Probably not tho, just going by last year, 15:04 barely got you into 10th, and just seeing how loaded DII is, sub 15:10 might barely get you into 10th. Going by speed ratings, Michael Ortega (Ontario) is the 10th fastest runner going into the DII race and he ran a 15:08 at Woodward park
don't really care. I predict jesuit will be around 8th at nxn and second cal team will be 15th. Hopefully no at-large bids. At-large bids should go to regions that place high last year so that would be south region, southwest, midwest, northeast
Assuming Jesuit wins the merge, if Campolindo gets second or third and there’s a big gap between second and third in the merge, California likely won’t get an at large since Campolindo didn’t face any other autoqualifiers or potential CA autoqualifiers. They didn’t go to Woodbridge or Clovis
Boys state meet merge predictions 1. Jesuit 2. Campolindo 3. San Clemente 4. Beckman 5. Woodbridge
I have the same top 4, but I saw a report that Woodbridge's #3 is going to be out, so I would predict both Mira Costa and Dos Pueblos to beat them, and possibly a few others. Vacaville is a real wild card because they haven't competed much in the big meets, and they haven't had a real great team outing. That lack of clarity would put them behind the next group of Redondo, Crescenta Valley and Hart.
In the West Coast XC preview video for CIF, someone also mentioned that another Woodbridge guy fell and became their 5th. He was top 3 on the team in the 2 meets before this.
We also need to see how Matilda Torres does. While NXN does not seem as likely as we thought it would, they returned a lot from the top 5 team last year, but 2 of their scorers didn’t improve much since last year and they lacked a 5th man all year.
Three Runners (Antonio, Fernandez, Stream) 10:11 the 2.1 mile mark. That's 15:05 5K pace!Antonio closes hard, so expect him and others he brings along to go under 15!
It looks like the Jesuit boys might have gone out a little too hard. I do not think it will matter regarding their nationals qualification, but I'm not sure how many of them will go sub-15 today now. Maybe 1?
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