538 2016 map. LMAO.
So accurate!!!!
538 2016 map. LMAO.
So accurate!!!!
Why would we have to vote if we could 100% accurately predict the outcome beforehand? you don't make much sense bro.
Keep America Great 2020 wrote:
538 2016 map. LMAO.
So accurate!!!!
2600 bro wrote:
Why would we have to vote if we could 100% accurately predict the outcome beforehand?
you don't make much sense bro.
Keep America Great 2020 wrote:
538 2016 map. LMAO.
So accurate!!!!
Are you really this dense bro?
Clearly the prediction wasn't even remotely close. The betting odds for Trump on eleciton night 2016 were insane. Huge underdog. Way off.
Biden is a significantly smaller betting favorite than Hillary was.
The betting odds have swung big time just in the past few days towards Trump.
October 14th: Trump +170
October 16th: Trump +155
October 19th: Trump +125
Momentum is building liberal quacks - be prepared to be heartbroken! :)
The only big polling miss was WI in 2016. The maps you keep posting are actually quite close to the final map. Remember it was only a few hundred thousand cumulative votes across the swing states.
Hint: try coloring the "close" states white. You'll see you're just owning yourself :)
I have $500 on Biden I got with very favorable odds. Think I should sell before election day?
agip wrote:
AZ at a new all time high on 538: 69% for Joe
Would be nice not have to count on PA. That place is a merdefest, votingwise.
The Peoples Pundit (Rich Baris) has Trump winning AZ. Baris' polls have been very accurate in 2016- he correctly called MI, WI, PA, FL & NC.
Trafalgar also has AZ going to Trump.
Nate Plastic will be wrong again.
KAG2020
2600 bro wrote:I have $500 on Biden I got with very favorable odds. Think I should sell before election day?You might as well just have taken the $500 and flushed it down the toilet. :)
I can sell for a tidy profit right now. But with my sub 14 5k, model wife, and $250k/year job... it doesn't really mean much to me. I will hold until it pays out the full 1.00 post election, just to own the Trumpers :)
Keep America Great 2020 wrote:
2600 bro wrote:I have $500 on Biden I got with very favorable odds. Think I should sell before election day?
You might as well just have taken the $500 and flushed it down the toilet. :)
Rigged for Hillary wrote:The Peoples Pundit (Rich Baris) has Trump winning AZ. Baris' polls have been very accurate in 2016- he correctly called MI, WI, PA, FL & NC.
Trafalgar also has AZ going to Trump.
Nate Plastic will be wrong again.
KAG2020
How dare you mention accurate polls? Anytime someone mentions Trafalgar or more accurate polls, liberals call them "fake" because they don't subscribe to the groupthink of the other pollsters.
Liberals love living in their echo chamber of falsehoods.
2600 bro wrote:
I can sell for a tidy profit right now. But with my sub 14 5k, model wife, and $250k/year job... it doesn't really mean much to me.
It's sad that you're proud of a sub 14 5k tbh.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
agip wrote:
AZ at a new all time high on 538: 69% for Joe
Would be nice not have to count on PA. That place is a merdefest, votingwise.
The Peoples Pundit (Rich Baris) has Trump winning AZ. Baris' polls have been very accurate in 2016- he correctly called MI, WI, PA, FL & NC.
Trafalgar also has AZ going to Trump.
Nate Plastic will be wrong again.
KAG2020
In 2016, the Mormons in AZ voted for Evan "McMuffin." Those Mormons will be be voting for Trump this time around. Advantage Trump.
Keep America Great 2020 wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:The Peoples Pundit (Rich Baris) has Trump winning AZ. Baris' polls have been very accurate in 2016- he correctly called MI, WI, PA, FL & NC.
Trafalgar also has AZ going to Trump.
Nate Plastic will be wrong again.
KAG2020
How dare you mention accurate polls? Anytime someone mentions Trafalgar or more accurate polls, liberals call them "fake" because they don't subscribe to the groupthink of the other pollsters.
Liberals love living in their echo chamber of falsehoods.
Yep, they get triggered BIGLY whenever I criticize the clueless Nate Plastic.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
agip wrote:
AZ at a new all time high on 538: 69% for Joe
Would be nice not have to count on PA. That place is a merdefest, votingwise.
The Peoples Pundit (Rich Baris) has Trump winning AZ. Baris' polls have been very accurate in 2016- he correctly called MI, WI, PA, FL & NC.
Trafalgar also has AZ going to Trump.
Nate Plastic will be wrong again.
KAG2020
The People's Pundit must have been sleeping before the 2018 midterms, because he totally missed the beating that the Republicans ended up taking. Do you think we're going to get the 2016 or the 2018 People's Pundit this time around?
"On average, a 10-point advantage for Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot yields just a 12-seat swing, while an identical lead for Republicans yields an average 23-seat swing. A margin of 13 points for Democrats results in a net gain of just 17 House seats, still 7 shy of the target. It is possible that the party could outperform their historical average, but it’s not likely considering the polarized state of the country."
https://www.peoplespunditdaily.com/news/elections/2017/07/01/2018-midterm-elections-democrats-house-republican-majority/For the record, the Democrats won 41 seats in 2018.
2600 bro wrote:
I can sell for a tidy profit right now. But with my sub 14 5k, model wife, and $250k/year job... it doesn't really mean much to me.
I will hold until it pays out the full 1.00 post election, just to own the Trumpers :)
Keep America Great 2020 wrote:
You might as well just have taken the $500 and flushed it down the toilet. :)
You are buying the conman's pitch.
BIDEN 2020!
Your silence on the other two is... deafening. :)
Keep America Great 2020 wrote:
It's sad that you're proud of a sub 14 5k tbh.
I'm sad that my fellow Trump supporters are so innumerate :/
Hey Rigged and KAG: I said you had a 70% chance of rolling greater than a 5 and you rolled a 4, would you say I was wrong?
It's okay, many adults get frustrated when they don't understand basic math. I can help you.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
The Peoples Pundit (Rich Baris) has Trump winning AZ. Baris' polls have been very accurate in 2016- he correctly called MI, WI, PA, FL & NC.
Trafalgar also has AZ going to Trump.
Nate Plastic will be wrong again.
KAG2020
In 2016, the Mormons in AZ voted for Evan "McMuffin." Those Mormons will be be voting for Trump this time around. Advantage Trump.
Keep dreaming. Trump has managed to turn off even the Mormons. Quite impressive!
According to the Utah Policy/KUTV poll, 4 in 10 Latter-day Saints in the state disapprove of Trump. This means he still has majority approval among Utah Mormons, but that his approval rating is much softer than it has been for previous GOP presidents.
https://www.sltrib.com/religion/2020/06/26/jana-riess-trumps/The betting odds prove that Trump is in a MUCH better position than this time in 2016.
October 25th, 2016 (14 days before election):
Hillary Clinton-550
Donald Trump +350
November 7th, 2016 (day prior to election):
Hillary Clinton: -550
Donald Trump: +375
October 19th, 2020 (15 days before election):
Joe Biden -160
Donald Trump +125
Joe Biden is in a MUCH worse position than Hillary Clinton was. Good luck to him. He needs it. Especially with Hunter scandal to answer to now.