zephito wrote:
If I have my math right, if Biden flips AZ, MI and WI and loses NC, OH and PA (this scenario is looking disturbingly possible) we'll have it 269-269. That would be worse than if Trump wins outright (as I recall, each state gets a single vote in the event of a tie and the GOP controls more states). Let me know if I calculated it wrong.
Yes, that gets us 269-269 and isn't that far fetched.
testosteronedoesi wrote:
return to index wrote:
Could Texas turn blue? Hopeful about North Carolina still blue with 81% reporting.
PA looks good for now (12% reporting).
Doubtful on Texas.
But yes, i suspect Biden takes PA, OH, and possibly NC.
Trump is about to take the lead in OH and then win it. Trump is closing in on NC- he will win it too.
Well, looks like Biden will take Rhode Island.
Good thing Krispy_Kremlin disappeared like a coward and didn’t take that bet ;)
L L wrote:
zephito wrote:
If I have my math right, if Biden flips AZ, MI and WI and loses NC, OH and PA (this scenario is looking disturbingly possible) we'll have it 269-269. That would be worse than if Trump wins outright (as I recall, each state gets a single vote in the event of a tie and the GOP controls more states). Let me know if I calculated it wrong.
Yes, that gets us 269-269 and isn't that far fetched.
The betting odds have flipped to Trump!
https://www.outkick.com/current-presidential-election-gambling-odds/Rigged for Hillary wrote:
L L wrote:
Yes, that gets us 269-269 and isn't that far fetched.
The betting odds have flipped to Trump!
https://www.outkick.com/current-presidential-election-gambling-odds/
But but but All the polls showed Biden winning comfortably!
testosteronedoesi wrote:
Well, looks like Biden will take Rhode Island.
Good thing Krispy_Kremlin disappeared like a coward and didn’t take that bet ;)
I can't be right all the time.
Like Trump, what matters more than anything else it being directionally correct: Trump is winning by a landslide.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
testosteronedoesi wrote:
Doubtful on Texas.
But yes, i suspect Biden takes PA, OH, and possibly NC.
Trump is about to take the lead in OH and then win it. Trump is closing in on NC- he will win it too.
He won Ohio by 8 points last time. If he only wins by 2 or 3, that might not bode well for him. PA and OH probably vote similarly and Trump had no margin to spare in PA last time.
krispy kremlin._._._._. wrote:
testosteronedoesi wrote:
Well, looks like Biden will take Rhode Island.
Good thing Krispy_Kremlin disappeared like a coward and didn’t take that bet ;)
I can't be right all the time.
Like Trump, what matters more than anything else it being directionally correct: Trump is winning by a landslide.
You never believed the crap coming out of your mouth; hence why you didn’t take the bet.
Also, Cuyahoga, Franklin and Hamilton counties have only reported about 50% of the vote. Many of the Trump rural counties have higher reported vote totals. I don't think Biden will fall behind by that much, if at all.
Now, I predicted Trump would win Ohio. But I think he has to win by a solid amount, at least by 6 or 7 points, which would indicate a better result for him in the rest of the rust belt. Neither candidate has much room for error now.
It looks like Lindsey Graham won. A few of the libs here got that prediction wrong.
All those ignorant and racist Deplorables.
by my map, if joe wins WI MI MN PA, then he wins the election.
joe doesn't need arizona.
agip wrote:
by my map, if joe wins WI MI MN PA, then he wins the election.
joe doesn't need arizona.
Seems easy enough...
krispy kremlin._._._._. wrote:
agip wrote:
by my map, if joe wins WI MI MN PA, then he wins the election.
joe doesn't need arizona.
Seems easy enough...
or if joe wins AZ then joe can lose WI and still win the election
Trump just took the lead in NC. Trump is ahead in OH and expanding his lead.
try again sir wrote:
NameStolenAgain wrote:
Says who?
Non-matter can't occupy physical space (like my garage) by definition. Appreciate your effort to get all philisophical about this though
You missed my point. Who says that precludes it from being a dragon?
agip wrote:
krispy kremlin._._._._. wrote:
Seems easy enough...
or if joe wins AZ then joe can lose WI and still win the election
Biden is up by 10 points in Maricopa county with about 75% of the votes counted. That's his best news of the night. Trump carried that county last time. He might close some but Biden is in a good position there.
Of course, PA, and WI and maybe MI are the big unknowns. We're not going to know PA until tomorrow at the earliest.
I'm surprised the betting markets are so bullish on Trump right now (although they're not all that liquid and Biden is still at 25% not 2% or anything like that). He's not doing as well in OH as last time and I suspect that carries over into the rest of the rust belt, where he has no room for error. At this point I would still stick with the 291-247 outcome. What am I missing?
Trump won suburban Delaware county in OH, north of Columbus, by ~5 points. He won by 16 points in 2016. Certainly Trump has to be pleased overall with how he's doing but it's by no means over for either candidate.
NBC projects that Dems keep the house.
zephito wrote:
I'm surprised the betting markets are so bullish on Trump right now (although they're not all that liquid and Biden is still at 25% not 2% or anything like that). He's not doing as well in OH as last time and I suspect that carries over into the rest of the rust belt, where he has no room for error. At this point I would still stick with the 291-247 outcome. What am I missing?
agreed...if biden wins AZ, MN, MI...which is likely..then PA is unnecessary.
I think, anyway.
AZ is looking very very important.