First of all, the you’re making the assumption she is capable of running 29:30, but the same thing could be said about all 6 of the Kenyans and Ethiopians. The other thing is that she doesn’t have good top-end speed and anyone in contact with her with 400m to go is going to out kick her.
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First of there were 4 Ethiopians, 2 Kenyans, and Siffan (so dont see the 6 Ethiopians and 6 Kenyans) you spoke of faster than Alicia Monson s 14:19. Alicia was in 29:40 shape last year, but didn't have a fast enough paced race at Worlds to achieve that time).
You can very easily calculate elite men and women's 10000m potential by doubling their 5000m pb and adding 1 minute
14:19 + 14:19= 28:38 + 1:00= 29:38
Use it to calculate as many elites as you want as see how incredibly accurate the formula...
I give her a pretty good chance at hitting 29:40's next year with good conditions AND maybe slightly faster with a near perfect training block and outstanding weather and pacing on race day
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Alicia Monson was in 29:50 shape in late 2023; to therefore, it would surprise me if she reels of a 29:40 in her next 10000m time trial. The formula doesn't lie my friends.
How is this thread derailing? He was responding to a previous post which is really the “thread derailing” one. (rule it wrote : I have known Alicia Monson all of her life. She is not doping)
and what difference does it make if it’s an American or non American athlete? This is a worldwide site.
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