-46 52%-46%
Kibbitzer D 290
538/ Fat Hurts D348
agip wrote:
highhoppingworm wrote:
I’ll also add that betting markets (a far more reliable indicator than this drivel) have things pretty much at a coin flip at this point.
Anyone speaking with any surety right now is just a bold faced liar.
eh it's 70% likely for Joe on predictit. That's not a coin flip
80% now on Predictit
I'd rather be Biden than Trump right now.
Biden will take AZ. FOX and AP have called it for him already. Other media outlets are holding off, but it looks very good for Biden there. Trump continues to pay the price for disrespecting McCain.
Things are turning in Biden's favor in WI and MI. He's leading in WI (narrowly) and is gaining on Trump in MI. Both states have a lot of mail in votes to count, which should boost Biden.
If Biden takes AZ, WI and MI, along with NV and ME, I believe it's over. Biden can lose PA, NC and GA, it won't matter. I haven't done the math, so please correct me if I'm wrong.