Ciro wrote:
Trollminator wrote:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1305839194879725568This one is brilliant.
Yes it is and I'd like to see it as TV ad in swing states.
Ciro wrote:
Trollminator wrote:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1305839194879725568This one is brilliant.
Yes it is and I'd like to see it as TV ad in swing states.
Flagpole wrote:
L L wrote:
There is less time for voter outreach than usual because people will start to send their in ballots in a few weeks.
Of course swing voters (the few left) will wait until the end.
No one's kicking back.
The arguments over polling is pretty pointless, especially those trying to find polling that agrees with their views.
Trump is totally on defense. Really only trying to guard states he won last time.
And Biden has many paths to victory:
PA, MI, WI were very narrow wins for Trump with third party candidates getting more votes than his margin of victory. Tough for Trump to win any of those this time.
Trump is behind in Florida and really can't win without it.
Biden win combos:
FL & PA
FL & MI
FL & MI
FL & NC
FL & AZ
FL & OH
FL & (you get the picture)
Trump totally blew the Republican hold on Arizona attacking McCain and it even cost them a senate seat - maybe two this fall.
It means Biden can lose Wisconsin, Ohio and Florida and still win.
And Trump can't take his eye off of Georgia, which should be a slam dunk.
There are Democrats on the ground in Texas looking at that as a future swing state if not this time.
US demographics keep changing, and not in the favor of the current version of the Republican party.
No high profile Gary Johnson or Jill Stein taking a lot of votes.
No disdain for Biden they way people carried on about Hillary (who still got 3 million more votes).
No strong economy. Unemployment is bad.
Trump was tried for abuse of power and obstruction of justice.
He has money laundering charges pending.
Several in his circle have been convicted of crimes of fraud and corruption.
No kicking back.
Florida will be filled with attack ads on Trump.
And I also believe there will be a bigger youth vote than usual.
There is a large mount of young voter age anti Trump social media going on that the main media is not picking up on.
I agree that it's concerning that so many Trump supporters are unmovable.
His 5th Avenue comment rings true. He can act criminally without losing support.
I just think his base his too small and people are highly, highly motivated and enthusiastic to vote him out.
This is a good post. Trump had a perfect storm of several things combined that allowed him to squeak out a win in 2016. Most of those things are not in play, and he has lost support, not gained support since then.
Trump can not win without cheating (which he has already done). Even with the cheating that we know about, it will take a miracle for Trump to win (unless there is more cheating we don't yet know about).
And there we have it, the kiss of death from the one and only ?pole. The opposite outcome is assured. LOL!!!
Enjoy your loss.
KAG2020
Latinos in Miami who fled Castro & Maduro simply don't like Kamala.
https://twitter.com/JackPosobiec/status/1305965451369996290
“Kamala Harris represents communism and socialism.”
https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article245596325.html
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Eh0N7XLXkAA5vVe?format=jpg&name=900x900
KAG2020
He confused his wife for his sister and today has confused Iraq for Iran.
Elder abuse.
"You know, you know the thing"
"Come on, man!"
You're doing great work on behalf of Putin, keep it up!
Anyway, I heard Biden today, he sounded fine. Trump's going to have some trouble at the debates. He's still probably having nightmares about how Chris Wallace made a fool of him in July.
Flagpole wrote:
L L wrote:
There is less time for voter outreach than usual because people will start to send their in ballots in a few weeks.
Of course swing voters (the few left) will wait until the end.
No one's kicking back.
The arguments over polling is pretty pointless, especially those trying to find polling that agrees with their views.
Trump is totally on defense. Really only trying to guard states he won last time.
And Biden has many paths to victory:
PA, MI, WI were very narrow wins for Trump with third party candidates getting more votes than his margin of victory. Tough for Trump to win any of those this time.
Trump is behind in Florida and really can't win without it.
Biden win combos:
FL & PA
FL & MI
FL & MI
FL & NC
FL & AZ
FL & OH
FL & (you get the picture)
Trump totally blew the Republican hold on Arizona attacking McCain and it even cost them a senate seat - maybe two this fall.
It means Biden can lose Wisconsin, Ohio and Florida and still win.
And Trump can't take his eye off of Georgia, which should be a slam dunk.
There are Democrats on the ground in Texas looking at that as a future swing state if not this time.
US demographics keep changing, and not in the favor of the current version of the Republican party.
No high profile Gary Johnson or Jill Stein taking a lot of votes.
No disdain for Biden they way people carried on about Hillary (who still got 3 million more votes).
No strong economy. Unemployment is bad.
Trump was tried for abuse of power and obstruction of justice.
He has money laundering charges pending.
Several in his circle have been convicted of crimes of fraud and corruption.
No kicking back.
Florida will be filled with attack ads on Trump.
And I also believe there will be a bigger youth vote than usual.
There is a large mount of young voter age anti Trump social media going on that the main media is not picking up on.
I agree that it's concerning that so many Trump supporters are unmovable.
His 5th Avenue comment rings true. He can act criminally without losing support.
I just think his base his too small and people are highly, highly motivated and enthusiastic to vote him out.
This is a good post. Trump had a perfect storm of several things combined that allowed him to squeak out a win in 2016. Most of those things are not in play, and he has lost support, not gained support since then.
Trump can not win without cheating (which he has already done). Even with the cheating that we know about, it will take a miracle for Trump to win (unless there is more cheating we don't yet know about).
The population is dumber than it was 4 years ago, but that wouldn’t be enough for trump to win. Of course there is more cheating.
I think Trump is impressed by Maduro keeping power in Venezuela even though most countries, including the US see Guaido as the leader due to Mauro's corrupt election.
agip wrote:
this could decide the election, no joke.
PA is likely to be the state neither side can win the EC without, and the rules for accepting ballots just got looser. I suspect the Rs are deployed across the nation, ready to throw out every Dem ballot that has a shaky signature. Can't do that in PA now.
///
County elections officials in Pennsylvania may no longer discard mail ballots simply because they question the authenticity of a voter’s signature.
The Pennsylvania Department of State issued that guidance last week and, on Tuesday, two organizations that had sued the state over the practice dropped a federal lawsuit challenging it.
“As a result of this case, Pennsylvania voters can cast their vote without fear that their ballot could be rejected solely because an election official — who isn’t trained in handwriting analysis — thinks their signatures don’t match,” said Mark Gaber, the director of trial litigation at the Campaign Legal Center, which represented the Urban League of Greater Pittsburgh and the League of Women Voters of Pennsylvania in the lawsuit.
The whole idea of using signatures with anything is very dated.
To think that an election official "who isn’t trained in handwriting analysis" may have the power to throw out someone's valid vote.
More data about the disastrous (pre-covid) economy that is way, way worse than the 1970s. (Sarcasm)
https://twitter.com/nicktimiraos/status/1305969635125321735?s=21
agip wrote:
More data about the disastrous (pre-covid) economy that is way, way worse than the 1970s. (Sarcasm)
https://twitter.com/nicktimiraos/status/1305969635125321735?s=21
You cherry picked your only one year well, and forgot to talk about 2020:
Middle-class incomes grew ONLY at a rate of 2.7 percent from 2016 through 2018, compared to a 5.8 percent growth rate from 2014 through 2016 when accounting for inflation.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
kibitzer wrote:
THIS.
Several members of the LR lib echo chamber are already running premature victory laps: ?pole, Trollminator and Sourpole.
You completely lack self awareness. This also perfectly describes you.
agip it’s 2020 now, catch up with the rest of us. A few things have happened since 2019.
Bad news for the dems. The new Florida Atlantic University poll show undecided voters are breaking for Trump by a margin of 4:1
https://business.fau.edu/news/economics/bepi/2020-09-15-trump-gains-on-biden-in-florida.php
KAG2020
Rigged,
Are the forced hysterectomies on detained immigrants:
1. A lie
2. In line with conservative principles of non-government interference and family values?
Ciro wrote:
agip it’s 2020 now, catch up with the rest of us. A few things have happened since 2019.
One of my pet peeves is when people think incomes and standards of living in the USA have fallen over the last 30-50 years. (they haven't)
So I toss in counter-evidence whenever I can.
but sure, 2020 is a recession year and the stats will show that.
Jeff Wigand wrote:
Rigged,
Are the forced hysterectomies on detained immigrants:
1. A lie
2. In line with conservative principles of non-government interference and family values?
this story, like the 'USPS is sabotaging the election on purpose' story, has red flags all over it.
be careful.
Keep on believing those polls, democrat pieces of trash.
Democrats will be destroyed!!!
Patriotic Americans will be rounding up democrats and charging them with treason while celebrating victory.