2020 election assessment:
Trump wins with 300+ electoral votes.
GOP win house majority.
GOP expand senate majority.
The polls showing Biden with a huge lead were wrong due to cancel culture - voters learned they would be subjected to violence from democrat organizations if they publicly support Trump.
rejecting bad data wrote:
2020 election assessment:
Trump wins with 300+ electoral votes.
GOP win house majority.
GOP expand senate majority.
The polls showing Biden with a huge lead were wrong due to cancel culture - voters learned they would be subjected to violence from democrat organizations if they publicly support Trump.
Also, Christians don’t vote democrat. Ever.
rejecting bad data wrote:
The polls showing Biden with a huge lead were wrong due to cancel culture - voters learned they would be subjected to violence from democrat organizations if they publicly support Trump.
Hilarious. How do you square calling Dems/libs pantywaists *and* saying they'd be committing violence?
johnny99 wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
?pole and the entire LR lib echo chamber keep believing all those over sampled democrat polls that do not use the more accurate LV models vs RV models.
Presidential approval on September 4 of respective re-election years according to Rasmussen Reports using LV model:
Trump (2020): 52%
Obama (2012): 48%
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_sep04OH- Trump definitely wins and shows us just out of touch ?pole is with the rest of the Buckeye state
FL- Trump up 3 points Trafalgar Poll (one of the only polls that had DeSantis winning)
PA- tie per Rasmussen
NC-Trump up 1 point RCP poll
GA- Trump up 1.3 points RCP poll
?pole is the king of idiots.
Enjoy your loss.
You obviously just typed your canned response without actually reading what you were responding to. The Fox News poll that I cited did poll likely voters, not registered voters. And if you're saying that Fox News over samples Democrats in their polls, I'm pretty sure that's not true given your track record.
By the way, even if all the results that you cite go Trump's way (unlikely, since Rasmussen was historically inaccurate in 2018), Biden still wins with MI, WI and AZ.
My presidential election prediction track record here destroys everyone else. Dementia Joe will NEVER be POTUS.
Just remember, when ?poles makes a prediction, the opposite happens.
Enjoy your loss.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
agip wrote:
yeah, people are real shy about saying they are trumpers. Real shy.
it's the other way really - imagine being a female person in a red county, one who doesn't want to vote for a criminal traitorous sexual assaulter. She can't say a word to anyone about it, at the risk of being called a traitor to her race or whatnot. She stays very quiet. Until she goes into the voting booth.
People who advertise that they are Trump voters (t-shirts, M-AGA hats,l awn signs, etc.) get harassed in restaurants, get swarmed by triggered liberals or get beat up or murdered by Antifa/BLM, If the supporter is black, they get called Uncle Toms, traitors, etc. Nobody wearing a Biden hat has to ever fear getting confronted in public.
There is an interesting discussion of polling here:
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/08/05/key-things-to-know-about-election-polling-in-the-united-states/They acknowledge problems with polling and the say the margin of error may be double what is reported. But they dispute the existence of a big shy Trump effect:
"Evidence for “shy Trump” voters who don’t tell pollsters their true intentions is much thinner than some people think. Do people sometimes lie to pollsters? Sure. But the notion that Trump supporters were unwilling to express their support to pollsters was overblown, given the scant evidence to support it. A committee of polling experts evaluated five different tests of the “shy Trump” theory and turned up little to no evidence for each one. Later, a researcher from Yale and Pew Research Center conducted separate tests that also found little to no evidence in support of the claim. The “shy Trump” theory might account for a small amount of the error in 2016 polls, but it was not among the main reasons."
I realise some people may be embarassed to say they vote Trump in certain company, but people scared of violence seems far fetched.
*ahem* wrote:
Well, I saw a few minutes of Joe Biden's remarks re the Atlantic story.
Not to put too fine a point on it: He tore Trump a new one. I honestly did not expect anything like that from Joe. Damn. Somebody was saying that Joe had a temper--this is maybe the first time I really saw it. Wow.
Yesterday we got barely alive Sleepy Joe and today we get grumpy senile grandpa.
Elder abuse.
"Come on, man!"
Trollminator wrote:
I wonder if there was a serious discussion within the trump team to strategically fumble on COVID since it's disproportionately killing non-whites. He may have given himself at least a 100k vote boost with that strategy.
It kills old people, who are more likely to vote for him! This also makes him unpopular with the old voters who survive it.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Yesterday we got barely alive Sleepy Joe and today we get grumpy senile grandpa.
Yeah? What did Trump say?
Rigged we see you and Trump for what you are, FAKE PATRIOTS.
“Fake News” that even Fox News Are confirming, hmmmmm.
https://www.yahoo.com/huffpost/fox-news-trump-military-insults-contradictions-013519653.html
Rigged do you love your country and military more than a NY reality TV celebrity? Genuine question.
*ahem* wrote:
Well, I saw a few minutes of Joe Biden's remarks re the Atlantic story.
Not to put too fine a point on it: He tore Trump a new one. I honestly did not expect anything like that from Joe. Damn. Somebody was saying that Joe had a temper--this is maybe the first time I really saw it. Wow.
Just wait until the debates
Dan Kahneman wrote:
Sniff, sniff, I smell something bad.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/congresswoman-blocked-touring-mail-facility-postal-service-police-n1239359
She’s not the first one - I believe Castro as well
Gina wrote:
Rigged we see you and Trump for what you are, FAKE PATRIOTS.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c_6MGxvSaAY
Biff is clearly showing that like his orange hero, he could never understand the concepts of sense of duty and patriotism. When I served we were not equal, some of us were not as physically dominant, some were not as technically proficient, some were not as intelligent, but there was some sacred common ground that made us rock solid - you were a man of your word and there was no room for individualism. Needless to say someone like trump has no values, at least non that would align with a service member. He doesn’t love his country, he loves being able to con people and getting something in return for nothing. That’s what he thinks of America. The moment something he is ever asked of him well you know...
If he ever made it out of boot camp psychologically and physically in one piece, he would have been put into the hands of some CO who would have ensured he didn’t last much longer, for the sake of keeping everyone else safe. And as far as deploying someone like that, ha it just wouldn’t happen. But if it did and he was in my unit, you can bet your a$$ I would have had him folding cardboard boxes 24/7 back at some warehouse on base, or he would have been handled “differently”. He sure as hell would never have made it to a single patrol with me.
Dim Tillon wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
People who advertise that they are Trump voters (t-shirts, M-AGA hats,l awn signs, etc.) get harassed in restaurants, get swarmed by triggered liberals or get beat up or murdered by Antifa/BLM, If the supporter is black, they get called Uncle Toms, traitors, etc. Nobody wearing a Biden hat has to ever fear getting confronted in public.
There is an interesting discussion of polling here:
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/08/05/key-things-to-know-about-election-polling-in-the-united-states/They acknowledge problems with polling and the say the margin of error may be double what is reported. But they dispute the existence of a big shy Trump effect:
"Evidence for “shy Trump” voters who don’t tell pollsters their true intentions is much thinner than some people think. Do people sometimes lie to pollsters? Sure. But the notion that Trump supporters were unwilling to express their support to pollsters was overblown, given the scant evidence to support it. A committee of polling experts evaluated five different tests of the “shy Trump” theory and turned up little to no evidence for each one. Later, a researcher from Yale and Pew Research Center conducted separate tests that also found little to no evidence in support of the claim. The “shy Trump” theory might account for a small amount of the error in 2016 polls, but it was not among the main reasons."
I realise some people may be embarassed to say they vote Trump in certain company, but people scared of violence seems far fetched.
Good contribution. The trumper theory goes that tzees live in fear of violent democrats so they better keep their mouths shut until Election Day, lol. They claim that despite having replaced American flags for trump hats, flags, decals, and shirts. No need to observe them at a Trump rally (presumably their safe space), if you don’t live in a large city you see the loud mouthed barkers proud beyond reason of their fervent support for the conman. Disgusting deplorable pieces of trash - not victims.
Trump told reporters yesterday that he "called home" to Melania Trump at the time and told her how upset he was for not being able to visit the cemetery. At the time, the White House said he was unable to attend and had to cancel the visit because of bad weather.
Trump claims he "called home, I spoke to my wife and I said 'I hate this. I came here to go to that ceremony.' And to the one that was the following day which I did go to. I said I feel terribly. And that was the end of it."
Melania Trump was on the same trip with the President and was scheduled to attend the cemetery visit. She was not in the US.
Timmy Treadmore wrote:
Trump told reporters yesterday that he "called home" to Melania Trump at the time and told her how upset he was for not being able to visit the cemetery. At the time, the White House said he was unable to attend and had to cancel the visit because of bad weather.
Trump claims he "called home, I spoke to my wife and I said 'I hate this. I came here to go to that ceremony.' And to the one that was the following day which I did go to. I said I feel terribly. And that was the end of it."
Melania Trump was on the same trip with the President and was scheduled to attend the cemetery visit. She was not in the US.
That's because he takes every opportunity to lie. It neither occurs to or matters to him that he'd be fact checked. I remember this visit - the WH was scrambling to come up with an excuse for him. We all know he threw a tantrum and refused to go. Only dumba$$es like Biff would believe this guy has a drop of patriotism in his body.
Timmy Treadmore wrote:
Trump told reporters yesterday that he "called home" to Melania Trump at the time and told her how upset he was for not being able to visit the cemetery. At the time, the White House said he was unable to attend and had to cancel the visit because of bad weather.
Trump claims he "called home, I spoke to my wife and I said 'I hate this. I came here to go to that ceremony.' And to the one that was the following day which I did go to. I said I feel terribly. And that was the end of it."
Melania Trump was on the same trip with the President and was scheduled to attend the cemetery visit. She was not in the US.
Let's take the president at his word. I think he did call Melania and talk to her. It's just that he never noticed that Melania was on the same trip with him. So when Melania picked up, president antichrist thought she was still in DC.
Good news from AZ.
The Trump campaign pulled advertising from the state, and new polls suggest it is getting toward lean D rather than toss up.
538 has it at 60/40 favoring Biden.
A blue AZ would make it much easier for Biden to win in the EC. Wisco has 11 votes, AZ has 10, so losing WI wouldn't be a disaster.
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1302272571363258368?s=20
agip wrote:
Good news from AZ.
The Trump campaign pulled advertising from the state, and new polls suggest it is getting toward lean D rather than toss up.
538 has it at 60/40 favoring Biden.
A blue AZ would make it much easier for Biden to win in the EC. Wisco has 11 votes, AZ has 10, so losing WI wouldn't be a disaster.
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1302272571363258368?s=20
In all of RCP's battleground states:
-Dementia Joe is at or below 49% in all of them
-Trump has gained 3% (mostly undecideds) in the past month
-Most are within the margin of error
My prediction- Trump gets 313 electoral votes, minimum.
KAG2020