Norpoth's analysis for 2020:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1267546481285881857
“Biden lead in polls does not ensure final victory for election”- Helmut Norpoth
Norpoth's analysis for 2020:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1267546481285881857
“Biden lead in polls does not ensure final victory for election”- Helmut Norpoth
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
semsurrrrrrrrr wrote:
How does a poster “ ban” themselves from an online forum?
Easy, they refrain from posting and keep their word as a bond. A self ban in other words. Runningart came up with the challenge over a year ago.
Not logging in or using the site isn’t a ban, it’s a choice.
“Ban: an official or legal prohibition”
Your stupidity knows no bounds.
Democrat sponsored hoaxes include:
Russia collusion
Ukraine quid pro quo
Coronavirus
Police brutality against blacks
Just to name a few...
"An unhealthy sexual obsession with his own daughter."
What would be a healthy sexual obsession with his own daughter?
Fat hurts wrote:
Racket wrote:
LOL that isn't a saying and you should probably stop hanging out on Reddit with 17 year old kids because that's where this type of painfully naive sh!t comes from. I mean seriously it just hurts reading it sometimes.
The only people who say anything remotely close to that tired line is hardcore 2nd Amendment 'tards who love larping around as Army Rangers.
I've only heard liberals say it. But it is a saying. It is a pithy explanation for why they have more generous social programs in Europe.
Now go on and tell us why the economics of rent-seeking will keep everyone from getting evicted. I'm dying to hear it.
I would agree that evictions will not be a severe as you expect. If landlords kick everyone out on the streets who will rent from them? A majority of landlords will realize that they will have to lower rents substantially because some rent income is better than no rent income.
SDSU Aztec wrote:
"An unhealthy sexual obsession with his own daughter."
What would be a healthy sexual obsession with his own daughter?
Ha, good point. The “unhealthy” was unnecessary.
seattle prattle wrote:
Smorbun wrote:
I don't think so. He's not going to allow unfriendly/neutral people ask him questions. He's not going to stand there and allow Biden to say crap about him and his administration. Doesn't matter how far back he is. He will go on Fox and Friends and OANN and tweet and hold rallies, and play TV ads, and that will be it.
The guy has an ego the size of BIden's resume. I bet he would debate just because he is incapable of seeing his own limitations, his own vulnerabilities, and his won shortcomings. It might be smartest for him to retreat to his bunker, but his ego won't let him.
I don't think he thinks of it that way. Why did he stop daily press briefings? He has no ego attached to that. He will spin it as he has work to do for the American people and that Biden doesn't deserve to share the stage with him, etc. He will blame the format and everyone and their brother. He will not do a debate. Just don't see it.
Smorbun wrote:
seattle prattle wrote:
The guy has an ego the size of BIden's resume. I bet he would debate just because he is incapable of seeing his own limitations, his own vulnerabilities, and his won shortcomings. It might be smartest for him to retreat to his bunker, but his ego won't let him.
I don't think he thinks of it that way. Why did he stop daily press briefings? He has no ego attached to that. He will spin it as he has work to do for the American people and that Biden doesn't deserve to share the stage with him, etc. He will blame the format and everyone and their brother. He will not do a debate. Just don't see it.
If that were the case, he would do some asinine rally's in lieu of, which i guess just supports your assertion....
I got the sense that he never liked the press briefings, did them only at first because he was pushed into it, the devolved into his usual unscripted train wreck charades, his staff finally reeled him in to his disdain, and then he just said screw it.
seattle prattle wrote:
Smorbun wrote:
I don't think he thinks of it that way. Why did he stop daily press briefings? He has no ego attached to that. He will spin it as he has work to do for the American people and that Biden doesn't deserve to share the stage with him, etc. He will blame the format and everyone and their brother. He will not do a debate. Just don't see it.
If that were the case, he would do some asinine rally's in lieu of, which i guess just supports your assertion....
I got the sense that he never liked the press briefings, did them only at first because he was pushed into it, the devolved into his usual unscripted train wreck charades, his staff finally reeled him in to his disdain, and then he just said screw it.
The injecting Clorox idea was a disaster and that's when he stopped having the press conferences.
Moron Biff,
Norpoth's model uses as its most important aspect how the candidates did in their respective primaries. What a bogus criterion to be used when one of the candidates is the sitting President who basically went unopposed in his primary.
Also, in his interview with Laura Ingraham, he brought up how initially after the pandemic that Trump's approval rating went up. What a bogus bit of crap that is. How is that significant at all since it has now come back down? He's clearly either a conservative or hopes to be paid to appear on Fox again with comments like that.
Also, in 2016 Norporth did get Trump winning correct, but he predicted a popular vote landslide victory of 9% over Clinton, and he did of course lose the popular vote. SO, Norpoth was very wrong about that.
Hang your hat on this guy if you want Biff, but Biden is going to win if he's breathing.
You said the betting sites were a great predictor, but you are silent on that now that those sites are predicting a Biden win.
You said The House would not have the guts to impeach Trump.
I see a long line of losing statements from you. This will be just another one of those.
#Bidenwon'tinjectyouwithbleach
Enjoy your loss.
Fat hurts wrote:
There is a saying:
"In America, people are afraid of their government. In Europe, the government is afraid of the people."
I think the tide is starting to turn.
In America, shouldn't the government be afraid of the people? Citizens are armed to protect themselves from the tyranny.
In Europe, the government disarmed their subjects. So why do they have to be afraid of their people?
Most Americans support their political party like a sports team.
Europeans will vote “their party” out in a heartbeat.
semsurrrrrrrrr wrote:
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Easy, they refrain from posting and keep their word as a bond. A self ban in other words. Runningart came up with the challenge over a year ago.
Not logging in or using the site isn’t a ban, it’s a choice.
“Ban: an official or legal prohibition”
Your stupidity knows no bounds.
Then you better call out your fellow democrat Runningart- he defined the terms of the challenge, not me. Take it up with him. Try again.
Smorbun wrote:
Moron Biff,
Norpoth's model uses as its most important aspect how the candidates did in their respective primaries. What a bogus criterion to be used when one of the candidates is the sitting President who basically went unopposed in his primary.
Also, in his interview with Laura Ingraham, he brought up how initially after the pandemic that Trump's approval rating went up. What a bogus bit of crap that is. How is that significant at all since it has now come back down? He's clearly either a conservative or hopes to be paid to appear on Fox again with comments like that.
Also, in 2016 Norporth did get Trump winning correct, but he predicted a popular vote landslide victory of 9% over Clinton, and he did of course lose the popular vote. SO, Norpoth was very wrong about that.
Hang your hat on this guy if you want Biff, but Biden is going to win if he's breathing.
You said the betting sites were a great predictor, but you are silent on that now that those sites are predicting a Biden win.
You said The House would not have the guts to impeach Trump.
I see a long line of losing statements from you. This will be just another one of those.
#Bidenwon'tinjectyouwithbleach
Enjoy your loss.
Ha! "Biden wins if he's breathing"- put that on your LR gravestone, fool.
https://tenor.com/view/you-will-lose-mean-rocky-rocky4-boxing-gif-12134745Smorbun wrote:
Moron Biff,
Norpoth's model uses as its most important aspect how the candidates did in their respective primaries. What a bogus criterion to be used when one of the candidates is the sitting President who basically went unopposed in his primary.
Also, in his interview with Laura Ingraham, he brought up how initially after the pandemic that Trump's approval rating went up. What a bogus bit of crap that is. How is that significant at all since it has now come back down? He's clearly either a conservative or hopes to be paid to appear on Fox again with comments like that.
Also, in 2016 Norporth did get Trump winning correct, but he predicted a popular vote landslide victory of 9% over Clinton, and he did of course lose the popular vote. SO, Norpoth was very wrong about that.
Hang your hat on this guy if you want Biff, but Biden is going to win if he's breathing.
You said the betting sites were a great predictor, but you are silent on that now that those sites are predicting a Biden win.
You said The House would not have the guts to impeach Trump.
I see a long line of losing statements from you. This will be just another one of those.
#Bidenwon'tinjectyouwithbleach
Enjoy your loss.
You have sunk to "pole" status. From now on your name is Sourpole.
Sourpole forever!
Enjoy your loss.
agip wrote:
Brutal but totally deserved.
https://twitter.com/MeidasTouch/status/1269421143712120834?s=20
The above is why Mr. Trump has to tread lightly on brandishing Biden as Mr. China too much. While it would keep his followers happy, all the Biden side has to do is bring up the Trump family's dealing with China to point out the hypocrisy.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Norpoth's analysis for 2020:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1267546481285881857“Biden lead in polls does not ensure final victory for election”- Helmut Norpoth
So Ingraham had to find someone to say "even though Trump is getting his ass kicked right now, that doesn't guarantee victory for Biden".
Ok. Thanks sherlock.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
semsurrrrrrrrr wrote:
Not logging in or using the site isn’t a ban, it’s a choice.
“Ban: an official or legal prohibition”
Your stupidity knows no bounds.
Then you better call out your fellow democrat Runningart- he defined the terms of the challenge, not me. Take it up with him. Try again.
I see YOU consistently misusing the word. So I’ll call your stupidity out when I see it. Stop making it so glaring.
Make America Great Again! wrote:
Fat hurts wrote:
There is a saying:
"In America, people are afraid of their government. In Europe, the government is afraid of the people."
I think the tide is starting to turn.
In America, shouldn't the government be afraid of the people? Citizens are armed to protect themselves from the tyranny.
In Europe, the government disarmed their subjects. So why do they have to be afraid of their people?
The saying isn't about guns. It's about activism and political culture.
Politicians aren't afraid of citizens with guns. The military will always have better guns, logistics, comms, intel, resources, etc.
In a liberal democracy, the power to topple politicians comes when you change hearts and minds. That's what we are seeing right now.