If there was the same polling error as 2016 Biden would still get 337.
Igynoramus: But Biden’s plagiarism! ?
Biff: But Hillary’s emails! ?
Sally: But Obama’s treatment of the IRS!?
https://twitter.com/drericding/status/1323529721540497408?s=21
Little Pimp must be Rick Gaetz’ friend
https://twitter.com/kollegekidd/status/1323523262777823232?s=21
Lil Pump is a M AGA Trumptard? Probably the best news I've heard in some time. Mumble rap is Trump Country.
Final:
Electoral College
LL: Biden 413-125
Flagpole: Biden 334
Agip: Biden 334-204
Runningart2004: Biden 418
Highhoppingworm: Biden 306
Breitleit Biden 279
Rigged: Trump 313
Sally Vix: Trump 283
15-50 Trump 279-259 B+7.1%
Welp: Biden 331
Trollminator: Biden 309
Johnny99 Biden 290
Zephito 291-46 52%-46%
Kibbitzer D 290
Texas EC
Sally Vix: R
Trollminator: R
Johnny99 R
Zephito: R
Agip:R
Kibbitzer: R
Florida EC
Sally Vix: R
Trollminator: R
Johnny 99 R
Zephito: R
Agip D
Senate Control:
Flagpole: D
Count Chocula: D
Highhoppingworm: D
Rigged: R, 51-49
Agip: D: 51/49
Trollminator: D 52 seats with VP
Johnny99: D
Zephito: 50/50
House
Flagpole: Ds increase seats
Rigged: D, but lose 10 seats
Agip: Ds add 8 seats to 240
Trolliminator: Ds add to their seats for a new gap of 41
Johnny99 Ds gain 7
Zephito: D 243 seats
Kibbitzer D 35 seat advantage
SC Senator:
LL: D
Agip: R
Flagpole: R
Johnny 99: R
Zephito: R
Count Chocula: D
Highhoppingworm: R
Trollminator: D
KY Senator:
Flagpole: R
Agip: R
Trollminator: R
Johnny99: R
AZ Senator
Count Chocula: D
Agip: D
Trollminator: D
Johnny99: D
Zephito: D
Kibbitzer: D
CO Senator
Count Chocula: D
Agip: D
Trollminator: D
Johnny99: D
Zephito: D
ME Senator:
Count Chocula: D
Agip: D
Trollminator: D
Johnny99: D
Zephito: D
NC Senator:
Count Chocula: D
Agip: D
Trollminator: D
Johnny99: D
Zephito: D
Kibitzer: D
GA Senator Regular (Perdue/Ossoff):
Count Chocula: D
Agip: R
Trollminator: R
Johnny99: R
Kibbitzer: R
GA Senator Special
Fat Hurts: R
Agip: D
Trollminator: D
Johnny99: D
Zephito: R
Fat Hurts: R
Kibbitzer: R
IA Senator:
Count Chocula: D
Agip: R
Trollminator: D
Zephito: R
Kibbitzer: R
AL Senator:
Count Chocula; R
Agip: R
Trollminator: R
Johnny99:R
Kibitzer: R
NYT's polls analysis guy says RCP was not reliable this year due to pro-Trump bias. So remember not to cite them again, now or evermore about this election.
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1323601603249713152?s=20
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1323602329954902016?s=20
As crazy as it has been on this forum, this is still the calm before the storm. I suspect emotions to run extremely high and since Trump is incapable of behaving like a mature human being, win or lose, I suspect he's going to be anything but gracious and unifying.
The BEST case scenario for the closest thing to closer we are going to get tonight is if Biden takes Florida and Georgia. If Trump takes both, buckle up.
welp wrote:
As crazy as it has been on this forum, this is still the calm before the storm. I suspect emotions to run extremely high and since Trump is incapable of behaving like a mature human being, win or lose, I suspect he's going to be anything but gracious and unifying.
The BEST case scenario for the closest thing to closer we are going to get tonight is if Biden takes Florida and Georgia. If Trump takes both, buckle up.
as I understand it, GA will take too long to count so we won't know about them today.
From what I've heard, FL, NC and slightly lesser AZ are the key swingers that could be called tonight.
Although of course FL will be too close and something horrible will happen there.
The NYT will have a needle for GA FL NC so that could be very useful. Those states provide precinct-level info on voting. I'll have that tab open permanently tonight.
If Biden wins either FL or NC...it's pretty much over. Unless Trump sweeps the Upper Midwest I suppose.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
It's officially election day and a couple small towns in NH started voting at midnight.
https://twitter.com/RealAPolitics/status/1323496085663481856It's going to be a great day for Trump voters.
KAG2020
That reminds me of every road race where some goober goes out ahead of the elites and is leading early.
Trollminator wrote:
If there was the same polling error as 2016 Biden would still get 337.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/videos/what-the-2020-election-map-would-look-like-if-theres-a-2016-sized-polling-error/
And that video showed if the same amount of polling error goes the other way it's Biden winning 413 - 125.
That score looks awfully familiar.
I'm a teacher at an exclusive private school in south florida and one of my responsibilities is parking lot duty. One of our "connected" parents drove in and said he " knows people and that over 500,000 more republicans have voted early, so it's over."
I decided to take a look at it myself.
https://countyballotfiles.floridados.gov/VoteByMailEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats
IN PERSON early voting favors republicans by over 500,000 votes. Correct. But mail-in voting favors democrats by almost 700,000.
Incredible to me that people still don't get that mail-in votes count just the same.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
It's officially election day and a couple small towns in NH started voting at midnight.
. . .
It's going to be a great day for Trump voters.
KAG2020
Blue wave! This race is over!!!
https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/02/politics/dixville-notch-2020-results/index.htmlTrollminator wrote:
Little Pimp must be Rick Gaetz’ friend
https://twitter.com/kollegekidd/status/1323523262777823232?s=21
Did that maskless guy just put his hands on and speak into a microphone that a covid patient just spoke into seconds before?
welp wrote:
I'm a teacher at an exclusive private school in south florida and one of my responsibilities is parking lot duty. One of our "connected" parents drove in and said he " knows people and that over 500,000 more republicans have voted early, so it's over."
I decided to take a look at it myself.
https://countyballotfiles.floridados.gov/VoteByMailEarlyVotingReports/PublicStatsIN PERSON early voting favors republicans by over 500,000 votes. Correct. But mail-in voting favors democrats by almost 700,000.
Incredible to me that people still don't get that mail-in votes count just the same.
And, there are likely more republicans and independents voting democrat this time around. We assume in-person voting will favor republicans. We shall see. Either way, it's nice when people are informed. Allows for a good starting place for debate.