Based on last year Millrose, I fully expect one of Hocker and/or Fisher to commit to the pace and drag people along with them. The big question is who is the most natural front runner after the pacesetters drop out or if it'll be whoever most feels like they can push the pace. I think Hocker and Fisher can both break 8 but not by much. Hocker is obviously quite fit, and many people are dissing on Fisher for not finishing well in Tokyo, but don't forget he holds two world records and those were just tactical races.
-
10
-
Buddy they ran the NCAA 3k together and what happened regardless of Parker being hurt or not he fell off the back end of the race and strand closed in 25 high to beat the nerdy looking Gary martin.
08 -
But will it be a great *race* or a great *time trial*?
11 -
RunSpikeRun wrote:
But will it be a great *race* or a great *time trial*?
If a pacer is used, it will a time trial. Most runners would choose running a PR over winning a slower paced race.
51 -
@kipchode
Last year World Athletics broadcast it though geo-restricted so not sure about UK:This post was edited 3 minutes after it was posted.00 -
Habtom Samuel added to field they say. He will need a huge pr to be anywhere close I would think. Current prs 3:38, 7:39 and of course 13:04.
60 -
Habtom Samuel added as well.
10 -
rbtrackfan wrote:
Habtom Samuel added to field they say. He will need a huge pr to be anywhere close I would think. Current prs 3:38, 7:39 and of course 13:04.
I believe he ran that 3:38 the day after running 13:05 at Bryan Clay. he's obviously much more of a strength oriented runner but he probably could run 3:34-35 at the very minimum. I think he could run ~7:31 and under 13.
60 -
im going to be there and if they dont take it out fast ill jump the rail and take it out fast myself
151 -
After seeing how fast Fisher ran the 2000, I'm picking Fisher to win this race.
81 -
Cole Hocker: 7:57
Grant Fisher: 7:59
Parker Wolfe: 8:01
Josh Kerr: 8:01
Ethan Strand: 8:03
Ky Robinson: 8:03
George Beamish: 8:04
Cooper Teare: 8:04
Drew Hunter: 8:06
Graham Blanks: 8:07
Edwin Kurgat: 8:07
Jake Wightman: 8:0917 -
The Dos wrote:
After seeing how fast Fisher ran the 2000, I'm picking Fisher to win this race.
Agreed.
Because Hobbs had such a killer final 100 (13.02), no one noticed that Grant's final
01 -
Fan Out West -> wrote:
The Dos wrote:
After seeing how fast Fisher ran the 2000, I'm picking Fisher to win this race.
Agreed.
Because Hobbs had such a phenomenal final 100 (13.02) & 200 (26.31), no one seems to have noticed that Grant's final 200 split was 27.25.
While in last year's 3000 WR race against Cole, Grant's final 200 was 27.50 -- while drafting off Cole, swinging wide on the final turn then slingshotting to the win.
Furthermore, Grant's 1600 split last year was 3:58.18 compared to 3:52.83 on Saturday.
The field will be going for Josh's 8:00.67/2 mile WR, 3:58-3:59 will likely be the targeted 1600 split = 4-flat for the mile split -- a time Grant should now feel quite comfortable with.
Knowing that last year's Millrose 3000 wound up being a significant negative split race for Grant: 3:43.25/first 1500 then 3:39.66/final 1500, expecting another 3-4 second negatively split race for the 2 mile this Sunday seems reasonable.
Which means, assuming a 1-mile split of 4-flat, a final time for Grant being 7:56-7:57.
I think . . . think . . . that will be good enough FTW.
62 -
Fan Out West -> wrote:
As much as I think Grant is good right now, I still think either Strand or Wolfe is going to beat him. They've been improving year over year (not really for Wolfe but he was injured and came back as fit as ever) and also have devastating kicks.
00 -
Fan Out West -> wrote:
. . .
Which means, assuming a 1-mile split of 4-flat, a final time for Grant being 7:56-7:57.
. . .
Another approach to predicting the final winning time:
Grant's 3000 WR time from last year Millrose race is 7:22.91. If evenly paced throughout, that is = 14.764/100 meters.
That 100 meter pace, for a full 2-mile = 3218.688 meters -- meaning no fatigue factor included for racing the extra 218.688 meters -- yields a time of 475.196 secs = 7:55.20, most likely the fastest anyone could race this distance on Sunday or anytime in the near future.
Sunday's race reunites Kerr, Fisher, Hocker, Beamish from the 2024 Millrose 2-mile. All are now all 2 years older, wiser and presumably faster.
Since Grant & Cole have already spun out their legs this past weekend while the Millrose 2-mile will be the season opener for everyone else, have to give the co-favorites role to Grant & Cole with the tiniest lean towards Grant.
30 -
This two mile race will be a perfect opportunity for a new star to distinguish himself. 90 percent chance that either Fisher or Hocker wins, but would be so very exciting if a new star emerges from that deep field.
00 -
Emerging Star wrote:
This two mile race will be a perfect opportunity for a new star to distinguish himself. 90 percent chance that either Fisher or Hocker wins, but would be so very exciting if a new star emerges from that deep field.
Kerr?
00 -
Tariffic wrote:
Emerging Star wrote:
This two mile race will be a perfect opportunity for a new star to distinguish himself. 90 percent chance that either Fisher or Hocker wins, but would be so very exciting if a new star emerges from that deep field.
Kerr?
Though full field not yet releases (as of Tue night), everyone in such a high-quality pro field has already emerged as a star in his own right.
So, if by "new" you mean "youngest," then that moniker falls to Ethan & Parker.
00
2 posts were removed from this page.
What People Are Talking About On LetsRun
No top threads at the moment. Check back soon.