From the law and order “man”
https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1323072051402350592?s=21
From the law and order “man”
https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1323072051402350592?s=21
Trollminator wrote:
From the law and order “man”
This entire Presidency has been one giant meme.
Who is checking the USPS? Sounds like it could be pretty easy to just hang on to ballots from certain blue districts and postmark them late.
https://twitter.com/defeat_trump2/status/1323082023775318016?s=21
Trollminator wrote:
https://www.npr.org/2020/10/31/929628299/with-deluge-of-mail-ballots-heres-when-to-expect-election-results-in-6-key-state
If Trump is ahead at any point Election night he's going to declare victory and claim that any votes which are counted after that point would be stealing the election from him if he should lose. It's going to happen.
I mean, anybody can snap a picture with these politicians. So significant possibility that Crenshaw doesn't know that loser or know about what he has done or what he was going to do.
However, Trump encouraging this stuff further highlights how incredibly dangerous he is. Republicans better hope he doesn't win. 4 more years of his BS will undoubtedly spark civil unrest and possibly kick start a civil war.
TTH wrote:
If Trump is ahead at any point Election night he's going to declare victory and claim that any votes which are counted after that point would be stealing the election from him if he should lose. It's going to happen.
No doubt. That's his ONLY move to save face. Which is why winning Florida and Georgia on election night is vital for Biden and for the sake of this election. Leaving no doubt.
Trump campaigning so far exceeds Biden. The Biden-Harris Campaign has to be one of the worst ever. Lazy, weak.
Trollminator wrote:
Who is checking the USPS? Sounds like it could be pretty easy to just hang on to ballots from certain blue districts and postmark them late.
https://twitter.com/defeat_trump2/status/1323082023775318016?s=21
Trollminator wrote:
Who is checking the USPS? Sounds like it could be pretty easy to just hang on to ballots from certain blue districts and postmark them late.
https://twitter.com/defeat_trump2/status/1323082023775318016?s=21
"In a document filed in US District Court Sunday, USPS said that on a national level, they moved fewer ballots on time on Saturday than on Friday and their processing score dropping from 93% to 91%. Scores have been steadily declining since Wednesday, when USPS reported they moved 97% of ballots on time. "
"Just 62% of Central Pennsylvania's ballots, and 64% of Atlanta's ballots moved on-time on Saturday. Only 64% of the ballots processed by USPS in Northern New England, which includes New Hampshire and Maine, were done so on-time."
In key voting areas Dejoy and Trump are failing to move the mail. Mail is intentionally being held up with the goal to scream they were not "mailed" in time and must be discarded. Who saw that coming?
Oh, and Trump has his lawyers already set to challenge late votes in same areas where it is intentionally being delayed. They know exactly where the problems were going to be.
https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/01/politics/usps-mail-in-ballots-2020-election/index.htmlRigged for Hillary wrote:
Trollminator wrote:
Interesting interview with biff’s trufflefart guy.
Basically he claims he is right because they focus on the anonymous voters (aka embarrassed Trump supporters). They have also been criticized for their sampling methods. I don’t think these guys are trumpers, I think this is just a dlck swinging contest amongst the pollsters and analysts.
The way I see it is these guys have a custom model that worked for analyzing trump’s chances in 2016, but it has not been updated and fails to account for the drastic difference in this election and motivations of voters. They have a narrow view while others are sticking to a more scientifically sound and consistent method. They have such wild swings across some states that I think there is no way they get the winning pick right without other lucky offsetting swings. I think they’ll have egg on their faces very soon.
https://edition.cnn.com/videos/tv/2020/10/31/the-outlier-pollster-who-called-2016-for-trump-says-hell-win-again.cnnTrafalgar's polling has been more accurate Nate Plastic's broken "model."
Prepare for your doom.
We will see. You and I can speculate, but other than that, we will just have to wait and see. I'll be sure to tell you where you were wrong when we have the data.
I will tell you this...Trafalgar's "famous" question is "who do you think your neighbors will vote for", and that is filled with problems. For example, I live in a relatively liberal area of Ohio, but I don't have the greatest opinion of my fellow Ohioans at the moment, so I might answer "Trump" to that question when that is PROBABLY not true. Other Biden supporters are pretty concerned too that Trump will somehow pull out a victory, so many of them would say the same thing, even in states where it is pretty clear Biden has the advantage.
Have a good night's sleep.
Flagpole wrote:
krispy kremlin._._._._. wrote:
Alright Flag, guess we got to do this again:
Trump wins - this time in a landslide.
States Biden wins: CA, WA, OR, HI, IL, NY, MA, VT, CT
Add 'em up and weep like it's 2016.
-Krispy -correctly calling presidential elections since 2016.
Nope.
Let me add these up for you ?pole - I can tell math is not his strong suit:
Biden: 55 + 12 + 7 + 4 + 20 + 29 + 11 + 3 + 7 = 148
Trump: 538 - 148 = 390
That's a landslide folks.
Yes, RI for Trump. My long-call is actually NY being more competitive than expected; Biden still winning, just closer than assumed (wouldn't get into it here).
I traveled to Rhode Island several weeks ago to meet up with some old teammates and other friends. Generally, this group skews educated, successful, multi-racial (gasp - yes, even a hard-right people like KK can have and cherish friends of non-white origin - I know, scandalous), and... wildly-left. When I say wildly left I mean: organized for Obama, donated to Hillary, some self-described feminists, etc. When *they* brought up politics to me, I said Trump will win and they *all* agreed. Come to find out... these guys aren't *lifting a finger* for Biden.
Quick story, rewind four years, I was hanging out with this same crew on a boat off the coast of Massachusetts, and, after vividly explaining to them why Trump was going to beat Hillary, I got the distinct feeling like I was about to be thrown overboard. I won't get into the details but if the outboards had been started and the course plotted to leave the harbor, I was fully prepared to jump overboard and swim to shore -> What I'm saying is that this elite RI group (doctors, a lawyer, financial advisor, engineer, etc) were *rabid* about Hillary four years ago but don't really care this election cycle.
Energy is everything. Obama had the (dare I say) dumb black vote; Hillary, the dumb women vote - Biden simply doesn't have the identity politics appeal - quite to the opposite in fact.
No.one.is.excited.about.Biden.and.that.makes.a.determining.difference.
I will now go back to my 2015 arguments (verifiable in the 2016 election thread):
Trump continues to draw huge crowds to multiple rallies per day in battleground states. ?pole: everyone at these rallies votes for Trump - everyone *not* at these rallies that know their friends went to these rallies, is reconsidering even voting.
Like 2015, Trump is on a non-stop, everyday mission to speak to as many people as possible, while Biden (like Hillary) hides and sends out surrogates (JayZ/Katy Perry for Hillary, Lady Gaga for Biden).
A Trump rally earlier this morning (as I was waking up), had thousands of people in the crown in freezing temperature and tens of thousand watching online (*** in the morning *** early *** dudes: wake up ***). Meanwhile, the Biden/Caramel "rallies" are pathetic and all the comments are trashing what they said.
These - things - make - a - difference.
Trump landslide 390.
Pence easy win in 2024.
-Krispy
Everyone should listen to the guy who has the writing skills of a 9 year old and is proclaiming a Trump victory in one of the most liberal states in the country because he spent a long weekend there with some friends.
You are aware that RI is more blue than Louisiana is red right?
Why would anyone chance their ballot being delivered by USPS?
Get to a drop off box.
That’s still tons easier than making it in to vote at a polling station and going through line during available hours.
As for excitement of how hard Trump is campaigning this week, most of the votes are already in.
And people have been waiting years to vote against Trump. They don’t need to attend any rallies to show support for Biden. They simply vote.
krispy kremlin._._._._. wrote:
Flagpole wrote:
Nope.
Let me add these up for you ?pole - I can tell math is not his strong suit:
Biden: 55 + 12 + 7 + 4 + 20 + 29 + 11 + 3 + 7 = 148
Trump: 538 - 148 = 390
That's a landslide folks.
Yes, RI for Trump. My long-call is actually NY being more competitive than expected; Biden still winning, just closer than assumed (wouldn't get into it here).
I traveled to Rhode Island several weeks ago to meet up with some old teammates and other friends. Generally, this group skews educated, successful, multi-racial (gasp - yes, even a hard-right people like KK can have and cherish friends of non-white origin - I know, scandalous), and... wildly-left. When I say wildly left I mean: organized for Obama, donated to Hillary, some self-described feminists, etc. When *they* brought up politics to me, I said Trump will win and they *all* agreed. Come to find out... these guys aren't *lifting a finger* for Biden.
Quick story, rewind four years, I was hanging out with this same crew on a boat off the coast of Massachusetts, and, after vividly explaining to them why Trump was going to beat Hillary, I got the distinct feeling like I was about to be thrown overboard. I won't get into the details but if the outboards had been started and the course plotted to leave the harbor, I was fully prepared to jump overboard and swim to shore -> What I'm saying is that this elite RI group (doctors, a lawyer, financial advisor, engineer, etc) were *rabid* about Hillary four years ago but don't really care this election cycle.
Energy is everything. Obama had the (dare I say) dumb black vote; Hillary, the dumb women vote - Biden simply doesn't have the identity politics appeal - quite to the opposite in fact.
No.one.is.excited.about.Biden.and.that.makes.a.determining.difference.
I will now go back to my 2015 arguments (verifiable in the 2016 election thread):
Trump continues to draw huge crowds to multiple rallies per day in battleground states. ?pole: everyone at these rallies votes for Trump - everyone *not* at these rallies that know their friends went to these rallies, is reconsidering even voting.
Like 2015, Trump is on a non-stop, everyday mission to speak to as many people as possible, while Biden (like Hillary) hides and sends out surrogates (JayZ/Katy Perry for Hillary, Lady Gaga for Biden).
A Trump rally earlier this morning (as I was waking up), had thousands of people in the crown in freezing temperature and tens of thousand watching online (*** in the morning *** early *** dudes: wake up ***). Meanwhile, the Biden/Caramel "rallies" are pathetic and all the comments are trashing what they said.
These - things - make - a - difference.
Trump landslide 390.
Pence easy win in 2024.
-Krispy
Um...what?! Rhode Island? There is a greater chance that monkeys will fly out of my butt than Trump will win Rhode Island. I'm not sure how someone could make a more insane prediction than Rigged, but you just did.
Trump is getting ready to do a rally in Miami at this late hour. Five rallies in one day.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1323111416291749888
Always
Be
Closing
KAG2020
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Trump is getting ready to do a rally in Miami at this late hour. Five rallies in one day.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1323111416291749888Always
Be
Closing
KAG2020
Biden drove 30 miles for 2 short rallies and looked exhausted and weak by the end of the second rally.
Dementia Joe is fading badly down the stretch.
Flagpole wrote:
[quote]Rigged for Hillary wrote:
[quote]Trollminator wrote:
I will tell you this...Trafalgar's "famous" question is "who do you think your neighbors will vote for", and that is filled with problems. For example, I live in a relatively liberal area of Ohio, but I don't have the greatest opinion of my fellow Ohioans at the moment, so I might answer "Trump" to that question when that is PROBABLY not true. Other Biden supporters are pretty concerned too that Trump will somehow pull out a victory, so many of them would say the same thing, even in states where it is pretty clear Biden has the advantage.
Have a good night's sleep.
That's how he makes his poll more anonymous? By asking who you think your neighbors will vote for? No wonder other pollsters think he is off... that could result in as many inaccuracies as any poll question.
Maybe his poll numbers are more accurate but that sure seems like an odd way to run a poll. I will say this, if the guy is right.... and he might be because I think trump will win PA then all of the pollsters going forward should start polling the same way.
It sure would mean there are a lot of shy trump voters... and they don't look very shy where I live.
Flagpole wrote:
krispy kremlin._._._._. wrote:
Let me add these up for you ?pole - I can tell math is not his strong suit:
Biden: 55 + 12 + 7 + 4 + 20 + 29 + 11 + 3 + 7 = 148
Trump: 538 - 148 = 390
That's a landslide folks.
Yes, RI for Trump. My long-call is actually NY being more competitive than expected; Biden still winning, just closer than assumed (wouldn't get into it here).
I traveled to Rhode Island several weeks ago to meet up with some old teammates and other friends. Generally, this group skews educated, successful, multi-racial (gasp - yes, even a hard-right people like KK can have and cherish friends of non-white origin - I know, scandalous), and... wildly-left. When I say wildly left I mean: organized for Obama, donated to Hillary, some self-described feminists, etc. When *they* brought up politics to me, I said Trump will win and they *all* agreed. Come to find out... these guys aren't *lifting a finger* for Biden.
Quick story, rewind four years, I was hanging out with this same crew on a boat off the coast of Massachusetts, and, after vividly explaining to them why Trump was going to beat Hillary, I got the distinct feeling like I was about to be thrown overboard. I won't get into the details but if the outboards had been started and the course plotted to leave the harbor, I was fully prepared to jump overboard and swim to shore -> What I'm saying is that this elite RI group (doctors, a lawyer, financial advisor, engineer, etc) were *rabid* about Hillary four years ago but don't really care this election cycle.
Energy is everything. Obama had the (dare I say) dumb black vote; Hillary, the dumb women vote - Biden simply doesn't have the identity politics appeal - quite to the opposite in fact.
No.one.is.excited.about.Biden.and.that.makes.a.determining.difference.
I will now go back to my 2015 arguments (verifiable in the 2016 election thread):
Trump continues to draw huge crowds to multiple rallies per day in battleground states. ?pole: everyone at these rallies votes for Trump - everyone *not* at these rallies that know their friends went to these rallies, is reconsidering even voting.
Like 2015, Trump is on a non-stop, everyday mission to speak to as many people as possible, while Biden (like Hillary) hides and sends out surrogates (JayZ/Katy Perry for Hillary, Lady Gaga for Biden).
A Trump rally earlier this morning (as I was waking up), had thousands of people in the crown in freezing temperature and tens of thousand watching online (*** in the morning *** early *** dudes: wake up ***). Meanwhile, the Biden/Caramel "rallies" are pathetic and all the comments are trashing what they said.
These - things - make - a - difference.
Trump landslide 390.
Pence easy win in 2024.
-Krispy
Um...what?! Rhode Island? There is a greater chance that monkeys will fly out of my butt than Trump will win Rhode Island. I'm not sure how someone could make a more insane prediction than Rigged, but you just did.
?pole: what have you learned since the last presidential election?
Honestly, what priors have you updated?
Are 2016 Trump-voters changing their vote? Who is excited about a Biden presidency? Again, which 2016 Trump voter are *not voting*...? Which 2016 Hillary voters are *rabid* about Biden?
If I were a Biden/Harris campaign advisor (I know a couple of them - not actually too bright), I would have been pushing a "Biden as the overseer - Caramel as the executor/brains of the operation" - this would have placated the traditional Demo-rat base and excited the black/minority base. Instead, they hid their intentions and conservatives called them out on it and it has been a negative for them.
- Krispy (political/financial/economic/robotics/mathematics/musical advisor)
- ?pole: wrong side of everything
krispy kremlin._._._._. wrote:
Yes, RI for Trump. My long-call is actually NY being more competitive than expected; Biden still winning, just closer than assumed (wouldn't get into it here).
I traveled to Rhode Island several weeks ago to meet up with some old teammates and other friends. Generally, this group skews educated, successful, multi-racial (gasp - yes, even a hard-right people like KK can have and cherish friends of non-white origin - I know, scandalous), and... wildly-left. When I say wildly left I mean: organized for Obama, donated to Hillary, some self-described feminists, etc. When *they* brought up politics to me, I said Trump will win and they *all* agreed. Come to find out... these guys aren't *lifting a finger* for Biden.
These - things - make - a - difference.
Trump landslide 390.
Pence easy win in 2024.
-Krispy
This is such a great story.
I applaud your confidence, research understanding of RI, so I'd like to give you a chance to make some easy money (plus bragging rights): I'll wager $5000 on this and I even give you odds for your trouble, how does 5:4 sound, your $4k to my 5k? If you prefer, the winning money goes to a pre selected charity. Let's do this.
EVERY SINGLE person predicting a Trump win in this thread has refused to wager $1. It's about time someone who's researched and understands a state so well stepped up.
krispy kremlin._._._._. wrote:
Flagpole wrote:
Um...what?! Rhode Island? There is a greater chance that monkeys will fly out of my butt than Trump will win Rhode Island. I'm not sure how someone could make a more insane prediction than Rigged, but you just did.
?pole: what have you learned since the last presidential election?
Honestly, what priors have you updated?
Are 2016 Trump-voters changing their vote? Who is excited about a Biden presidency? Again, which 2016 Trump voter are *not voting*...? Which 2016 Hillary voters are *rabid* about Biden?
If I were a Biden/Harris campaign advisor (I know a couple of them - not actually too bright), I would have been pushing a "Biden as the overseer - Caramel as the executor/brains of the operation" - this would have placated the traditional Demo-rat base and excited the black/minority base. Instead, they hid their intentions and conservatives called them out on it and it has been a negative for them.
- Krispy (political/financial/economic/robotics/mathematics/musical advisor)
- ?pole: wrong side of everything
1) Brother, you are one weird-ass MFer.
2) Yes, lots of 2016 Trump voters are changing their vote. In droves. How do you not know this?
3) LOTS of people are excited about NOT having Trump in as President any more. LOTS of people voted for Trump last time because they were voting AGAINST Hillary. Biden is getting similar votes this time...votes that are AGAINST Trump.
4) You would have been an idiot for an advisor then. You don't say that your VP will be the brains of the operation...even if it is true...and it's not true here. Kamala may be President one day, but that day is not here yet. Biden is at the top of the ticket. He's doing just fine and will do just fine as President.
5) Under normal circumstances, I wouldn't give someone the time of day after saying Trump was going to win Rhode Island, but the crazy ends VERY soon, so I blessed you with my response. I won't reward cray cray too long though, so don't make a habit of saying absolutely insane things like that.
You might need to have your medication adjusted. Go see your doctor.