First weekend impressions:
5A boys
Niwot are head and shoulders above the rest, which we knew.Valor looking like a #2. Could be a NXN dark horse *if* they can have someone emerge in the #5 role. Unless they were holding something back, Mountain Vista looks like they’re in for a down year. Watch out for Castle View.
5A girls
Mountain Vista, by quite a bit. Air Academy #2. Niwot #3, then Heritage?!? Heritage wasn’t even ranked in pre-season but crushed pre-state. Good for them.
4A boys
Coronado swept at the Elmwood 9. They’re a clear #1 with Cheyenne Mountain and Thompson Valley close behind if they falter (as they did last year at state).
4A girls
I have absolutely no idea on this one. Summit didn’t run their full team. Pueblo West was the top 4A finisher at pre-state, and they weren’t ranked in the coaches’ poll. Timnath was close behind PW. Conifer looked fine at the Standley Lake Race. If TCA were still 4A, they’d be the clear favorites in this class, too.
3A boys
TCA and Jefferson Academy both looked solid. I’d give a slight edge to Jefferson Academy, based on first week’s results. Salida didn’t race, but I think they’ll be in the mix too. No one else looks ready to contend 3A 1-5, but Coal Ridge and Prospect Ridge both looked surprisingly good 1-4.
3A girls
TCA by a landslide. Salida and Gunnison are ranked 2 and 3, and neither raced this weekend. Of those that did race, Prospect Ridge looked second-best to TCA.
2A boys
Golden View Classical Academy represented their class well in the championship race. Clear favorite here. Thomas McClaren won the boys small school, in a surprise result. Crested Butte won’t be racing for another couple of weeks.
2A Girls
Don’t think Heritage Christian ran their full squad at pre-state, but Lake County looked solid. Centauri wasn’t far behind. Still think that Heritage Christian has their edge with their full squad but we’d be naïve or stupid or both to count out Lake County.