way too early 2025 XC CIF HS predictions

2025 XC CIF HS boys predictions · 2024-11-30T17:27:08-05:00

As of writing this post, the California cross country state meet just finished, and NXN hasn't happened yet, but I still feel like I have a good sense of what the top california boys teams will be next year and I want to rank them here.1. JesuitJesuit has a legendary program and convincingly autoqualified for NXN in 2024 while also returning their [b]entire top 5 runners[/b]. I have no doubt that they will be national contenders next year, regardless of what occurs at NXN.2. Matilda TorresWhile this new program won't have much depth next year, it will return a powerful 1-2 punch in Hunter Hannah and Benjamin Fernandez, along with other key members to form a deadly scoring squad. However, they will be in trouble if any one of their runners has issues.3. AyalaDespite the team not running at the state meet due to no fault of their own, Ayala has proven through their entire season that they are deep and young. They will be led by this-year's fastest freshmen in California, Bryson Caganap, along with other sub-15 underclassmen, and several more sub-16 returners. It looks to be that[b] 3 of Ayala's top 5 runners next year will be sophomores[/b], and they will be dangerous for more years to come.4. San ClementeThis team was absolutely astonishing this year. Coming into 2024, they were expected to not even make CIF finals; they graduated 5 of their top 7 from 2023 and their next best man transferred out of state, leaving their 7th runner from 2023 and other somewhat talented freshmen and sophomores to put something together. They did, and they thrived all the way to the state meet, where they placed 8th, [b]returning their entire top 7[/b]. The best part is that their [b]top 5 scorers were all sophomores.[/b]5. Mira CostaMira Costa was consistently a top Californian team in 2024 with a ton of depth and little spread between their runners. They return 5 of their top 7 and most of their impressive depth, although 2025 seems to be the last year that they will be at the top for, as most of their top returners will be seniors.6. BeckmanBeckman has quickly risen up in 2024 to become a widely known team after an impressive upset at the Clovis invitational against nationally top-5 ranked team Crater and maintained that spot as California's best until the state meet, where they were divisional state champs but failed to autoqualify for NXN. Something similar happened in 2023 too, where they were 8th in division 1 after most of their runners ran worse than at clovis. Despite these inconsistencies at the state meet, Beckman has proven that they can develop runners very well and they return 3 of their top 7, but those 3 will be very lethal and they will return some depth to fill the rest of their varsity squad. 7. WoodbridgeI feel like Woodbridge will be the biggest wildcard going into 2025; they have low stick Aidan Antonio, who will look to be one of the best individuals next year, along with their [b]entire team besides three seniors[/b](which are nowhere near the top of the team).This team is young and could be deep with their sheer amount of returners, but they have had several inconsistencies throughout the 2024 season. I believe that this team is very talented, as shown by their top 5 runners' 3 mile season bests as freshmen: 14:35, 15:27, 15:30, 15:30, and 15:45. Woodbridge has received some excellent freshmen over the last few years, and that translates to potential, although the team must patch their inconsistencies in order to fulfill that potential and be a state contender. 8. VacavilleThis team is similar to Woodbridge (in fact they beat them by 1 point at the state meet) in that they will have a stupid amount of returners, only graduating four seniors, but two of those seniors scored for the team in 2024. Vacaville will have great depth, but may lack a good low stick unless Cooper Stream makes a big jump going into his junior year. This team will have several sub-15 3 mile runners, but we will need to see just how well they develop. If they do well, they can [b]easily be an NXN contender in 2025 and 2026[/b].9. Redondo Uniondespite graduating a large, top-heavy senior class before the 2025 season, Redondo's huge roster will brute-force the school to remain competitive. They return a powerful freshmen duo in Mario Montoya and Matteo Sanchez, along with just enough others to have a strong top 5, but not much more runners past that. Surprisingly, Redondo Union won't seem to be able to have much depth in 2025 unless they can develop their returners outside their top 5.10. Martin Luther KingThis team was heavily favored going into the 2024 season and the gauntlet of the NXN qualifying meets, but was unable to make it to state despite this. Similarly to Woodbridge and Vacaville, MLK will surely have a strong low stick in Maximo Zavaleta and lots of depth in their sheer amount of returners. This team's top runners are also very talented, as outside of the obvious case of Maximo Zavaleta, Logan Carlson ran 10:01 in the 3200m as a freshmen and Bradley Quezada ran 15:28 as a freshmen. However, this team has been the least consistent out of the top-ranked California teams in 2024 and needs to fix them in order to do their best.

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6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:15pm EST

re: 2025 XC CIF HS boys predictions

Dana Hills 4/4 for the last 4 years with Oliver Hunter winning, wow. Maybe he will join his teammate at Stanford next year.

This post was edited 23 seconds after it was posted.

5 guys under 15 for DIII still pretty impressive

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:18pm EST

re: 2025 XC CIF HS boys predictions

The Campolindo 5k Woodward park course record has been broken after 12 years. Aidan Goltra ran 15:02 back in 2013 to win state and now Clark Gregory runs 14:57 for 4th

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:20pm EST

re: 2025 XC CIF HS boys predictions

Campolindo 15:31 average.

Not as fast as Jesuit, Woodbridge or Matilda Torres

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:21pm EST

re: And that too

Campolindo returns their entire team next year so they’ll have another shot at NXN

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:22pm EST

re: 2025 XC CIF HS boys predictions

Campolindo will likely need to look for an at large now

they haven’t faced many good teams head to head but they have some great track times from this season so we’ll see

they were also ranked in the top 15 nationally often

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:23pm EST

re: And that too

Damn, is that the fastest time for a team consisting entirely of NON-SENIORS? They should be right up there with Bellarmine's 2019 team time for that impressive accomplishment.

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:24pm EST

re: Hhshsjd

Hhshsjd wrote:
Campolindo will likely need to look for an at large now
they haven’t faced many good teams head to head but they have some great track times from this season so we’ll see
they were also ranked in the top 15 nationally often

Campolindo is probably out this year barring some very weird merge shenanigans.

Cali is probably not getting 2 auto qualifiers and 2 at larges this year and they are the 4th team right now.

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:24pm EST

re: And that too

Actually Campolindo’s De La Cruz is a senior but was only their 7th man

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:25pm EST

re: Hobby10k

Hobby10k wrote:
Hhshsjd wrote:
Campolindo will likely need to look for an at large now
they haven’t faced many good teams head to head but they have some great track times from this season so we’ll see
they were also ranked in the top 15 nationally often
Campolindo is probably out this year barring some very weird merge shenanigans.
Cali is probably not getting 2 auto qualifiers and 2 at larges this year and they are the 4th team right now.

There are some D1 teams that could kick them out of the 4th place

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:26pm EST

re: 2025 XC CIF HS boys predictions

I am predicting Saint Francis High School (Mountain View, California) of the Central Coast Section to achieve a podium finish in the CIF State Division 2 girls race. They achieved a 4th fastest team time ever at Crystal Springs at their league championship and averaged 18:30.

This post was edited 3 minutes after it was posted.

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:27pm EST

re: 2025 XC CIF HS boys predictions

I’m pretty sure Cooper Stream’s time does tie Luis Grijalva’s time from 2016 (I say this cause they’re both from Solano county)

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:28pm EST

re: 2025 XC CIF HS boys predictions

Rooting for aelo curtis of ventura here

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:36pm EST

re: Hobby10k

I wonder if Campolindo would have run faster if they were in the D2 race to face some better teams.

Menlo did a great job handling the lack of competition in the D5 race last year though, to make NXN.

Are teams allowed to request to be in the higher division the next year?

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:40pm EST

re: btownspecial

Wrong thread, there’s a girls thread

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:41pm EST

re: Holes to fill

Don’t think that’s how it works. It’s all about school size

6 months ago 11/29/2025 12:55pm EST

re: 2025 XC CIF HS boys predictions

Mountain View, La Serna, and Vacaville all tied at 177 points in D2. Crazy.

16:20 for Summer Wilson. Wow.

6 months ago 11/29/2025 1:09pm EST

re: Bettingfool

Thats insane. Speed rating won't be as good as it probably should be, since Woodward seems to be running unusually fast today.

6 months ago 11/29/2025 1:11pm EST

re: 2025 XC CIF HS boys predictions

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