Official LRC President Donald J Trump Thread

Ghost of Igloi wrote:

Posters, have you thought of what you are going to do if there is a clear Trump victory?

Haven't really thought about it prior to responding to your post.

Upon 3 seconds of reflection, I will do the same things that I normally do, regardless of who wins. Perhaps I'll utter an "Oh, that sucks." But beyond that it will not change anything that I do.

What will you be doing post-election?

Rigged for Hillary wrote:

NameStolenAgain wrote:

Of course, only an idiot or a troll would claim MI is contested. Biden has been ahead in ALL polls by 10% or more for a very long time, and the margin continues to grow every day. Rigged's posts are all misinformation.

Trump is ahead in MI, per Trafalgar (who beats 538 on the accuracy scale).

https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/restoration/pages/1001/attachments/original/1603307463/RSTP_MI_'20_Oct_Press_Report.pdf?1603307463

Enjoy your loss.

Since you're pretty adamant that BLM/antifa protesting, which sometimes leads to violence, is hurting Biden, do you think that the militia plot to kidnap the governor has pretty much sunk Trump's chances there?

Fat hurts wrote:

If you measure personal accomplishment by your earnings then you have a really screwed up value system.

If you measure personal accomplishment by what you've been able to buy then you are even more screwed up.

You can measure your accomplishments based on the ability to get promotions at work.

Or on your ability to progress through your career by changing jobs.

Your opportunities.

You can measure what you've done by your ability to put your kids through school without assistance.

Or your ability to help your aging parents.

The system can be improved so more people can help themselves and help others.

Hard to work at Walmart without getting supplemental welfare.

We can do better than that as a nation.

Trump hates this photo so please do not share.

https://images.app.goo.gl/VyCKkZK2Vdet6vhh8

Houston we have lift off.

Trafalgar now has Trump taking the lead in PA and this was before all the rioting began in Philly last night. Trump's margin will grow over the next few days.

https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1321103067933249536

johnny99 wrote:

As someone else said, who knows what this all means. It would seem to favor Biden, but there are a lot of variables. What demographic is holding off until next Tuesday? What's the weather going to be like next Tuesday? Who are these early voters actually voting for? How many Dems are voting for Trump, and how many Reps are voting for Biden?

The weather is always a big variable but even more so this time.

If massive storms hit Florida on Tuesday it's all over and Biden wins big there. Right now it's not looking that way but Florida weather is very unpredictable.

Daily check of The Gap: 10.9 percentage points, with a week to go till Election Day. Unless there's a major development, it really does appear that my forecast of a significant narrowing of The Gap...was plain wrong.

How that might play out in actual voting remains to be seen.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

1101 wrote:

Ghost of Igloi wrote:

Posters, have you thought of what you are going to do if there is a clear Trump victory?

Haven't really thought about it prior to responding to your post.

Upon 3 seconds of reflection, I will do the same things that I normally do, regardless of who wins. Perhaps I'll utter an "Oh, that sucks." But beyond that it will not change anything that I do.

What will you be doing post-election?

I am OK as well. I don’t believe I am emotionally invested one way or the other. My preference is to have divided government, but even with it, I see many challenges that go well beyond what party is in or out of power. Naturally like everyone here, I want the best for the country.

Rigged for Hillary wrote:

Trafalgar now has Trump taking the lead in PA and this was before all the rioting began in Philly last night. Trump's margin will grow over the next few days.

https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/1321103067933249536

Although I'd rather be up than down even if it's a small margin, RCP calls this poll a tie. I suppose they round off.

And the more recent Reuters poll from 10/20-10/26 has Biden up by 5.

Flagpole wrote:

UPDATE!

538

538 is back to 88% chance of Biden win.

EC votes for Biden at 344

GA is BLUE

IA and OH basically dead heats

13 Keys still for Biden

Betting sites still for Biden

IBD/TIPP still for Biden

RCP - 340 for Biden

RCP- herds too many dem oversampled polls

Muh 538- will be wrong AS USUAL. Nate Plastic's hairline may be the only thing receding faster then his reputation.

When you look at the 13 keys from an unbiased lens it gives Trump a win. His lens is full of TDS & he claims that Trump has no charisma nor any foreign policy success.

IBD/TIPP is within margin of error.

You need to look at the primary model, enthusiasm gap, voter registration trends & google searches- they are a much better predictor of elections as they ALL favor Trump.

You also need to pay attention to People's Pundit, Barnes Law & Trafalgar as they all of better prediction records than Nate Plastic.

Enjoy another Flagpolian Flop

Enjoy jinxing another election & incur the wrath of the entire LR lib echo chamber

Enjoy your loss

Well, I did the deed. Took two hours and fifty minutes of standing on line (in NY we stand on line, not in line), but I voted. Glad to have that out of the way.

Fat hurts wrote:

johnny99 wrote:

As someone else said, who knows what this all means. It would seem to favor Biden, but there are a lot of variables. What demographic is holding off until next Tuesday? What's the weather going to be like next Tuesday? Who are these early voters actually voting for? How many Dems are voting for Trump, and how many Reps are voting for Biden?

The weather is always a big variable but even more so this time.

If massive storms hit Florida on Tuesday it's all over and Biden wins big there. Right now it's not looking that way but Florida weather is very unpredictable.

Keep dreaming.

Look at all the excitement in Fat hurt's neighborhood.

Why is Dementia Joe wasting his time in GA? It IS Trump country!

Wow! This is YUUUUUGE. Miami-Dade may flip red. This has been one of the bluest of the blue counties in FL. Cankles won Miami-Dade by 20 points 2016.

https://twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/status/1321167965341904897

Red wave, baby!

KAG2020

Rigged for Hillary wrote:

Why is Dementia Joe wasting his time in GA? It IS Trump country!

Because all polls say the Georgia, Trump country, is currently a tie which can go either way 50/50

Wheeew!

Thanks Mike

Trump pulls out of FL.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-27/trump-pulls-florida-ads-as-cash-poor-campaign-enters-final-week

*ahem* wrote:

Daily check of The Gap: 10.9 percentage points, with a week to go till Election Day. Unless there's a major development, it really does appear that my forecast of a significant narrowing of The Gap...was plain wrong.

How that might play out in actual voting remains to be seen.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

Follow Barnes Law & People's Pundit- they have a more accurate view of the presidential election. Ignore Nate Plastic.

The unemployment rate is the tip of the iceberg. It does not account for millions of people who have taken pay cuts, people with reduced hours, and millions of small business owners who are “employed” but losing money every month.

Perhaps we run in different circles. I can say amongst people I know personally, 25% percent have taken an economic hit of some sort from Covid. And these are people ranging across different class demographics.

the plural of anecdote is not data,

and 25% is not 'most,'

but I hear you.