Covidiocy wrote:
I agree. The Japanese population is old and no definitive statement can be made. No one is making a definitive statement. I am merely saying it could be a cause for caution. Everyone is trying to “handwave” Japan away, even though I warned about it some two months ago, they are primarily dealing w a strain(s) that hasn’t felled other countries, and they are about the best example of a heavily vaxxed, masked, & compliant population. Something isn’t working.
It's just a base rate fallacy. The inability of even the most 'learned' antivaxxer to grapple with seventh-grade math has been one of the most startling realizations we've had in the last few years.
Japan has not suffered a high infection-wave yet. It's entirely possible for a wave to be both the worst Japan has seen yet, and still see 95+% protection from vaccines. This is elementary math and I'll leave it as an exercise for the reader to convince themselves (if they still carry that level of intellectual curiosity).
Dr Kamayachi, citing the rapid spread of Covid infections as one reason, explained that the majority of those who died were over 60 and many had underlying medical conditions. The direct cause of death is often heart failure or kidney disease, and he said that "thorough analysis is needed."
This is exactly what the dominating 'direct' cause of death for Western COVID deaths has been. I remember arguing about this almost 3 years ago when people were claiming COVID deaths in 2020 weren't actually COVID.
Good to see the antivaxxer COVID-deniers have literally zero new arguments after 3 years. Just embarrassing levels of 'scholarship.'
