Official LRC President Donald J Trump Thread

Let's let some reality set in:

538 nat'l polling average with 3 days until E-Day:

2020: Biden+8.6

2016: Clinton+3.9

2012: Obama+0.3

2008: Obama+6.7

2004: Bush+2.3

2000: Bush+3.6

1996: Clinton+13.8

1992: Clinton+7.6

1988: Bush+10.1

1984: Reagan+17.7

1980: Reagan+2.2

1976: Carter+0.03

Stuff:

1) Biden is way up on where Clinton was at this time in 2016.

2) The polls would have to be much further off than they were in 2016 for Trump to win (they won't be).

3) Not all years are the polls in favor of the Democrat candidate. See 2012. Obama won by more than that. See 2000. Gore nearly won that race (some say he did, but I won't go there).

Biden will win this election. Any shocker will come from states that weren't supposed to go to Biden that then do. Trump will not gain any states that Hillary won in 2016.

334 for Biden.

Flagpole wrote:

krispy kremlin._._._._. wrote:

Alright Flag, guess we got to do this again:

Trump wins - this time in a landslide.

States Biden wins: CA, WA, OR, HI, IL, NY, MA, VT, CT

Add 'em up and weep like it's 2016.

-Krispy -correctly calling presidential elections since 2016.

Nope.

For the all libs who have said Biden is going to win IA, forget it. The fake news is tightening their polls just like they did a few days before election day in 2016.

Flagpole wrote:

krispy kremlin._._._._. wrote:

Alright Flag, guess we got to do this again:

Trump wins - this time in a landslide.

States Biden wins: CA, WA, OR, HI, IL, NY, MA, VT, CT

Add 'em up and weep like it's 2016.

-Krispy -correctly calling presidential elections since 2016.

Nope.

Yep.

Trump will take WI. Dementia Joe cannot afford to lose ANY rust belt states.

KAG2020

This is true.

https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/523398-michael-moore-says-dont-believe-polls-trump-vote-always-being-undercounted

Here's the dirty little secret, Trump was always ahead. The polls are just trying to save face by not being so heavily biased for the dems as election day rapidly approaches.

The dem panic is coming.

Trump is going to win

Nate Plastic is going to need a new job.

?pole will have cursed another election for the LR lib echo chamber

Sourpole & Runningart will leave LR forever.

Nope.

Hey ?pole, look at FL. Reality is beginning to set in, Biden is going to lose a lot of battlegrounds and the downward spiral starts with FL.

FL is Trump country, never forget that.

Enjoy your loss.

Flagpole wrote:

oldschoollrc wrote:

Big whoop on yard signs. Trump will take Ohio easily.

You wasted a post, brother. I already said I was still calling Ohio for Trump. Potential bad news for other closer Trumpy states.

Yard signs are the wrong metric. Many Trump voters do not proudly broadcast their support because Trump is such a hated/controversial figure. There were some Trump signs in our neighborhood and an anonymous person put letters in the mailbox of the Trump sign people saying, “Thank you for letting the rest of your neighborhood know that you are a racist”.

So...yeah...really makes people want to put out signs...

Richard Baris (Peoples Pundit) is calling out Nate Plastic & Nate Cohn (NY Times pollster). The Nate midgets are going to be ridiculed forever for their HORRIBLE polling.

https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1322764763668107265

https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1322756992776155136

agip wrote:

Igy:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/ncna1245533

Igy will never read such an article.

But yeah, he should.

Trollminator wrote:

This is why biff is daydreaming with trufflefart, it would really hurt to face reality

If Biden were to win all of these contests, he'd accumulate 357 electoral votes. That's well more than the 270 necessary for victory.

Of course, many of these leads are on the small side. Only Biden's advantages in Wisconsin, Michigan, Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District and Pennsylvania are 5 points or greater. All the others are 4 points or fewer at this hour.

But even if Biden were to win just the states where he led by 5 points or more, he'd still get over the 270 electoral vote mark. That was simply not the case for Clinton in 2016.

As The New York Times' Nate Cohn points out, Biden would get more than 300 electoral votes if the 2016 errors repeated themselves exactly in 2020.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/31/politics/polling-trump-biden-analysis/index.html

Keep posting both Nates and you will find out just how clueless they both are.

SNL slams Nate Plastic too. Go to the 2:50 min mark:

Rigged for Hillary wrote:

Flagpole wrote:

Nope.

Yep.

Trump will take WI. Dementia Joe cannot afford to lose ANY rust belt states.

https://twitter.com/RedEaglePatriot/status/1322704972568535041

KAG2020

Couple things;

1) No way will Trump win WI. You are out of your mind.

2) So, "Nate Plastic", huh? You can't even come up with your own nickname? What a sheep!

Flagpole wrote:

Rigged for Hillary wrote:

Yep.

Trump will take WI. Dementia Joe cannot afford to lose ANY rust belt states.

https://twitter.com/RedEaglePatriot/status/1322704972568535041

KAG2020

Couple things;

1) No way will Trump win WI. You are out of your mind.

2) So, "Nate Plastic", huh? You can't even come up with your own nickname? What a sheep!

1. Trump will keep WI

2. Nate Plastic is a great nickname. I never claimed to invent it, but you will be ?pole, forever!

3. You're gonna lose BIGLY on election night

Rigged for Hillary wrote:

1. Trump will keep WI

2. Nate Plastic is a great nickname. I never claimed to invent it, but you will be ?pole, forever!

3. You're gonna lose BIGLY on election night

All polls predict a clear Biden win in WI, most by a large margin, with an average of 8%, and many over 10% and up to 17% in one case. But you see this poll and decide to believe in only one poll for all your conclusions, ignoring all other.

You also spoke of how Trump is "taking back IA against what the polls and people say"

Biden at no point has been even a slight favorite to take IA. You don't even know where your candidate has been ahead.

Kristie Kremlin just said that Trump was going to win Rhode Island. This alone invalidates this entire conversation. Just STFU.

Rigged, Sally... just curious... do you guys even run?

highhoppingworm wrote:

Kristie Kremlin just said that Trump was going to win Rhode Island. This alone invalidates this entire conversation. Just STFU.

Rigged, Sally... just curious... do you guys even run?

What happens after the election when Biden (as Flagpole and the rest of you Libs have assured us so many times) wins? Do we pull the plug on this thread and commence an Official LRC President Joe Biden Thread? Might it be an Official LRC President Joe Biden (and soon-to-be President Kamala Harris) Thread, as we all know that Joe Biden's tenure in the Oval Office will be short-lived? Will you Libs have some same fervor in defending Biden's actions as you have had attacking Trump's? Will be interesting.

Right now ...it looks to me like Biden will win the upper midwest, but lose florida.

BUT

AZ and NC will fill the void of a lost FL, which makes PA less of a problem.

I'm hearing that black turnout is not a problem, and youth turnout it phenomenal. Add that to seniors!!!! voting for Biden and things should be ok.

Sally Vix wrote:

highhoppingworm wrote:

Kristie Kremlin just said that Trump was going to win Rhode Island. This alone invalidates this entire conversation. Just STFU.

Rigged, Sally... just curious... do you guys even run?

What happens after the election when Biden (as Flagpole and the rest of you Libs have assured us so many times) wins? Do we pull the plug on this thread and commence an Official LRC President Joe Biden Thread? Might it be an Official LRC President Joe Biden (and soon-to-be President Kamala Harris) Thread, as we all know that Joe Biden's tenure in the Oval Office will be short-lived? Will you Libs have some same fervor in defending Biden's actions as you have had attacking Trump's? Will be interesting.

And I am especially looking forward to MSNBC's election night coverage with Rachel Maddow, Joy Reid, Nicole Wallace, Chris Hayes and Brian Williams. That panel is sure to be fair and unbiased!

agip wrote:

Right now ...it looks to me like Biden will win the upper midwest, but lose florida.

BUT

AZ and NC will fill the void of a lost FL, which makes PA less of a problem.

I'm hearing that black turnout is not a problem, and youth turnout it phenomenal. Add that to seniors!!!! voting for Biden and things should be ok.

You heard that "black turnout is not a problem, and youth turnout it phenomenal." Who did you hear that from?

Did you just straight up ignore the fact that one of you dip$hits just predicted Trump would win RI so that you could continue spewing your nonsense. If you are going to participate at least try to have a conversation and not just copy paste over and over again. Why do you think Trump will win RI? What empirical evidence can you provide?

This early voting by any means is a game changer.

Texas has already had more votes cast early than the total of 2016.

They are 108% of the 2016 total.

Florida is at 86%.

North Carolina is at 91%.

Arizona 87%

Mississippi and Alabama are at 12% and 13%.

The rust bent of MN WI MI OH PA are all closer to 50% of 2016 totals. (PA only at 34%)

And we still expect high turnout on Election Day.

But my concern is how that will go with most polling stations closed.