Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Still waiting for Dementia Joe to declare "I do not stand with defunding the police."
1) he just did
2) I know you think the "dementia Joe" thing is cute, but read the text of Trump's "Great Day for George Floyd!" speech. The most rambling, incoherent mess you could imagine. No, really, read it. (and in fact, his incoherence was so extreme, it actually helped him, as even people like agip are saying "who knows what that imbecile meant. So I guess I'll give him benefit of the doubt on the Floyd comment". ). Yes, Joe is old and loses his train of thought. But if you really think Donald will be some great contrast, or difference in that dep't, you are sorely mistaken. Trump easily comes off as old and senile as Joe. So if you are banking on Trump's mental acuity and sharpness and speaking ability to convince voters he's much more with it than Biden, all I have to say is: GOOD LUCK with that.
3) You referenced Gallup. Complete outlier. Look at 538 avg-
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo Right now Trump is NEGATIVE 13 in net favorability. Read that again. HORRENDOUS. You compare him to Obama??? At the same time in his first term, Obama was in positive territory. Yes, a 14 point difference between the two. This is day and night. I will never, like your best buddy, make guarantees, but right now Trump is in yooooge trouble, and you know it. Yes, it's all about the electoral college, and Trump got lucky last time and squeaked by in just the right states. A handful of votes in a few states would have swung the whole thing. But this time....he's behind in all those states, and it is incredibly unlikely he will survive a negative 13 net favorability.
Remember Obama, despite a decent size electoral college win, didn't crush Romney. In fact, he beat Romney by the same amount of votes in the popular vote, as Hillary beat Trump by! And Obama was in much, MUCH better shape approval-wise going into his re-election than Trump is.
Trump got lucky last time. His luck is running out fast.