Official LRC President Donald J Trump Thread

Biden 291 / 52% - 46%

AZ: Biden

FL: Trump (very close)

GA: Trump (very close)

IA: Trump

ME: All to Biden

MI: Biden

MN: Biden

NE #2: Biden

NV: Biden

NH: Biden

NC: Trump

OH: Trump

PA: Biden (very close)

TX: Trump (very close)

WI: Biden

Senate: 50-50 D with tiebreak (win in AZ, CO, ME, NC, MI, MN). R wins in AL, TX, both GA, SC, IA (very close), KS

House: D 243

A slight shift either way could result in a Trump win or Biden with close to 400 EV. I'm guessing Trump is underrated in the rust belt and Biden is underrated in the sun belt.

agip wrote:

So does anyone think Joe will win Florida?

I think anyone over 40 has been burned so often by that crazy state that we just assume it will do the wrong thing.

The difference this year is that Trump has managed, somehow, incompetently and murderously, to lose senior citizens. That's gonna hurt him bigly.

I have called a Florida win for Biden. I'm not as adamant about it as I am WI and MI, but I think he wins Florida. I filled out that whole thing, and there's no way I'm going to get ALL of the picks right.

Electoral College

LL: Biden 413-125

Flagpole: Biden 334

Agip: Biden 305-233

Runningart2004: Biden 418

Highhoppingworm: Biden 306

Breitleit Biden 279

Rigged: Trump 313

Sally Vix: Trump 283

15-50 Trump 279-259 B+7.1%

Welp: Biden 331

Trollminator: Biden 309

Johnny99 Biden 290

Zephito 291-46 52%-42%

Texas EC

Sally Vix: R

Trollminator: R

Johnny99 R

Zephito: R

Florida EC

Sally Vix: R

Trollminator: R

Johnny 99 R

Zephito: R

Senate Control:

Flagpole: D

Count Chocula: D

Highhoppingworm: D

Rigged: R, 51-49

Agip: 50-50, Biden breaks tie

Trollminator: D 52 seats with VP

Johnny 99 D

Zephito: 50/50

House

Flagpole: Ds increase seats

Rigged: D, but lose 10 seats

Agip: Ds add 8 seats to 240

Trolliminator: Ds add to their seats for a new gap of 41

Johnny99 Ds gain 7

Zephito: D 243 seats

SC Senator:

LL: D

Agip: R

Flagpole: R

Johnny 99: R

Zephito: R

Count Chocula: D

Highhoppingworm: R

Trollminator: D

KY Senator:

Flagpole: R

Agip: $

Trollminator: R

Johnny99: R

AZ Senator

Count Chocula: D

Agip: D

Trollminator: D

Johnny99: R

Zephito: D

CO Senator

Count Chocula: D

Agip: D

Trollminator: D

Johnny99: D

Zephito: D

ME Senator:

Count Chocula: D

Agip: D

Trollminator: D

Johnny99: D

Zephito: R

NC Senator:

Count Chocula: D

Agip: D

Trollminator: D

Johnny99: D

Zephito: D

GA Senator Regular (Perdue/Ossoff):

Count Chocula: D

Agip: R

Trollminator: R

Johnny99: R

GA Senator Special

Fat Hurts: R

Agip: D

Trollminator: D

Johnny99: D

Zephito: R

IA Senator:

Count Chocula: D

Agip: R

Trollminator: D

Zephito: R

AL Senator:

Count Chocula; R

Agip: R

Trollminator: R

Johnny99:R

Thanks, agip, for assembling this - FYI I had it 52-46 in the pop vote and Maine seat going D.

Just Wundrin why you are not listing Flagpole as calling FL for Biden. He made it pretty explicit in the post above yours.

I've got the AZ Senate race going to the Democrat.

What do I get when I win? New car, a million bucks?

It's both. Bubba might be a racist. But that's irrelevant without the economic issues.

Another point that Molly Ivins used to make is that Bubba is getting screwed, but he doesn't know who's screwing him. The right tells him it's blacks and Mexicans.

But if we didn't let Bubba get screwed in the first place then the race baiting wouldn't work. Republicans have used race to gain Bubba's loyalty, but it's the Democrats' fault for letting Bubba down and pushing him into the arms of Republicans.

Flagpole wrote:

agip wrote:

So does anyone think Joe will win Florida?

I think anyone over 40 has been burned so often by that crazy state that we just assume it will do the wrong thing.

The difference this year is that Trump has managed, somehow, incompetently and murderously, to lose senior citizens. That's gonna hurt him bigly.

I have called a Florida win for Biden. I'm not as adamant about it as I am WI and MI, but I think he wins Florida. I filled out that whole thing, and there's no way I'm going to get ALL of the picks right.

There is panic inside the Dementia Joe campaign. It will only get worse from here.

Another Flagpolian Flop is coming.

FL is going to Trump on the strength of Miami-Dade alone.

WI & MI are going to Trump.

Liberal heads are going to explode.

Enjoy your loss.

"Four more years, baby!"

KAG2020

Fat hurts wrote:

agip wrote:

or it's just racism and resentment of big city folk. Not economics at all.

It's both. Bubba might be a racist. But that's irrelevant without the economic issues.

Another point that Molly Ivins used to make is that Bubba is getting screwed, but he doesn't know who's screwing him. The right tells him it's blacks and Mexicans.

But if we didn't let Bubba get screwed in the first place then the race baiting wouldn't work. Republicans have used race to gain Bubba's loyalty, but it's the Democrats' fault for letting Bubba down and pushing him into the arms of Republicans.

How does Bubba not get screwed?

Notea wrote:

Fat hurts wrote:

What are you talking about? We have always had absentee ballots. There are lots of people who are physically unable to get to a polling place. They are still allowed to vote.

There is no way to prove a piece if mail was intentionally post marked late when all the mail is being held up.

Again, the tweet was claiming that people already received mail with post-dated postmarks. For example, I receive a piece of mail on November 2nd that says it was mailed November 4th.

This would be so obvious that I don't believe it's really happening.

The Dem panic is growing.

Politico, the official mouthpiece of the Democrat Party, screamed “If Pennsylvania Goes, So Will Go the Country.”

In Florida, where Biden saw virtually any hope of taking the state slip away, the consultants were already sniping at each other for “who lost Florida.” The fact that Republicans actually led in In-Person-Early-Voting in both Palm Beach and Miami-Dade Counties led to reports the Biden campaign was “worried”.

On Sunday, Richard Baris told me that in Wisconsin, his own polling might need to be readjusted because of the massive turnout in the red suburban counties around Milwaukee. And local Democrat operatives for the first time openly began to criticize the campaign strategy for the last several months of hyping the China Virus and not sending out field staff to knock on doors. As I have been insisting for months, the strategy was haphazard and ill-thought-out.

https://uncoverdc.com/2020/11/02/eye-on-politics-the-close-out/

Trump is going to win tomorrow night.

Notea wrote:

Bunker Boy Trump is going into full lockdown. A new "unscalable" fence is being installed today, in preparation for an election loss.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/02/politics/white-house-fence-erected-again/index.html

It won't be enough.

Just Wundrin wrote:

Fat hurts wrote:

It's both. Bubba might be a racist. But that's irrelevant without the economic issues.

Another point that Molly Ivins used to make is that Bubba is getting screwed, but he doesn't know who's screwing him. The right tells him it's blacks and Mexicans.

But if we didn't let Bubba get screwed in the first place then the race baiting wouldn't work. Republicans have used race to gain Bubba's loyalty, but it's the Democrats' fault for letting Bubba down and pushing him into the arms of Republicans.

How does Bubba not get screwed?

Progressive policies.

Fat hurts wrote:

Just Wundrin wrote:

How does Bubba not get screwed?

Progressive policies.

Anything more specific to offer?

Notea wrote:

Bunker Boy Trump is going into full lockdown. A new "unscalable" fence is being installed today, in preparation for an election loss.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/02/politics/white-house-fence-erected-again/index.html

Wrong.

Libs riot when things don't go their way.

agip wrote:

So does anyone think Joe will win Florida?

I think anyone over 40 has been burned so often by that crazy state that we just assume it will do the wrong thing.

The difference this year is that Trump has managed, somehow, incompetently and murderously, to lose senior citizens. That's gonna hurt him bigly.

I'm a FL resident and it will be close as always but Trump will take it.

413 - 125 for Biden

Rigged for Hillary wrote:

Notea wrote:

Bunker Boy Trump is going into full lockdown. A new "unscalable" fence is being installed today, in preparation for an election loss.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/02/politics/white-house-fence-erected-again/index.html

Wrong.

Libs riot when things don't go their way.

Trumpers try to kidnap the governor when things don't go their way.

Notice that Rigged stopped touting the "early" vote in Florida.

On the last day of early voting, Democrats GAINED 13,798 votes (mail-in + early in-person).

I predicted that the bleeding would stop over the weekend, but I never realized the power of the "souls to the polls" efforts. It goes way beyond what I expected.

So here are the numbers heading into Tuesday in Florida:

Democrats have cast 108,123 more ballots than Republicans.

Between Saturday and Sunday, Democrats gained 10,076 more mail-in ballots and we will use that number to estimate Monday and Tuesday.

Since we have two more days of mail-in ballots to receive and no more early voting, we can say that Democrats will go into Tuesday with an advantage of approximately 128,275.