Ghost of Igloi wrote:
^says the guy who’s undies were up his crack about Russia, and turned out to be a Democratic dirty trick....
BS, but OK Boomer.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
^says the guy who’s undies were up his crack about Russia, and turned out to be a Democratic dirty trick....
BS, but OK Boomer.
CircusClowns wrote:
Sally Vix wrote:
I would agree that Congress is awful. But you think Republicans might have a legitimate reason for hamstringing the Biden presidency? You think Dems might have hamstrung the Trump presidency for say .... the last fricking 4 years?!!! Since day 1 the Dems have been trying to undo the 2016 election that duly elected Donald Trump. First, the ridiculous Mueller investigation. Then the bogus impeachment. And then another investigation. And another. And the phony made-up crap like Trump calling the military "losers and suckers" which never happened. Or And now Pelosi wanting to remove Trump if she and the other dems deem him unfit. When is it ever going to end?
Didn't the republicans have the President, the House and the Senate from 2016 to 2018? Hmmm, so they were in FULL control? Dems took back the house in 2018, but still the republicans had the White House, the Senate, and lets not forget more conservative supreme court judges....
Exactly how can the republicans blame the disastrous direction of the US on anybody but themselves?!
Republicans can't. You are dealing with Sally here who is just outrageously stupid...a simpleton to the nth degree.
Tyrone ReXXXing wrote:
Now I won't pull a Flagpole and guarantee anything. But Biden is in WAY better shape than Hilary. Not even close.
Well, you should. You just have to add the qualifier which I did both in 2016 and again in 2020.
Watch:
Trump has ZERO chance to win the election unless he cheats (news flash, he has already cheated in 2020 in an impeachable way and of course did so also in a FELONY way in 2016).
NOTE - People should refrain from telling me that I don't understand probability. I know EXACTLY what I am doing here and what I did in 2016.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Facts and Logic wrote:
Agip: 538 - an open source election forecast based on aggregate polling, now projects Biden to be ever so slightly more likely to win Georgia
Rigged For Hillary: lol liberal fool falling for stupid early voting nonsense
I just can't....
Things are starting to look very bad for Trump.
Biden is going is practically guaranteed to win DC, MA, HI, VT, MD, CA, NY, DE, RI, WA, CT, IL, a
ME's 1st district, NJ, OR, NM, and VA.
That's 201 electoral votes already.
Biden is heavily heavily, favored to win ME (statewide), CO, NH, MN, MI (first state mentioned that Trump won in 2016), WI (also went Trump in 2016), and NV. That's another 57. Bringing to the total to 258.
And then there's PA. The big tipping point of 2016. Biden is polling 7 points up on Trump (keep in mind in response to the error of 2016 most polls now adjust heavily for geography and education). Clinton didn't even lead by 4. With PA that's now 278 electoral votes, game over.
But for icing on the cake, Biden is polling up by 4 points on Trump in Florida and Arizona, and by 3 in NC. That's 55 electoral votes that would put Biden over 300 electoral votes at 333, or to use hyperbole like Donald Trump, the biggest in history.
Oh and also NE's 2nd district is likely to go blue, so 334.
Ohio and Georgia are complete tossups, as is Maine's 2nd district, but they represent another 30 Electoral votes Biden doesn't even need that are up for grabs.
Trump is basically guaranteed to win WY, WV, OK, ND, ID, KY, AL, AR, SE, NE (Statewide), TN, UT, LA, MI, IN, MT, KS, MO, SC, and NE's 3rd and 1st. That's only 122 electoral votes.
Alaska is likely to still vote Trump, so that's another 3 for 125.
In Texas Trump is only polling 1.5 points ahead. In Iowa he's trailing Biden by half a point. Still I'll be optimistic for him and give him both states. That's still only 169 electoral votes.
By winning all of the states Clinton won (which by all indications will happen) Biden basically gets 232 electoral votes by default.
So Biden is pretty mu h automatically going to get 232 electoral votes, compared to Trumps 125 (but I'll be generous and hand him Texas and Iowa for 169).
Biden needs 38, Trump needs 101.
The battle ground is MI, WI, PA, OH, NC, GA, FL, and AZ representing 135 EC votes together. Biden is significant favored to win in MI, WI, and PA, and slightly favored to win NC, FL, and AZ. Trump is favored in none. Again Biden only needs 38.
It's very possible for Trump to Win, but it's a bit naive to pretend the odds are in his favor right now.
Peoples_Pundit called FL for Trump in 2016 and has destroyed 538's hilariously wrong battleground predictions as well. For 2020, GA is no tossup. It will remain Trump country.
The fact that Nate has OH blue tells you he has no idea what is going on in this election. When you use faulty polls for your formulas, you end up looking like an ass. Silver must be smoking crack with Hunter.
Trump will take NC, FL, AZ (I will give Biden all of ME)- that brings him to 259. He will also flip NH to get him to 263. Now, the paths to 270 are very easy. Even if he loses PA, either WI or MN or MI gets him over the top. Dementia Joe will not sweep the rust belt. In my worst case scenario for Trump, he ends up with 273.
Trump will flip two states next month NH & MN. My prediction remains 313 EV for the Runningart Challenge and become the repeat LR presidential electoral vote champion.
KAG2020
I forgot to mention for my worst case scenario of 273 for Trump, Biden keeps NV too. A Trump haul of FL, NC & AZ puts Dementia Joe behind the eight ball. Then one more rust belt state seals the deal for Trump & the talking heads on CNN & PMSNBC will start weeping.
Ghost of Igloi wrote:
https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/9k8o5h4dh2231.jpg?itok=63aJ0LVA
I knew it! I KNEW IT!!!
It's the DEEP STATE!
/////////
Agip just called you a traitor, Igy. I'm not sure about that.
My guess is that you are mentally ill. Nobody could be stupid enough to see the biggest self dealing crook and con artist the WH has ever known and think this person is "draining the swamp!" So, mental illness is your only viable excuse.
joedirtay wrote:
Trollminator wrote:
Sally even if there is a chance this is true, nobody gives a flying fk after 4 years of orange man. I won’t even click on the link, nobody fkn cares. The only thing people are voting on is whether to keep or remove trump.
Biden lied about his involvement with his son's business dealings. Can't wait for the next debate. His crackhead son is the gift that keeps on giving.
Maybe YOU are smoking crack. Biden already deftly swatted away the fact that his son is a recovering addict in the first debate. Actually GIVES Biden points as a stark contrast to the cruel and uncaring Trump. You can dream to wake up in an alternate reality, but that's about the only way this election will turn out the way you want it to.
Flagpole wrote:
Tyrone ReXXXing wrote:
Now I won't pull a Flagpole and guarantee anything. But Biden is in WAY better shape than Hilary. Not even close.
Well, you should. You just have to add the qualifier which I did both in 2016 and again in 2020.
Watch:
Trump has ZERO chance to win the election unless he cheats (news flash, he has already cheated in 2020 in an impeachable way and of course did so also in a FELONY way in 2016).
NOTE - People should refrain from telling me that I don't understand probability. I know EXACTLY what I am doing here and what I did in 2016.
Just note that that is not a prediction.
1101 wrote:
Flagpole, help me out here, what's the right word for "a trillion times dumber than unbelievably stupid?"
Answer - It's a trick question though you sly dog, because TWO words are correct - Rigged and Sally.
Flagpole wrote:
Tyrone ReXXXing wrote:
Now I won't pull a Flagpole and guarantee anything. But Biden is in WAY better shape than Hilary. Not even close.
Well, you should. You just have to add the qualifier which I did both in 2016 and again in 2020.
Watch:
Trump has ZERO chance to win the election unless he cheats (news flash, he has already cheated in 2020 in an impeachable way and of course did so also in a FELONY way in 2016).
NOTE - People should refrain from telling me that I don't understand probability. I know EXACTLY what I am doing here and what I did in 2016.
No ?pole, you don't get to cry "Russian collusion" and act like a sore loser. You act like a man.
Accept the result and select a better candidate next time. Unfortunately for you, Dementia Joe has even less enthusiasm or energy than Cankles and you are a presidential election curse for the LR lib echo chamber.
Enjoy your loss.
Trollminator wrote:
joedirtay wrote:
Biden lied about his involvement with his son's business dealings. Can't wait for the next debate. His crackhead son is the gift that keeps on giving.
Meeting someone is not a business dealing. Didn’t trump meet that Epstein guy? Lol. I’m pretty sure we’ll be hearing much more about how the covidiot is a super spreader in denial. If this Biden thing was supposed to be the October surprise trump is completely toast.
Why is is that the Democrats here are the only ones with good observations? Oh...because we are smart and educated.
Flagpole wrote:
1101 wrote:
Flagpole, help me out here, what's the right word for "a trillion times dumber than unbelievably stupid?"
Answer - It's a trick question though you sly dog, because TWO words are correct - Rigged and Sally.
Need I remind everybody what Mister ZERO Percent Chance kept saying in 2016?????
"I know presidential elections better than anybody!"
"Trump has a ZERO PERCENT CHANCE to win!"
How did that work out for ya?
Mueller never
?pole forever
NameStolenAgain wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Twitter has censored the WH Press Secretary and the NYPost. The First Amendment does not apply if it disparages the Biden campaign or other democrats.
Your understanding of the first amendment needs a refresher
Rigged's understanding of everything under the sun needs a refresher.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Facts and Logic wrote:
Agip: 538 - an open source election forecast based on aggregate polling, now projects Biden to be ever so slightly more likely to win Georgia
Rigged For Hillary: lol liberal fool falling for stupid early voting nonsense
I just can't....
Things are starting to look very bad for Trump.
Biden is going is practically guaranteed to win DC, MA, HI, VT, MD, CA, NY, DE, RI, WA, CT, IL, a
ME's 1st district, NJ, OR, NM, and VA.
That's 201 electoral votes already.
Biden is heavily heavily, favored to win ME (statewide), CO, NH, MN, MI (first state mentioned that Trump won in 2016), WI (also went Trump in 2016), and NV. That's another 57. Bringing to the total to 258.
And then there's PA. The big tipping point of 2016. Biden is polling 7 points up on Trump (keep in mind in response to the error of 2016 most polls now adjust heavily for geography and education). Clinton didn't even lead by 4. With PA that's now 278 electoral votes, game over.
But for icing on the cake, Biden is polling up by 4 points on Trump in Florida and Arizona, and by 3 in NC. That's 55 electoral votes that would put Biden over 300 electoral votes at 333, or to use hyperbole like Donald Trump, the biggest in history.
Oh and also NE's 2nd district is likely to go blue, so 334.
Ohio and Georgia are complete tossups, as is Maine's 2nd district, but they represent another 30 Electoral votes Biden doesn't even need that are up for grabs.
Trump is basically guaranteed to win WY, WV, OK, ND, ID, KY, AL, AR, SE, NE (Statewide), TN, UT, LA, MI, IN, MT, KS, MO, SC, and NE's 3rd and 1st. That's only 122 electoral votes.
Alaska is likely to still vote Trump, so that's another 3 for 125.
In Texas Trump is only polling 1.5 points ahead. In Iowa he's trailing Biden by half a point. Still I'll be optimistic for him and give him both states. That's still only 169 electoral votes.
By winning all of the states Clinton won (which by all indications will happen) Biden basically gets 232 electoral votes by default.
So Biden is pretty mu h automatically going to get 232 electoral votes, compared to Trumps 125 (but I'll be generous and hand him Texas and Iowa for 169).
Biden needs 38, Trump needs 101.
The battle ground is MI, WI, PA, OH, NC, GA, FL, and AZ representing 135 EC votes together. Biden is significant favored to win in MI, WI, and PA, and slightly favored to win NC, FL, and AZ. Trump is favored in none. Again Biden only needs 38.
It's very possible for Trump to Win, but it's a bit naive to pretend the odds are in his favor right now.
Peoples_Pundit called FL for Trump in 2016 and has destroyed 538's hilariously wrong battleground predictions as well. For 2020, GA is no tossup. It will remain Trump country.
The fact that Nate has OH blue tells you he has no idea what is going on in this election. When you use faulty polls for your formulas, you end up looking like an ass. Silver must be smoking crack with Hunter.
Trump will take NC, FL, AZ (I will give Biden all of ME)- that brings him to 259. He will also flip NH to get him to 263. Now, the paths to 270 are very easy. Even if he loses PA, either WI or MN or MI gets him over the top. Dementia Joe will not sweep the rust belt. In my worst case scenario for Trump, he ends up with 273.
Trump will flip two states next month NH & MN. My prediction remains 313 EV for the Runningart Challenge and become the repeat LR presidential electoral vote champion.
KAG2020
How do you not understand this? Are you mentally ill?
538 is NOT A PREDICTION. It is a probabilistic model! They estimate the likelihood of outcomes!
It's like I'm telling you that there's a 30% chance of rolling a 5 or less, yet you roll a 10 and claim I'm wrong. Do you understand how stupid you sound?
Gina wrote:
Sharing zero hedge links while labeling others duped.
I suppose self awareness has never been one of your strong points.
CORRECT! That's right up there with Rigged and Sally level of stupid.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Flagpole wrote:
Well, you should. You just have to add the qualifier which I did both in 2016 and again in 2020.
Watch:
Trump has ZERO chance to win the election unless he cheats (news flash, he has already cheated in 2020 in an impeachable way and of course did so also in a FELONY way in 2016).
NOTE - People should refrain from telling me that I don't understand probability. I know EXACTLY what I am doing here and what I did in 2016.
No ?pole, you don't get to cry "Russian collusion" and act like a sore loser. You act like a man.
Accept the result and select a better candidate next time. Unfortunately for you, Dementia Joe has even less enthusiasm or energy than Cankles and you are a presidential election curse for the LR lib echo chamber.
Enjoy your loss.
You are delusional. I hear the vanilla pudding is very good where you're headed.
Kippy Woods wrote:
How do you not understand this? Are you mentally ill?
538 is NOT A PREDICTION. It is a probabilistic model! They estimate the likelihood of outcomes!
It's like I'm telling you that there's a 30% chance of rolling a 5 or less, yet you roll a 10 and claim I'm wrong. Do you understand how stupid you sound?
No, Rigged does NOT understand how stupid he sounds. That is the trouble with stupid people, and Rigged is one of the stupidest I have ever even heard of...second only to Sally.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
I forgot to mention for my worst case scenario of 273 for Trump, Biden keeps NV too. A Trump haul of FL, NC & AZ puts Dementia Joe behind the eight ball. Then one more rust belt state seals the deal for Trump & the talking heads on CNN & PMSNBC will start weeping.
LOL
Your "remote scenario" is Biden takes NV? Biden is a 6:1 favorite to win Nevada!
Biden also a 2:1 favorite in Arizona and NC, plus a 2.5:1 favorite in FL. An on top of that you need more states going for Trump?
I take it that elementary math is not your strong suit
Just to make it clear:
Rigged is calling for 313 Electoral College votes for Trump
I am calling for 333 Electoral College votes for Biden
Let's just see who is closest. (Psssst! It will be me).
NameStolenAgain wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
I forgot to mention for my worst case scenario of 273 for Trump, Biden keeps NV too. A Trump haul of FL, NC & AZ puts Dementia Joe behind the eight ball. Then one more rust belt state seals the deal for Trump & the talking heads on CNN & PMSNBC will start weeping.
LOL
Your "remote scenario" is Biden takes NV? Biden is a 6:1 favorite to win Nevada!
Biden also a 2:1 favorite in Arizona and NC, plus a 2.5:1 favorite in FL. An on top of that you need more states going for Trump?
I take it that elementary math is not your strong suit
People keep telling Rigged that this or that is not his strong suit. I'd like to know WHAT his strong suit is? I sure haven't seen one. Maybe it's Polyester?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3gxeVKzIUA