Fan Out West -> wrote:
Another approach to predicting the final winning time:
Grant's 3000 WR time from last year Millrose race is 7:22.91. If evenly paced throughout, that is = 14.764/100 meters.
That 100 meter pace, for a full 2-mile = 3218.688 meters -- meaning no fatigue factor included for racing the extra 218.688 meters -- yields a time of 475.196 secs = 7:55.20, most likely the fastest anyone could race this distance on Sunday or anytime in the near future. . . .
Fully expecting the winning time to be well under 8-flat for reasons stated above.
Note: Jakob's outdoor 2 mile WR is 7:54.10.
Also note: Grant's 7:22.91 indoor 3000 WR is 5.36 seconds off Jakob's 7:17.55 outdoor WR.
Believe there are a handful of runners who can run 7:59.46 or faster on Sunday.
I doubt there has ever been an indoor distance record faster than its outdoor equivalent.
However, if the winning time is in the 7:56s as suggested in an earlier post, that would be as close to the seemingly impossible as we'll ever see in track distance running.