The good news is that Trump has surged past Biden in Florida.
Everything else is still bad news:
* MI seems out of reach this time.
* States where he was somewhat comfortably ahead in 2016 such as NC, AZ and GA are a complete toss-up this time.
* States where he was comfortably ahead in 2016 such as OH and TX, this time he is barely ahead.
* The idea of picking up additional swing-ish states like NV and MN doesn't seem highly probable.
* PA stagnant with Biden polling similar to Hillary.
I summarized it below.
Trump v. Biden +/-
August -> Today:
* FL: -7.8 -> +0.4
* GA: +3.0 -> +0.4
* PA: -4.2 -> -3.8
* MN: -11.4 -> -7.0
* TX: +2.2 -> +2.6
* OH: -2.3 -> +0.6
* NC: +0.3 -> -0.7
* WI: -6.4 -> -5.5
* MI: -5.2 -> -9.4
* AZ: -5.3 -> -2.4
Unless there is some big movement in the next week, I think Biden will win by 2 states (MI and WI) and there will be a few other states that are too close to call (Florida 2000 margins) but won't matter.