First of all I will reiterate, I am not a trump fan. i'd vote for a card board box ahead of him. He is and always has been a con man. He is a fairly good con man though...
And to clarify why I think he will win... he will lose the general election by a substantial margin ... potentially a landslide... however, I do not feel comfortable with the margin of error in the key battle ground states. It is simply too close for me to feel comfortable. I fear the shy trump voter.
they exist everywhere and in those key states that Biden has to win to get to 270 electoral votes I'm afraid there are more than are being accounted for. I also fear in those key states that people may not vote which only helps trump because of the 40% or so that will vote for trump no matter what...
538 shows Biden at 85% and trump at 15% ... 15% is still a chance... almost as good as rolling a 7 with 2 dice... which can and does happen. he could cheat too but i don't feel that is too likely
i hope I am wrong because trump is bad for america...
one thing i feel is inevitable, no matter who wins, there will be some amount of rioting, which is also bad for america... history will show this to be a particularly bad period ... hopefully not the end of our democracy.