Trollminator wrote:
So far Bernie has lost a net number of votes in state contests that saw higher turnout than in 2016, a drop to the tune of 15%, and he has been getting crushed in the other states.
Translation: looks like a significant chunk those 2016 votes were more anti-Hillary votes than they were pro-Bernie votes. That will make a big difference in November against trump, also considering most Bernie supporters will again vote for the nominee.
Just that small shift of votes away from Bernie in 2020 vs 2016 so far is more than enough to wipe out the margin trump had in swing states. If this performance is replicated in swing states then trump is in big trouble.
remember that trump voters are highly motivated too - they are legit scared of losing their livelihood should dems win the election. They legit think their way of life is over if another dem is elected president. They'll vote more in many places than they voted in 2016. So Ds need to increase by more than we might think.