(Relatively) Good news for the US.
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USA Cumulative Cases (#), Compound daily growth rate since Mar 7 (%):
Mar 7: 551, N/A
Mar 8: 738, 33.9
Mar 9: 919, 29.1
Mar 10: 1,171, 28.6
Mar 11: 1,412, 26.5
Mar 12: 1,762, 26.2
Mar 13. 2,267, 26.6
Mar 14: 2,895, 26.7
Mar 15: 3,678, 26.8
Mar 16: 4,663, 26.8
Mar 17: 6,340, 27.7
Mar 18: 9,269, 29.3
Mar 19: 13,795, 30.8
Mar 20: 19,195, 31.4
Mar 21: 23,919, 30.9
Mar 22: 32,356, 31.2
Mar 23: 43,449, 31.4
Mar 24: 53,260, 30.9
Mar 25: 65,810, 30.4
Mar 26: 85,052, 30.4
Mar 27: 101,725, 29.8
Mar 28: 121,686, 29.3
Mar 29: 141,559, 28.7
USA Cumulative Deaths (#), Compound daily growth rate since Mar 7 (%):
Mar 7: 25, N/A
Mar 8: 28, 12.0
Mar 9: 32, 13.1
Mar 10: 36, 12.9
Mar 11: 43, 14.5
Mar 12: 44, 12.0
Mar 13: 51, 12.6
Mar 14: 58, 12.8
Mar 15: 68, 13.3
Mar 16: 86, 14.7
Mar 17: 106, 15.5
Mar 18: 151, 17.8
Mar 19: 207, 19.3
Mar 20: 248, 19.3
Mar 21: 301, 19.5
Mar 22: 414, 20.6
Mar 23: 545, 21.2
Mar 24: 689, 21.5
Mar 25: 935, 22.3
Mar 26: 1,290, 23.1
Mar 27: 1,588, 23.1
Mar 28: 2,037, 23.3
Mar 29: 2,469, 23.2
USA Fatality Rate (Cumulative deaths/cases)
Mar 7: 4.5%
Mar 8: 3.8%
Mar 9: 3.5%
Mar 10: 3.1%
Mar 11: 3.0%
Mar 12: 2.5%
Mar 13: 2.2%
Mar 14: 2.0%
Mar 15: 1.8%
Mar 16: 1.8%
Mar 17: 1.7%
Mar 18: 1.6%
Mar 19: 1.5%
Mar 20: 1.3%
Mar 21: 1.3%
Mar 22: 1.3%
Mar 23: 1.3%
Mar 24: 1.3%
Mar 25: 1.4%
Mar 26: 1.5%
Mar 27: 1.6%
Mar 28: 1.7%
Mar 29: 1.7%
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Note 1: Good news is that daily increases in case numbers have been under 20% each day for the last 3 days. These are the ONLY days under 20% since I started tracking on Mar 7. Today set a new low on daily increase of 16.3%. Since we would really like to get down to 2% to avoid overrunning our health care system 16.3% might seem high. But it is down from real daily numbers in the mid-20s. So, it's a start.
Note 2: Fatality rates continue to rise. Worst news of all, I suppose. But if the daily increases continue to drop that can overwhelm any rise in fatality rates.
Note 3: The reduction in the rate of increase corresponds pretty closely with the SIP orders put in place starting about 12 days ago. This is consistent with what we've seen in other countries.