Bernie would have won. Trump is on track to repeat his 2016 electoral college 7-10 split
Bernie would have won. Trump is on track to repeat his 2016 electoral college 7-10 split
NOV. 3, 10:28 PM
This is a potentially material issue in Georgia. A reported 80,000 mail ballots are delayed in being reported in Gwinnett County because of a software error. Those are likely very blue votes.
The Libs here touted for a year now the polls showing Biden hugely ahead and pilloried Rigged for showing the margins much closer. Don't you Libs feel foolish now?
Precious Roy wrote:
Bernie would have won. Trump is on track to repeat his 2016 electoral college 7-10 split
Good grief, no one's called the election for anyone at this point. Trump seems to be doing somewhat better than expected but he hasn't come close to locking it up. Obviously Trump can win but I have yet to see any vote numbers that would really tilt the whole thing one way or the other.
Sally Vix wrote:
The Libs here touted for a year now the polls showing Biden hugely ahead and pilloried Rigged for showing the margins much closer. Don't you Libs feel foolish now?
I never had Biden hugely ahead (at least not in the EC) so I don't know what you're talking about. In the past, Trump consistently overperformed his polls and I took that into account. I feel foolish even responding to you.
Zephito what’s your best guess?
Also, if he wins Arizona and loses PA. What’s the path to victory?
agip wrote:
NOV. 3, 10:28 PM
This is a potentially material issue in Georgia. A reported 80,000 mail ballots are delayed in being reported in Gwinnett County because of a software error. Those are likely very blue votes.
There is a ton of blue vote not yet reported in Georgia. I'm extrapolating some of those counties and it's actually looking pretty good for Biden.
Still not a single swing state called for either side.
zephito wrote:
Precious Roy wrote:
Bernie would have won. Trump is on track to repeat his 2016 electoral college 7-10 split
Good grief, no one's called the election for anyone at this point. Trump seems to be doing somewhat better than expected but he hasn't come close to locking it up. Obviously Trump can win but I have yet to see any vote numbers that would really tilt the whole thing one way or the other.
I think that's a good assessment. There are a lot more states in play than in 2016 so this is year is quite a bit different.
Trump is now up by 5 points in OH. However, most (all) of the blue counties are sitting at 60-75% reporting, to the 95+% of the red counties. I suspect the gap will close. However, those late-reporting votes would still have to be +Biden overall, which may not necessarily be true. Late voters are more GOP and there are, of course, republicans in those counties. If the late votes are still +Biden, even if it's only by 60-40 or 55-45, that probably wouldn't be enough to catch Trump in Ohio but it would look good for Biden in the rest of the midwest. If the remaining votes are +Trump and he widens his lead to 6 or 7 points, that would be looking good for Trump to be reelected. If it's evenly split, and Trump holds a steady 5 point lead to the end there, well, who knows what the result will be? There will be lawsuits all over the place.
Unfortunately, I don't see Trump conceding at this point if the end shows Biden winning the election. At least not for a while.
L L wrote:
Still not a single swing state called for either side.
Why haven't the networks called FL? It's a done deal.
betting odds now 70% for trump, falling a bit
the bull story for joe is that he wins AZ, and the southern polling error doesn't continue in the north. he wins MN WI MI and doesn't need PA.
Swaglord_the_real_one_1_one wrote:
Zephito what’s your best guess?
Also, if he wins Arizona and loses PA. What’s the path to victory?
The path to victory leads through.....
OMAHA!!!!
Bacon is up there by 7 points or so, but there's still quite a few votes uncounted and Bacon is not really a Trump Republican. NE-2 should be close.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
L L wrote:
Still not a single swing state called for either side.
Why haven't the networks called FL? It's a done deal.
They're holding off to annoy you. And it's working.
this is it. From 2:30 masters marathoner Nick Thompson (ed in chief of wired)
https://twitter.com/nxthompson/status/1323833463708000258?s=20
NameStolenAgain wrote:
Just Wundrin wrote:
I CORRECTLY pointed out that there cannot be any evidence of the non-existence of God. And ever since then you, Flaggy and the other idiot are falling over yourselves trying to prove that you are an even bigger idiot that the last guy.
Seriously, do you people all have learning disabilities? No offense, if you do. But WTF is wrong with you?
Incorrect recall of events.
You are the one who created the confusion: you replied to someone who said there is no god that he didn't have evidence of his non-existence (not that there couldn't be evidence) This implied (to all but you) that you were using that as an argument AGAINST his, which created the confusion.
Not all the time, but sometimes, when everyone thinks you are wrong (or meant something else) it's on you
OK, so you have confirmed that you are the stupidest of all.
Congratulations!
Where is Flagpole? Why is he not gloating?
With everything that has been called so far, 538 projects Trump is down to a 7% chance of victory.
With a win in Florida, his odds go up to 21%.
North Carolina seems to be closing up a bit...the NYT needle moved from +95% Trump to +83% Trump. I still think he holds it but a bit interesting.
For the GOP crowd, Ohio is holding steady for Trump at 7.5 points and he seems to be doing a bit better in the NE counties there vis a vis 2016. So good for you guys. The big cities still have a lot of votes out though. My guess is that he wins by 5 - 6 points. Man, this is looking close.