Orlando weather forecast for Feb 3

Understood. But you can only manufacture Ideal conditions within reason. At the end of the day you are racing each other and not the clock. It is a competition between competitors. Every runner is running in exactly the same conditions.

What's next? Run it on a treadmill indoors with temp set to 43?

Maybe the Olympic comittee needs to select future host countries where the temps will be 45 with not humidity to keep the Marathon runners happy.

But in this case, the clock is most definitely a consideration.

USATF just emailed out & clarified that if someone finishes top-3 but doesn't run 2:11:30 or 2:29:30 & hasn't prior to the Trials then they don't make the Olympics. With temps going from 60-70, it's plausible that someone on the podium runs just off of that & would've run under that if it was 45-55. I don't think it's unreasonable to keep runners happy & give them the best chance to run fast when we line up our best runners at a non-domestic major. A choice was made to leave time on the table. I'm not saying it's the end of the world or to not be tough but this standard stuff is real and our top marathoners generally don't take a lot of fast marathon attempts. Plus consider a guy like Chelimo who has to decide to go for 2:08 or top-3 sub-2:11:30. If he runs 2:07, I'd want to see that 2:06 instead.

I don't think I've ever seen 'USATF' and 'clarified' in the same sentence before!

Looks like everything's going perfectly well.

Right now 24 hours beforehand, forecasts shows 68 degrees 50% humidity at the finish.

It's not WR setting weather but it sure isn't 80 degrees either.

Wind looks trivial too. They got really really lucky because 24 hours later on Sunday it would have been a disaster and likely cancelled for rain.

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?FcstType=graphical&textField1=28.5438&textField2=-81.3777&w0=t&w1=td&w2=wc&w3=sfcwind&w3u=1&w4=sky&w5=pop&w6=rh&w7=rain&w12=fog&w13u=0&w15u=1&w16u=1

At least 15 guys have run under 2:11:30. If you're not in the top 15 going into trials I don't really think you really have a chance of making the team.

Everyone's all worried that we'll only have two team spots, but it's almost certain that Fauble, Rupp or someone else will be ranked in the top 80 come May 5th and we'll get the 3rd spot. The Trials themselves should also improve people's rankings, even if they run a minute or two slow due to warm weather.

I don't think many posters on this thread have run marathons in 70-degree mildly humid sunny weather with no wind. IN FEBRUARY.

Most of this race will be run in the high 50s and low to mid 60s. It’s expected to be 57 at 10:00, 62 at 11:00, 65 at 12:00, and 68 at 1:00. Not bad at all.

The person you responded to acknowledged conditions aren't perfect.
The dewpoint is forecast to be 47-48 for the duration of the marathon. Starting temp of 58 and somewhere in the high 60's at finish. Surely these are not going to be particularly challenging conditions for our country's best marathoners.

As others have said it's actually going to be pretty dry, and anyone who cares at all about making the team has been acclimatizing. These are professional runners, they know how to use things like ice packs, sprinklers, cold wet hats, cold wet arm sleeves, etc.

Running under the noon-day sun cooking the asphalt is no joke. Today was pretty dang humid running at race-time. The course has very little shade.

People trying to "force" a specific pace will have some issues at the end. There will be a lot of carnage on the last 8 mile loop. 2:14 will be top 10.

Simply take a look at the results in every championship run in 70 degrees and humidity.

Those results are irrelevant because they won’t be running in 70 degrees.

Brother, we are here in Orlando. Trust me, the "feel like" temp is well over 70 while running at race-time.

I was there 2 weeks ago running in the same conditions. It wasn’t bad at all. This is much ado about nothing.

I run in Florida every day. Those temps are great.

These are supposed to be the best runners in the country. Not hobby joggers that must have pristine conditions or else.

Nobody is saying that the conditions are perfect. But they rarely are and most certainly won’t be in Paris.

That forecast from 10 days ago was pretty darn close.

Nobody was ever really saying the temps were bad. People were saying that you run faster in better conditions. Korir probably doesn't have to sweat it out if this race starts at 6:30 or 7am.

Also only 41 men under 2:18. Obviously the weather was impactful today.