calculo wrote:
cali boy wrote:Maybe they can, maybe they can't. Maybe you think 3:55 shouldn't be unusual, but the fact remains that a grand total of three women who are conceivably clean have ever run under 3:56. Dibaba (twice), Muir, and Hassiba Boulmerka (Algeria). Of the 23 sub-3:56 performances, 12 were from Chinese athletes in the '90s. 5 were by eastern European athletes of the '80s. 2 were by a Turkish athlete who was banned for doping a year later.Sub 3:56 is something very rare and special and if you don't realize that, then Dibaba's success last year has given you a distorted sense of women's running
3'55 is nothing special at all for africans & muir has probably realised that
genze ran 3'50-flat & if not for appalling pacing from chanelle or whoever was that inept pacer on 1st coupla laps wouda run ~ 3'48 !!!
just look at genetics & her sister who holds 5k wr at 14'11 & wouda been ~ 14'05 - 14'07.5 with perfect even-pace & drafted to 3k
sister alone just off genetics shouda been close to 3'50 if she'd bothered with a 1500 at her 5k prime
just for example, let's say tirunesh/ayana/defar coud run 14'05 - 14'07.5 at even-pace
you have to estimate their concurrent 400 or 800, lets go with 800 as easier to digest/understand for middle distance
i doubt anyone seiously reckons those 3 coudn't have run 2-flat at the time ->
2'00 / 14'05 - 14'07.5 ->
2'32.4
3'54.8 - 3'55.1
4'13.1 - 4'13.4
5'19.0 - 5'19.5
8'11.2 - 8'12.2
& i'm using a very ungenerous 2-flat
canova said wang was capable at best of 55.5 & ethiopys no faster than 54.5 :
http://www.letsrun.com/forum/flat_read.php?thread=4203011&page=2When we speak about ladies, we remember last 400m of Defar and Dibaba in the IAAF final of some year ago (56"5 / 56"6). How much do you think was their potentiality in a 400m race ? Not better than 54"5.
Try to understand that a Dibaba able running 53" can easy run the WR of 1500m. Wang Jungxia ran 3'51"9 in 1500m and 2:24 in Marathon, and 8'06" in 3000, and 29'30" with the second half in 14'26", and NEVER could run 400m faster than 55"5 (this was what Dong Li, the WCh in 1500 in 1997, now wife of the head coach of Spain Miguel Landa, explained me when we spoke about the Chinese period of Ma Juren)
using suggested 400 speed of 54.5 for ethiopians, which looks fair value, with 14'05 - 14'07.5 :
54.5 / 14'05 - 14'07.5 ->
1'56.2 - 1'56.3
2'28.2 - 2'28.4
3'50.1 - 3'50.5
4'08.4 - 4'08.8
5'14.3 - 5'14.9
8'07.2 - 8'08.4
which tallies virtually 100% with "genetic argument" :
if genze, specialising at 1500 was capable of 3'48 in a "perfect race", her sister shouda been capable of close, maybe 3'50 off 5k training which woud offer her not enough speed for her "ultimate" 1500
Laura Muir may actually be the clean world record holder in the women's 1500m at 3:55.22.
All of the women ahead of her on the all-time list are suspicious. Kazankina was banned for refusing a doping test after a track meet. Laura has not run a 3:50 1500m or a 14:11 5000m world record. There are 0.000 published doping stories about Laura Muir.
There are 2 problems with your analysis:
1) Wang Junxia and Qu Yunxia were coached by Ma Junren. He gave his athletes performance enhancing drugs as part of his training regime. There were 6 of his athletes who were among 27 people dropped from China's team before the 2000 Sydney Olympics. This was the same year when the EPO doping test was used for the first time at the Olympics. Ma Junren was dropped as a coach from the Chinese Olympic team.
Ma Junren denied supplying his athletes PEDs. He claimed that he fed his female athletes turtle blood and a special fungus.
2) Genzebe Dibaba is coached by Jama Aden and lives with her sister Tirunesh Dibaba and her 26:39 10K PR husband Sileshi Sihine (who was managed by Jos Hermens). Genzebe Dibaba and Tirunesh Dibaba were both at the hotel in Sabadell, Spain with Jama Aden during Operation Rial. There were 6 vials of EPO, 23 syringes preloaded with EPO, and 62 used syringes found at the hotel.
https://cdn.letsrun.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/list-of-aden-athletes.jpgIn conclusion:
Go Laura Muir!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!