hot off the press - the FBI knew a suspected Russian agent was the sub source for the Steele Dossier as early as December 2016. Despite this they kept using it for the FISA warrants.
hot off the press - the FBI knew a suspected Russian agent was the sub source for the Steele Dossier as early as December 2016. Despite this they kept using it for the FISA warrants.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Enthusiasm matters.
Primary votes matter.
Voter registration matters.
Rally size matters.
Trump destroys Dementia Joe with all those metrics.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EiuHr2kXYAEk-W0?format=jpg&name=smallKAG2020
Trump supporters are rabid....that's all.
Trump will fail to achieve his popular vote total of 2016. My guess is he gets around 43-45%. Without third parties taking away votes because 'erbody hated Clinton, Biden will have over 50% of the popular vote. Biden will win WI, MI, PA and that will be all he needs. He will also win AZ and NC, will be close to winning OH and FL. IA, GA and TX will be within 1-3%. Look at the poll trends....he is losing a lot of traditional GOP strongholds. Dems may be slipping in MN because old white people think Senegalese Muslims are terrorists.
Alan
ReallybroReally wrote:
hot off the press - the FBI knew a suspected Russian agent was the sub source for the Steele Dossier as early as December 2016. Despite this they kept using it for the FISA warrants.
m@g@s have no idea how intelligence works. none. Morans.
Do some research before you post moranic statements like this. Read about it. Then post.
agip wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Fox polls are junk. More good news for Trump in FL.ry.
How about Rasmussen? You like Rasmussen, right?
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
Sept. 1-2
Ohio
Trump 47%
Biden 51%
Biden +4%
I am focusing on other metrics which I listed in an earlier post. I will only refer to Rasmussen when they compare Trump & Obama approvals, otherwise I don't like them either.
I like the Trafalgar Group (who challenged Nate Silver to a 2020 POTUS prediction contest) and also follow a FL based pollster, Richard Baris (Peoples_Pundit on Twitter).
I am feeling very confident about my 313 EV call for Trump.
formerly present wrote:
Trollminator wrote:
Sally is a two-bit dumba$$
This is both uncalled-for and inaccurate.
a) Sally simply guessed and was wrong.
b) Sally is a troll--as many have pointed out--and a very effective one, whom you keep feeding by responding to. Sad.
No, it's called for and accurate. Sally is no troll. Sally is a loser who wants acceptance and runs away for extended periods when people here deservedly rip him to shreds. A troll would stick around constantly with the kind of feedback he gets. He doesn't like the feedback and so stays away for a while until he thinks it's safe, and then he tries again only to discover that we haven't forgotten what a dumb*ss and a loser he is. You are 100% wrong about Sally.
Sally Vix wrote:
Smorbun wrote:
Some fact checking:
Sally had spouted off that the Dow would reach 30,000 by end of August. Well, we are now toward the end of September, and the Dow stands at ~26,800.
That's called a swing and a miss.
Actually, no. I said on March 18 (when the Dow was around 18,500) that the Dow would be up around 30,000 by the END of August. At the end of August the Dow was at 29,000. Not a swing and a miss - almost a home run.
Nope, Dow mid 28s last day of August. Swing and a miss.
You said this in March - "Fasten your seatbelts - going to be a barnburner up to 30,000!"
Ha ha, nope.
Dow is down 6%+ YTD. You said it was going to be a barn burner up to 30,000. I sure hope no one made any moves based on that bad prediction.
You swung. You missed. Strike three, back to the bench with you, and likely a demotion to the minors or an outright release.
agip wrote:
yeah expect right wing media to start reporting electoral fraud in mid-October, to warm up the crowd and to see how it us received. And they'll probably find some fraud. 330 million is a big number and lots of weird stuff happens when you have that many variables.
But the point is that the accusations of fraud won't appear out of nowhere - it will be a several-week rampup to a giant hurricane of accusations election week.
and here is the D strategy....330 million votes
Lindsey Graham is a sad, pathetic man these days. Hopefully the SC voters will end his misery. He is the definition of hypocrite.
For those who have been missing agip's daily COVID posts, I offer up this plot of testing results by selected states.
https://monkeystyping.neocities.org/CummulativePositivePerMillion.png
Data source is
Smorbun wrote:
Sally Vix wrote:
Actually, no. I said on March 18 (when the Dow was around 18,500) that the Dow would be up around 30,000 by the END of August. At the end of August the Dow was at 29,000. Not a swing and a miss - almost a home run.
Nope, Dow mid 28s last day of August. Swing and a miss.
You said this in March - "Fasten your seatbelts - going to be a barnburner up to 30,000!"
Ha ha, nope.
Dow is down 6%+ YTD. You said it was going to be a barn burner up to 30,000. I sure hope no one made any moves based on that bad prediction.
You swung. You missed. Strike three, back to the bench with you, and likely a demotion to the minors or an outright release.
Why are you even bringing "YTD" in to the discussion. All I said was the Dow Jones - at that time around 18,500 was going to have a resurgence back up to 30,000 by the end of August. That is 5 months and could be considered a barn burner. I felt the Dow (and other markets) was going to have a quick bounceback from its nadir. Especially with positive news about a vaccine. We didn't really have great news about a vaccine BUT the market did increase 60% (think about it - 60% in 5 months!). Did it reach 30,000? No, but it got pretty dang close at 29,000. That is like Jose Altuve promising to hit .400 for the season in spring training and he ends up at .390. Was he dead-on with his prediction? No, but he was pretty dang close and no one will say he had a lousy season.
fifi wrote:
Sally Vix wrote:
MSNBC has the total number of US deaths up all the time on the screen. They were euphoric as it approached 200,000. The more Americans that die from Coronavirus the better their chances (they think) this November. They are rooting for more deaths.
If we didn't talk about it it would just disappear, right? We should never do anything about anything?
They would prefer not to be exposed to the truth.
Trumpsters believe in killing the messenger when presented with news they don't like. Trump specializes in this approach.
Trollminator wrote:
“Well, we're going to have to see what happens. You know that. I've been complaining very strongly about the ballots. And the ballots are a disaster. ... We want to have -- get rid of the ballots and you'll have a very trans- -- we'll have a very peaceful -- there won't be a transfer, frankly; there'll be a continuation. The ballots are out of control. You know it."
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/09/24/politics/donald-trump-election-peaceful-transition/index.html
I am rather shocked not only by trump threatening our Democratic process but even more so be the number of US citizens (trump supporters) who are not appalled at this.
By the number not shocked
Trollminator wrote:
https://twitter.com/TomthunkitsMind/status/1309424446252482560?s=20
nah he learns just fine
he wants people talking about forest floors rather than covid and recession. And he has learned just exactly how to do that.
Smorbun wrote:
Sally Vix wrote:
Actually, no. I said on March 18 (when the Dow was around 18,500) that the Dow would be up around 30,000 by the END of August. At the end of August the Dow was at 29,000. Not a swing and a miss - almost a home run.
Nope, Dow mid 28s last day of August. Swing and a miss.
You said this in March - "Fasten your seatbelts - going to be a barnburner up to 30,000!"
Ha ha, nope.
Dow is down 6%+ YTD. You said it was going to be a barn burner up to 30,000. I sure hope no one made any moves based on that bad prediction.
You swung. You missed. Strike three, back to the bench with you, and likely a demotion to the minors or an outright release.
sally's call was outstanding. There's no way to say it wasn't a great call, unless you resort to nitpicking.
Dan Kahneman wrote:
Trollminator wrote:
“Well, we're going to have to see what happens. You know that. I've been complaining very strongly about the ballots. And the ballots are a disaster. ... We want to have -- get rid of the ballots and you'll have a very trans- -- we'll have a very peaceful -- there won't be a transfer, frankly; there'll be a continuation. The ballots are out of control. You know it."
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/09/24/politics/donald-trump-election-peaceful-transition/index.htmlI am rather shocked not only by trump threatening our Democratic process but even more so be the number of US citizens (trump supporters) who are not appalled at this.
Cheat plan A was to send his minions to voting sites to "monitor" "suspicious" voters and make sure the predominantly blue areas are understaffed. COVID messed this all up with many states pushing for expansion of mail-in voting, which takes us to cheat plan B - try to prevent ballots from being counted. Cheat plan C will be just change the local EC/rules traditions and hand him the votes. That could be followed by plan D anyway which is the Barr dictator booster option... national emergency - arrest all trump enemies.
I have some woods behind my house.
Do I need to rake there and bag the leaves?
Imagine going into all of the forests in America (or just California for that matter) and raking up all of the leaves on a regular basis.
And what about fields of long dry wild grass?
Install sprinklers all over?
He wants to withhold government funding that would help Californians, because they won't vote for him.
Like he withheld support to Ukraine while asking them to investigate his political rival.
The man does nothing for anyone unless there is something in it for him.
He is morally bankrupt.
